Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast
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Gisborne District

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Gisborne District. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Gisborne DistrictForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population47,00047,90048,60249,38750,11351,08652,063
Change in population (5yrs)--900702784727973977
Average annual change--0.38%0.29%0.32%0.29%0.39%0.38%
Households16,90417,35917,78118,22618,65719,07019,480
Average household size2.752.722.692.662.642.632.62
Population in non private dwellings526643798912912962962
Dwellings18,05718,41818,86219,31219,76220,19820,615
Dwelling occupancy rate93.6194.2594.2794.3894.4194.4294.49

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.62 2042 Average household size: 2.62 2041 Average household size: 2.62 2040 Average household size: 2.63 2039 Average household size: 2.63 2038 Average household size: 2.63 2037 Average household size: 2.63 2036 Average household size: 2.63 2035 Average household size: 2.63 2034 Average household size: 2.63 2033 Average household size: 2.64 2032 Average household size: 2.64 2031 Average household size: 2.65 2030 Average household size: 2.65 2029 Average household size: 2.66 2028 Average household size: 2.66 2027 Average household size: 2.67 2026 Average household size: 2.67 2025 Average household size: 2.68 2024 Average household size: 2.68 2023 Average household size: 2.69 2022 Average household size: 2.69 2021 Average household size: 2.70 2020 Average household size: 2.71 2019 Average household size: 2.71 2018 Average household size: 2.72 2017 Average household size: 2.73 2016 Average household size: 2.74 2015 Average household size: 2.75 2014 Average household size: 2.75 2013 Average household size: 2.75 2043 Average household size: 2.62 2042 Average household size: 2.62 2041 Average household size: 2.62 2040 Average household size: 2.63 2039 Average household size: 2.63 2038 Average household size: 2.63 2037 Average household size: 2.63 2036 Average household size: 2.63 2035 Average household size: 2.63 2034 Average household size: 2.63 2033 Average household size: 2.64 2032 Average household size: 2.64 2031 Average household size: 2.65 2030 Average household size: 2.65 2029 Average household size: 2.66 2028 Average household size: 2.66 2027 Average household size: 2.67 2026 Average household size: 2.67 2025 Average household size: 2.68 2024 Average household size: 2.68 2023 Average household size: 2.69 2022 Average household size: 2.69 2021 Average household size: 2.70 2020 Average household size: 2.71 2019 Average household size: 2.71 2018 Average household size: 2.72 2017 Average household size: 2.73 2016 Average household size: 2.74 2015 Average household size: 2.75 2014 Average household size: 2.75 2043 Households: 19,478 2042 Households: 19,398 2041 Households: 19,318 2040 Households: 19,239 2039 Households: 19,159 2038 Households: 19,077 2037 Households: 18,996 2036 Households: 18,914 2035 Households: 18,831 2034 Households: 18,745 2033 Households: 18,658 2032 Households: 18,572 2031 Households: 18,485 2030 Households: 18,398 2029 Households: 18,310 2028 Households: 18,223 2027 Households: 18,136 2026 Households: 18,049 2025 Households: 17,962 2024 Households: 17,875 2023 Households: 17,788 2022 Households: 17,700 2021 Households: 17,613 2020 Households: 17,526 2019 Households: 17,441 2018 Households: 17,358 2017 Households: 17,277 2016 Households: 17,201 2015 Households: 17,098 2014 Households: 16,988 2013 Households: 16,905 2043 Total population: 52,063 2042 Total population: 51,859 2041 Total population: 51,667 2040 Total population: 51,473 2039 Total population: 51,281 2038 Total population: 51,086 2037 Total population: 50,891 2036 Total population: 50,707 2035 Total population: 50,479 2034 Total population: 50,295 2033 Total population: 50,113 2032 Total population: 49,951 2031 Total population: 49,806 2030 Total population: 49,669 2029 Total population: 49,529 2028 Total population: 49,387 2027 Total population: 49,214 2026 Total population: 49,080 2025 Total population: 48,941 2024 Total population: 48,766 2023 Total population: 48,602 2022 Total population: 48,419 2021 Total population: 48,286 2020 Total population: 48,172 2019 Total population: 48,016 2018 Total population: 47,900 2017 Total population: 47,734 2016 Total population: 47,691 2015 Total population: 47,469 2014 Total population: 47,178 2013 Total population: 47,000
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2017.
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