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Gracefield - Seaview - Waiwhetu

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Gracefield - Seaview - Waiwhetu is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 165 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Gracefield - Seaview - WaiwhetuForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births238241231230232233
Change in persons in non-private dwellings000000
Deaths200184194213226236
Natural increase/decrease385737175-3
Net migration128-5-44363846

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 9 2042 forecast population change: 9 2041 forecast population change: 9 2040 forecast population change: 7 2039 forecast population change: 8 2038 forecast population change: 7 2037 forecast population change: 10 2036 forecast population change: 9 2035 forecast population change: 9 2034 forecast population change: 9 2033 forecast population change: 11 2032 forecast population change: 13 2031 forecast population change: 10 2030 forecast population change: 11 2029 forecast population change: 9 2028 forecast population change: 5 2027 forecast population change: 5 2026 forecast population change: -8 2025 forecast population change: -6 2024 forecast population change: -2 2023 forecast population change: -4 2022 forecast population change: -9 2021 forecast population change: 8 2020 forecast population change: -19 2019 forecast population change: 76 2018 forecast population change: 46 2017 forecast population change: -9 2016 forecast population change: 8 2015 forecast population change: 44 2014 forecast population change: 76
[Forecast_Entity_Source]
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -1 2042 Natural increase: -1 2041 Natural increase: -1 2040 Natural increase: 0 2039 Natural increase: 0 2038 Natural increase: 0 2037 Natural increase: 1 2036 Natural increase: 1 2035 Natural increase: 1 2034 Natural increase: 2 2033 Natural increase: 2 2032 Natural increase: 3 2031 Natural increase: 4 2030 Natural increase: 4 2029 Natural increase: 5 2028 Natural increase: 6 2027 Natural increase: 6 2026 Natural increase: 7 2025 Natural increase: 8 2024 Natural increase: 10 2023 Natural increase: 10 2022 Natural increase: 11 2021 Natural increase: 11 2020 Natural increase: 12 2019 Natural increase: 12 2018 Natural increase: 11 2017 Natural increase: 10 2016 Natural increase: 8 2015 Natural increase: 6 2014 Natural increase: 2 2043 Total deaths: 47 2042 Total deaths: 48 2041 Total deaths: 48 2040 Total deaths: 47 2039 Total deaths: 46 2038 Total deaths: 46 2037 Total deaths: 46 2036 Total deaths: 45 2035 Total deaths: 45 2034 Total deaths: 44 2033 Total deaths: 44 2032 Total deaths: 43 2031 Total deaths: 42 2030 Total deaths: 42 2029 Total deaths: 41 2028 Total deaths: 40 2027 Total deaths: 40 2026 Total deaths: 39 2025 Total deaths: 38 2024 Total deaths: 37 2023 Total deaths: 37 2022 Total deaths: 37 2021 Total deaths: 37 2020 Total deaths: 38 2019 Total deaths: 36 2018 Total deaths: 36 2017 Total deaths: 38 2016 Total deaths: 40 2015 Total deaths: 42 2014 Total deaths: 45 2043 Total births: 47 2042 Total births: 47 2041 Total births: 47 2040 Total births: 47 2039 Total births: 47 2038 Total births: 46 2037 Total births: 46 2036 Total births: 46 2035 Total births: 46 2034 Total births: 46 2033 Total births: 46 2032 Total births: 46 2031 Total births: 46 2030 Total births: 46 2029 Total births: 46 2028 Total births: 46 2027 Total births: 46 2026 Total births: 46 2025 Total births: 47 2024 Total births: 47 2023 Total births: 47 2022 Total births: 48 2021 Total births: 48 2020 Total births: 49 2019 Total births: 48 2018 Total births: 48 2017 Total births: 48 2016 Total births: 48 2015 Total births: 48 2014 Total births: 47 2043 Natural increase: -1 2042 Natural increase: -1 2041 Natural increase: -1 2040 Natural increase: 0 2039 Natural increase: 0 2038 Natural increase: 0 2037 Natural increase: 1 2036 Natural increase: 1 2035 Natural increase: 1 2034 Natural increase: 2 2033 Natural increase: 2 2032 Natural increase: 3 2031 Natural increase: 4 2030 Natural increase: 4 2029 Natural increase: 5 2028 Natural increase: 6 2027 Natural increase: 6 2026 Natural increase: 