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Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast

Far North District Council

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Far North District Council will increase by an average of 366 dwellings per annum to 38,574 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Far North District Council. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2013 to 2043
Far North District CouncilChange in dwellings between 2013 and 2043
Far North District+10,975+39.8
Ahipara and Herekino Area+527+38.3
Bay of Island Rural+664+31.8
Kaeo - Matauri Bay - Whangaroa+665+38.1
Kaikohe Township+854+58.4
Kaitaia Township+897+43.8
Kapiro Area+347+27.8
Karikari Peninsula - Maungataniwha+727+26.7
Kawakawa - Moerewa+450+42.9
Kerikeri Township+1,325+87.6
Kerikeri Township Surrounds+1,409+98.5
Kohukohu and Hokianga North area+121+12.1
Mangonui - Coopers Beach - Cable Bay+1,303+103.5
North Cape - Houhora - Awanui+207+12.2
Ohaewai and Kaikohe Surrounds+186+14.4
Paihia - Opua and Haruru Falls+1,058+59.6
Rawene - Opononi - Omapere and Hokianga South Area+147+7.6
Russell and Rawhiti and Surrounds+88+4.5
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

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