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Gisborne DistrictPopulation forecast

Gisborne District

Population summary

Between 2013 and 2043, the population for Gisborne District is forecast to increase by 5,063 persons (10.77% growth), at an average annual change of 0.34%.

This table summarises the population for Gisborne District and each of its small areas. This enables you to see how population change is affecting different parts of the LGA in different ways. Some small areas may be rapidly growing whilst others are stable or even declining in population.

Continue to the forecast results section to see detailed forecasts of population, households, and dwellings for each of the small areas.

Please note that population numbers in for the 2013 base year are derived from Estimated Resident Population from Statistics New Zealand. These differ from (and are usually higher than) Census counts as they factor in population missed by the Census and population overseas on Census night. They are generally considered a more accurate measure of population size than Census counts.

Population summary
Gisborne DistrictForecast yearChange between 2013 and 2043
Area2013201820232028203320382043Total changeAvg. annual % change
Gisborne District47,00047,90048,60249,38750,11351,08652,063+5,063+0.34
Gisborne Airport - Awapuni2,8422,9093,0323,0713,0433,0353,043+201+0.23
Gisborne Central3,4293,4823,5433,6363,7513,9864,179+750+0.66
Kaiti North4,5494,5414,5224,5134,5174,5634,643+94+0.07
Kaiti South2,9202,9693,0803,2303,3373,3383,364+444+0.47
Makaraka - Matokitoki1,6751,7521,8881,9772,0712,1642,259+584+1.00
Tarndale - Rakauroa - Te Karaka2,1001,9931,9031,8361,7741,7271,688-412-0.72
Te Hapara4,7014,8284,8394,8214,8134,8894,984+283+0.19
Tiniroto - Patutahi - Manutuke3,0722,9802,9422,9262,9232,9392,957-115-0.13
Tokomaru Bay - Ruatoria - East Cape3,8873,7793,6773,6243,5823,5673,555-332-0.30
Wainui - Okitu1,8042,0272,1372,1892,2802,4152,490+686+1.08
Wharekaka - Tolaga Bay2,7622,7892,7872,7992,8182,8672,928+166+0.19
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2017.

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