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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Riverdale

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Riverdale is forecast to grow from 898 in 2013 to 1,694 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.53 to 2.42 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Riverdale. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
RiverdaleForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population2,3952,8373,2963,7744,1634,2894,349
Change in population (5yrs)--44245947838912661
Average annual change--3.44%3.05%2.75%1.98%0.60%0.28%
Households8871,0661,2401,4131,5721,6361,677
Average household size2.532.472.462.462.462.442.42
Population in non private dwellings149199249299299299299
Dwellings8981,0781,2531,4281,5901,6541,694
Dwelling occupancy rate98.7898.8998.9698.9598.8798.9199.00
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Riverdale was estimated to be 2,395 people. It is expected to increase by over 1,379 people to 3,774 by 2023, at an average annual growth rate of 4.65%. This is based on an increase of over 526 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.53 to 2.46 by 2023.

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