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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Gisborne District

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Gisborne District is forecast for the period from 2039 to 2043, which is expected to have a net increase of 976 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Gisborne DistrictForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Net migration-810-990-724-520-229-159
Natural increase/decrease1,5941,5371,3941,2471,1521,136
Change in persons in non-private dwellings1171551140500
Total population change900702784727973977

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