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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Tarndale - Rakauroa - Te Karaka

Household types

In 2013, the dominant household type in Tarndale - Rakauroa - Te Karaka was 'Couple families with dependents', and by 2023 the largest forecast increase is expected in 'Couples without dependents'.

Analysing the future household structure in Gisborne District, especially in conjunction with age structure, provides insight to the role the area plays in the housing market. Some areas, usually with separate housing stock, are dominated by families. Others, with more dense housing in inner city locations have significant numbers of lone person households and couples without dependents.

Forecast household types
Tarndale - Rakauroa - Te Karaka201320232043Change between 2013 and 2043
Couple families with dependents24332.520528.818128.1-62
Couples without dependents22329.823132.520231.4-21
Group households60.850.750.8-1
Lone person households16421.917224.216826.1+4
One parent family9212.38011.37111.0-21
Other families202.7182.5162.5-4
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant household type in Tarndale - Rakauroa - Te Karaka was Couple families with dependents, which accounted for 32.5% of all households.

The largest increase between 2013 and 2023 is forecast to be in Couples without dependents, which will increase by 8 households and account for 32.5% of all households.

In contrast Couple families with dependents is forecast to decrease by 38 households, to comprise 28.8% of all households in 2023, compared to 32.5% in 2013.

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