Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast
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Gisborne Airport - Awapuni

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2023, the age structure forecasts for Gisborne Airport - Awapuni indicate a 4.6% increase in population under working age, a 22.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Gisborne District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Gisborne Airport - Awapuni - Total persons201320232043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 31211.02688.82438.0-68
5 to 9 2508.82849.42578.4+7
10 to 14 2408.42879.52518.3+11
15 to 19 2418.52317.62337.7-8
20 to 24 2318.12829.333210.9+101
25 to 29 2007.02056.82026.6+2
30 to 34 1505.31996.61755.7+25
35 to 39 1495.21826.01725.6+23
40 to 44 1595.61505.01605.3+2
45 to 49 1595.61364.51484.9-11
50 to 54 1706.01294.31344.4-36
55 to 59 1414.91394.61324.3-9
60 to 64 1314.61595.31314.3+1
65 to 69 903.21334.41244.1+34
70 to 74 903.21033.41133.7+23
75 to 79 501.7612.0983.2+49
80 to 84 491.7521.7802.6+31
85 and over321.1321.0571.9+25
Total persons2,842100.03,032100.03,043100.0+201

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 57 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 80 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 98 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 113 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 124 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 131 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 132 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 134 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 148 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 160 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 172 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 175 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 202 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 332 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 233 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 251 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 257 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 243 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2023: 32 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2023: 52 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2023: 61 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2023: 103 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2023: 133 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2023: 159 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2023: 139 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2023: 129 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2023: 136 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2023: 150 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2023: 182 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2023: 199 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2023: 205 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2023: 282 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2023: 231 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2023: 287 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2023: 284 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2023: 268 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 32 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 49 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 50 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 90 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 90 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 131 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 141 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 170 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 159 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 159 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 149 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 150 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 200 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 231 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 241 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 240 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 250 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 312
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2043: 29 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2043: 38 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2043: -9 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2043: -28 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2043: -7 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2043: -11 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2043: -24 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2043: -36 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2043: -28 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2043: -24 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2023: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2023: 2 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2023: 11 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2023: 13 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2023: 43 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2023: 29 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2023: -2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2023: -40 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2023: -23 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2023: -8 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2023: 33 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2023: 49 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2023: 5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2023: 51 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2023: -10 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2023: 47 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2023: 34 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2023: -44
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Gisborne Airport - Awapuni was ages 0 to 4 , which accounted for 11.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2023 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24 , which is expected to increase by 51 and account for 9.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2023 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 287 persons.

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