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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Wainui - Okitu

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Wainui - Okitu is forecast to grow from 735 in 2013 to 1,073 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.61 to 2.45 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Wainui - Okitu. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Wainui - OkituForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population1,8042,0272,1372,1892,2802,4152,490
Change in population (5yrs)--224109529213575
Average annual change--2.37%1.05%0.48%0.82%1.15%0.62%
Households6917798348769289841,014
Average household size2.612.602.562.492.452.452.45
Population in non private dwellings3333333
Dwellings7358218809259791,0411,073
Dwelling occupancy rate94.0194.8894.7794.7094.7994.5294.50
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Wainui - Okitu was estimated to be 1,804 people. It is expected to increase by over 385 people to 2,189 by 2023, at an average annual growth rate of 1.95%. This is based on an increase of over 185 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.61 to 2.49 by 2023.

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