Far North District CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Ohaewai and Kaikohe Surrounds

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Ohaewai and Kaikohe Surrounds will increase by an average of 4 dwellings per annum to 1,426 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Far North District. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2006-2013 dwelling additions are based on dwelling counts recorded at the 2013 Census. Assumptions concerning development over the post 2013 period include:

  • No major development sites assumed during the forecast period
  • Low infill development (3-6 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 1,426 2042 Total dwellings: 1,420 2041 Total dwellings: 1,414 2040 Total dwellings: 1,408 2039 Total dwellings: 1,402 2038 Total dwellings: 1,397 2037 Total dwellings: 1,392 2036 Total dwellings: 1,387 2035 Total dwellings: 1,382 2034 Total dwellings: 1,377 2033 Total dwellings: 1,372 2032 Total dwellings: 1,367 2031 Total dwellings: 1,362 2030 Total dwellings: 1,357 2029 Total dwellings: 1,352 2028 Total dwellings: 1,347 2027 Total dwellings: 1,342 2026 Total dwellings: 1,338 2025 Total dwellings: 1,334 2024 Total dwellings: 1,330 2023 Total dwellings: 1,326 2022 Total dwellings: 1,323 2021 Total dwellings: 1,320 2020 Total dwellings: 1,317 2019 Total dwellings: 1,314 2018 Total dwellings: 1,311 2017 Total dwellings: 1,308 2016 Total dwellings: 1,305 2015 Total dwellings: 1,302 2014 Total dwellings: 1,299 2043 Total dwellings: 1,426 2042 Total dwellings: 1,420 2041 Total dwellings: 1,414 2040 Total dwellings: 1,408 2039 Total dwellings: 1,402 2038 Total dwellings: 1,397 2037 Total dwellings: 1,392 2036 Total dwellings: 1,387 2035 Total dwellings: 1,382 2034 Total dwellings: 1,377 2033 Total dwellings: 1,372 2032 Total dwellings: 1,367 2031 Total dwellings: 1,362 2030 Total dwellings: 1,357 2029 Total dwellings: 1,352 2028 Total dwellings: 1,347 2027 Total dwellings: 1,342 2026 Total dwellings: 1,338 2025 Total dwellings: 1,334 2024 Total dwellings: 1,330 2023 Total dwellings: 1,326 2022 Total dwellings: 1,323 2021 Total dwellings: 1,320 2020 Total dwellings: 1,317 2019 Total dwellings: 1,314 2018 Total dwellings: 1,311 2017 Total dwellings: 1,308 2016 Total dwellings: 1,305 2015 Total dwellings: 1,302 2014 Total dwellings: 1,299 2043 Forecast development: 6 2042 Forecast development: 6 2041 Forecast development: 6 2040 Forecast development: 6 2039 Forecast development: 5 2038 Forecast development: 5 2037 Forecast development: 5 2036 Forecast development: 5 2035 Forecast development: 5 2034 Forecast development: 5 2033 Forecast development: 5 2032 Forecast development: 5 2031 Forecast development: 5 2030 Forecast development: 5 2029 Forecast development: 5 2028 Forecast development: 5 2027 Forecast development: 4 2026 Forecast development: 4 2025 Forecast development: 4 2024 Forecast development: 4 2023 Forecast development: 3 2022 Forecast development: 3 2021 Forecast development: 3 2020 Forecast development: 3 2019 Forecast development: 3 2018 Forecast development: 3 2017 Forecast development: 3 2016 Forecast development: 3 2015 Forecast development: 3 2014 Forecast development: 3
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
v19.09.08-1.0.0