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LEARN MORE ABOUT .idThe number of dwellings in Tarndale - Rakauroa - Te Karaka is forecast to fall from 850 in 2013 to 730 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.79 to 2.61 by 2043.
This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Tarndale - Rakauroa - Te Karaka. The period 2013 to 2023, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.
It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.
| Forecast population, households and dwellings | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarndale - Rakauroa - Te Karaka | Forecast year | ||||||
| Summary | 2013 | 2018 | 2023 | 2028 | 2033 | 2038 | 2043 |
| Population | 2,100 | 1,993 | 1,903 | 1,836 | 1,774 | 1,727 | 1,688 |
| Change in population (5yrs) | -- | -107 | -90 | -67 | -62 | -47 | -39 |
| Average annual change | -- | -1.04% | -0.92% | -0.72% | -0.68% | -0.53% | -0.46% |
| Households | 748 | 730 | 711 | 695 | 677 | 659 | 643 |
| Average household size | 2.79 | 2.71 | 2.66 | 2.62 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.61 |
| Population in non private dwellings | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Dwellings | 850 | 830 | 810 | 790 | 770 | 750 | 730 |
| Dwelling occupancy rate | 88.00 | 87.95 | 87.78 | 87.97 | 87.92 | 87.87 | 88.08 |
Key findings
In 2013, the total population of Tarndale - Rakauroa - Te Karaka was estimated to be 2,100 people. It is expected to decrease by over 264 people to 1,836 by 2023, at an average annual growth rate of -1.33%. This is based on a loss of over 53 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.79 to 2.62 by 2023.
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