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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Gisborne Central

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Gisborne Central is forecast to grow from 1,488 in 2013 to 1,835 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.34 to 2.29 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Gisborne Central. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Gisborne CentralForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--546093115235193
Average annual change--0.31%0.34%0.52%0.63%1.22%0.95%
Average household size2.342.352.342.312.302.292.29
Population in non private dwellings5858585858108108
Dwelling occupancy rate96.8497.0096.8296.8796.9296.9196.95
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Gisborne Central was estimated to be 3,429 people. It is expected to increase by over 207 people to 3,636 by 2023, at an average annual growth rate of 0.59%. This is based on an increase of over 105 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.34 to 2.31 by 2023.

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