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The number of dwellings in Wharekaka - Tolaga Bay is forecast to grow from 1,127 in 2013 to 1,256 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.72 to 2.59 by 2043.
This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Wharekaka - Tolaga Bay. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.
It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.
|Forecast population, households and dwellings|
|Wharekaka - Tolaga Bay||Forecast year|
|Change in population (5yrs)||--||27||-2||12||19||49||61|
|Average annual change||--||0.19%||-0.01%||0.08%||0.14%||0.35%||0.42%|
|Average household size||2.72||2.68||2.63||2.59||2.57||2.58||2.59|
|Population in non private dwellings||26||26||26||26||26||26||26|
|Dwelling occupancy rate||89.26||89.26||89.29||89.38||89.39||89.24||89.33|
In 2013, the total population of Wharekaka - Tolaga Bay was estimated to be 2,762 people. It is expected to increase by over 37 people to 2,799 by 2023, at an average annual growth rate of 0.13%. This is based on an increase of over 63 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.72 to 2.59 by 2023.
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