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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Te Hapara

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Te Hapara is forecast to grow from 1,823 in 2013 to 1,952 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.63 to 2.57 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Te Hapara. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Te HaparaForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--12810-17-87596
Average annual change--0.54%0.04%-0.07%-0.03%0.31%0.39%
Average household size2.632.652.632.602.582.572.57
Population in non private dwellings98138138138138138138
Dwelling occupancy rate95.8396.8896.8096.7796.6996.5596.47
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Te Hapara was estimated to be 4,701 people. It is expected to increase by over 120 people to 4,821 by 2023, at an average annual growth rate of 0.25%. This is based on an increase of over 51 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.63 to 2.60 by 2023.

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