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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Gisborne Airport - Awapuni

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Gisborne Airport - Awapuni is forecast to grow from 1,034 in 2013 to 1,092 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.87 to 2.70 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Gisborne Airport - Awapuni. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Gisborne Airport - AwapuniForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population2,8422,9093,0323,0713,0433,0353,043
Change in population (5yrs)--6812339-28-88
Average annual change--0.47%0.83%0.25%-0.18%-0.05%0.05%
Households9891,0091,0191,0281,0371,0451,055
Average household size2.872.862.852.802.752.722.70
Population in non private dwellings027132196196196196
Dwellings1,0341,0421,0521,0621,0721,0821,092
Dwelling occupancy rate95.6596.8396.8696.8096.7496.5896.61
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Gisborne Airport - Awapuni was estimated to be 2,842 people. It is expected to increase by over 229 people to 3,071 by 2023, at an average annual growth rate of 0.78%. This is based on an increase of over 39 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.87 to 2.80 by 2023.

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