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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Tamarau

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Tamarau is forecast to grow from 753 in 2013 to 831 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 3.46 to 3.36 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Tamarau. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
TamarauForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population2,4692,5462,4962,4922,4892,5632,674
Change in population (5yrs)--77-51-3-475110
Average annual change--0.62%-0.40%-0.03%-0.03%0.59%0.85%
Households713735736740743763796
Average household size3.463.463.393.373.353.363.36
Population in non private dwellings0000000
Dwellings753757762767772796831
Dwelling occupancy rate94.6997.0996.5996.4896.2495.8595.79
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Tamarau was estimated to be 2,469 people. It is expected to increase by over 23 people to 2,492 by 2023, at an average annual growth rate of 0.09%. This is based on an increase of over 27 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.46 to 3.37 by 2023.

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