Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast
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Gisborne Airport - Awapuni

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Gisborne District. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Gisborne Airport - AwapuniForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population2,8422,9093,0323,0713,0433,0353,043
Change in population (5yrs)--6812339-28-88
Average annual change--0.47%0.83%0.25%-0.18%-0.05%0.05%
Households9891,0091,0191,0281,0371,0451,055
Average household size2.872.862.852.802.752.722.70
Population in non private dwellings027132196196196196
Dwellings1,0341,0421,0521,0621,0721,0821,092
Dwelling occupancy rate95.6596.8396.8696.8096.7496.5896.61

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.70 2042 Average household size: 2.70 2041 Average household size: 2.70 2040 Average household size: 2.70 2039 Average household size: 2.71 2038 Average household size: 2.71 2037 Average household size: 2.72 2036 Average household size: 2.73 2035 Average household size: 2.73 2034 Average household size: 2.74 2033 Average household size: 2.75 2032 Average household size: 2.75 2031 Average household size: 2.76 2030 Average household size: 2.78 2029 Average household size: 2.79 2028 Average household size: 2.80 2027 Average household size: 2.81 2026 Average household size: 2.82 2025 Average household size: 2.83 2024 Average household size: 2.84 2023 Average household size: 2.85 2022 Average household size: 2.86 2021 Average household size: 2.86 2020 Average household size: 2.86 2019 Average household size: 2.86 2018 Average household size: 2.86 2017 Average household size: 2.86 2016 Average household size: 2.87 2015 Average household size: 2.87 2014 Average household size: 2.87 2013 Average household size: 2.87 2043 Average household size: 2.70 2042 Average household size: 2.70 2041 Average household size: 2.70 2040 Average household size: 2.70 2039 Average household size: 2.71 2038 Average household size: 2.71 2037 Average household size: 2.72 2036 Average household size: 2.73 2035 Average household size: 2.73 2034 Average household size: 2.74 2033 Average household size: 2.75 2032 Average household size: 2.75 2031 Average household size: 2.76 2030 Average household size: 2.78 2029 Average household size: 2.79 2028 Average household size: 2.80 2027 Average household size: 2.81 2026 Average household size: 2.82 2025 Average household size: 2.83 2024 Average household size: 2.84 2023 Average household size: 2.85 2022 Average household size: 2.86 2021 Average household size: 2.86 2020 Average household size: 2.86 2019 Average household size: 2.86 2018 Average household size: 2.86 2017 Average household size: 2.86 2016 Average household size: 2.87 2015 Average household size: 2.87 2014 Average household size: 2.87 2043 Households: 1,055 2042 Households: 1,053 2041 Households: 1,051 2040 Households: 1,050 2039 Households: 1,048 2038 Households: 1,046 2037 Households: 1,044 2036 Households: 1,042 2035 Households: 1,040 2034 Households: 1,039 2033 Households: 1,037 2032 Households: 1,035 2031 Households: 1,033 2030 Households: 1,031 2029 Households: 1,030 2028 Households: 1,028 2027 Households: 1,026 2026 Households: 1,024 2025 Households: 1,022 2024 Households: 1,020 2023 Households: 1,019 2022 Households: 1,017 2021 Households: 1,015 2020 Households: 1,013 2019 Households: 1,011 2018 Households: 1,009 2017 Households: 1,008 2016 Households: 1,004 2015 Households: 999 2014 Households: 995 2013 Households: 989 2043 Total population: 3,043 2042 Total population: 3,039 2041 Total population: 3,037 2040 Total population: 3,034 2039 Total population: 3,034 2038 Total population: 3,035 2037 Total population: 3,036 2036 Total population: 3,038 2035 Total population: 3,040 2034 Total population: 3,041 2033 Total population: 3,043 2032 Total population: 3,045 2031 Total population: 3,050 2030 Total population: 3,059 2029 Total population: 3,064 2028 Total population: 3,071 2027 Total population: 3,075 2026 Total population: 3,080 2025 Total population: 3,069 2024 Total population: 3,050 2023 Total population: 3,032 2022 Total population: 3,014 2021 Total population: 2,991 2020 Total population: 2,970 2019 Total population: 2,936 2018 Total population: 2,909 2017 Total population: 2,892 2016 Total population: 2,881 2015 Total population: 2,865 2014 Total population: 2,851 2013 Total population: 2,842
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2017.
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