Gracefield - Seaview - Waiwhetu
Components of population change
The greatest population change for Gracefield - Seaview - Waiwhetu is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 78 people.
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
| Components of population change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gracefield - Seaview - Waiwhetu | Forecast period | ||||||
| Component | 2014 to 2018 | 2019 to 2023 | 2024 to 2028 | 2029 to 2033 | 2034 to 2038 | 2039 to 2043 | |
| Births | -- | 236 | 230 | 221 | 221 | 223 | 224 |
| Deaths | -- | 200 | 181 | 190 | 207 | 220 | 229 |
| Natural increase/decrease | -- | 36 | 49 | 31 | 14 | 3 | -5 |
| Net migration | -- | 42 | -66 | -33 | 32 | 30 | 37 |
| Change in persons in non-private dwellings | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total population change | 78 | -17 | -2 | 46 | 33 | 32 | |
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (opens a new window), the population experts, April 2016.
