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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Kaiti North

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Kaiti North is forecast to grow from 1,544 in 2013 to 1,626 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 3.02 to 2.90 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Kaiti North. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kaiti NorthForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)---7-19-944680
Average annual change---0.03%-0.08%-0.04%0.02%0.20%0.35%
Average household size3.022.982.962.932.912.912.90
Population in non private dwellings89898989898989
Dwelling occupancy rate95.5396.4596.4096.4296.4596.4996.56
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Kaiti North was estimated to be 4,549 people. It is expected to decrease by over 36 people to 4,513 by 2023, at an average annual growth rate of -0.08%. This is based on an increase of over 35 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.02 to 2.93 by 2023.

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