Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Gisborne District

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Gisborne District is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Gisborne District depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • A range of new housing opportunities across the Council area, which are expected to predominantly attract young families
  • Loss of older children and young adults, many of whom are leaving the family home for education and employment reasons
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: 53 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: -6 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -71 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -65 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -37 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: 10 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: 10 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: -37 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: -48 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: -14 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 87 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 196 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 77 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -400 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -723 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -217 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 158 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 302 Persons aged 85+,  2018 to 2023: 22 Persons aged 80-84,  2018 to 2023: 13 Persons aged 75-79,  2018 to 2023: -38 Persons aged 70-74,  2018 to 2023: -53 Persons aged 65-69,  2018 to 2023: -39 Persons aged 60-64,  2018 to 2023: -16 Persons aged 55-59,  2018 to 2023: -10 Persons aged 50-54,  2018 to 2023: -50 Persons aged 45-49,  2018 to 2023: -64 Persons aged 40-44,  2018 to 2023: -11 Persons aged 35-39,  2018 to 2023: 83 Persons aged 30-34,  2018 to 2023: 156 Persons aged 25-29,  2018 to 2023: 79 Persons aged 20-24,  2018 to 2023: -461 Persons aged 15-19,  2018 to 2023: -717 Persons aged 10-14,  2018 to 2023: -270 Persons aged 5-9,  2018 to 2023: 124 Persons aged 0-4,  2018 to 2023: 262 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: 0 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: 15 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: -28 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: -30 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: -14 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: 2 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -23 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -54 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: -62 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 14 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 132 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 210 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: 90 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -407 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -772 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -272 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 123 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: 265 Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: 53 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: -6 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -71 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -65 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -37 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: 10 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: 10 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: -37 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: -48 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: -14 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 87 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 196 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 77 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -400 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -723 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: -217 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 158 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 302 Persons aged 85+,  2018 to 2023: 22 Persons aged 80-84,  2018 to 2023: 13 Persons aged 75-79,  2018 to 2023: -38 Persons aged 70-74,  2018 to 2023: -53 Persons aged 65-69,  2018 to 2023: -39 Persons aged 60-64,  2018 to 2023: -16 Persons aged 55-59,  2018 to 2023: -10 Persons aged 50-54,  2018 to 2023: -50 Persons aged 45-49,  2018 to 2023: -64 Persons aged 40-44,  2018 to 2023: -11 Persons aged 35-39,  2018 to 2023: 83 Persons aged 30-34,  2018 to 2023: 156 Persons aged 25-29,  2018 to 2023: 79 Persons aged 20-24,  2018 to 2023: -461 Persons aged 15-19,  2018 to 2023: -717 Persons aged 10-14,  2018 to 2023: -270 Persons aged 5-9,  2018 to 2023: 124 Persons aged 0-4,  2018 to 2023: 262 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: 0 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: 15 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: -28 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: -30 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: -14 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: 2 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -23 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -54 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: -62 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 14 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 132 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 210 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: 90 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -407 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -772 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -272 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 123 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: 265
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2017.
v18.09.24-1.0.0