7 2025 Natural increase: 8 2024 Natural increase: 10 2023 Natural increase: 10 2022 Natural increase: 11 2021 Natural increase: 11 2020 Natural increase: 12 2019 Natural increase: 12 2018 Natural increase: 11 2017 Natural increase: 10 2016 Natural increase: 8 2015 Natural increase: 6 2014 Natural increase: 2 2043 Total deaths: 47 2042 Total deaths: 48 2041 Total deaths: 48 2040 Total deaths: 47 2039 Total deaths: 46 2038 Total deaths: 46 2037 Total deaths: 46 2036 Total deaths: 45 2035 Total deaths: 45 2034 Total deaths: 44 2033 Total deaths: 44 2032 Total deaths: 43 2031 Total deaths: 42 2030 Total deaths: 42 2029 Total deaths: 41 2028 Total deaths: 40 2027 Total deaths: 40 2026 Total deaths: 39 2025 Total deaths: 38 2024 Total deaths: 37 2023 Total deaths: 37 2022 Total deaths: 37 2021 Total deaths: 37 2020 Total deaths: 38 2019 Total deaths: 36 2018 Total deaths: 36 2017 Total deaths: 38 2016 Total deaths: 40 2015 Total deaths: 42 2014 Total deaths: 45 2043 Total births: 47 2042 Total births: 47 2041 Total births: 47 2040 Total births: 47 2039 Total births: 47 2038 Total births: 46 2037 Total births: 46 2036 Total births: 46 2035 Total births: 46 2034 Total births: 46 2033 Total births: 46 2032 Total births: 46 2031 Total births: 46 2030 Total births: 46 2029 Total births: 46 2028 Total births: 46 2027 Total births: 46 2026 Total births: 46 2025 Total births: 47 2024 Total births: 47 2023 Total births: 47 2022 Total births: 48 2021 Total births: 48 2020 Total births: 49 2019 Total births: 48 2018 Total births: 48 2017 Total births: 48 2016 Total births: 48 2015 Total births: 48 2014 Total births: 47
[Forecast_Entity_Source]
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 10 2042 Total net migration: 10 2041 Total net migration: 10 2040 Total net migration: 8 2039 Total net migration: 8 2038 Total net migration: 7 2037 Total net migration: 9 2036 Total net migration: 8 2035 Total net migration: 7 2034 Total net migration: 7 2033 Total net migration: 9 2032 Total net migration: 10 2031 Total net migration: 7 2030 Total net migration: 7 2029 Total net migration: 4 2028 Total net migration: -1 2027 Total net migration: -1 2026 Total net migration: -15 2025 Total net migration: -14 2024 Total net migration: -12 2023 Total net migration: -14 2022 Total net migration: -20 2021 Total net migration: -3 2020 Total net migration: -31 2019 Total net migration: 64 2018 Total net migration: 35 2017 Total net migration: -19 2016 Total net migration: -1 2015 Total net migration: 38 2014 Total net migration: 75 2043 Total out migration: 373 2042 Total out migration: 373 2041 Total out migration: 372 2040 Total out migration: 372 2039 Total out migration: 371 2038 Total out migration: 371 2037 Total out migration: 371 2036 Total out migration: 370 2035 Total out migration: 370 2034 Total out migration: 369 2033 Total out migration: 368 2032 Total out migration: 368 2031 Total out migration: 367 2030 Total out migration: 366 2029 Total out migration: 366 2028 Total out migration: 366 2027 Total out migration: 366 2026 Total out migration: 368 2025 Total out migration: 369 2024 Total out migration: 371 2023 Total out migration: 373 2022 Total out migration: 376 2021 Total out migration: 376 2020 Total out migration: 380 2019 Total out migration: 374 2018 Total out migration: 371 2017 Total out migration: 373 2016 Total out migration: 374 2015 Total out migration: 370 2014 Total out migration: 366 2043 Total in migration: 383 2042 Total in migration: 383 2041 Total in migration: 382 2040 Total in migration: 379 2039 Total in migration: 379 2038 Total in migration: 378 2037 Total in migration: 380 2036 Total in migration: 378 2035 Total in migration: 377 2034 Total in migration: 376 2033 Total in migration: 377 2032 Total in migration: 377 2031 Total in migration: 374 2030 Total in migration: 373 2029 Total in migration: 370 2028 Total in migration: 365 2027 Total in migration: 365 2026 Total in migration: 352 2025 Total in migration: 355 2024 Total in migration: 359 2023 Total in migration: 359 2022 Total in migration: 355 2021 Total in migration: 373 2020 Total in migration: 349 2019 Total in migration: 437 2018 Total in migration: 406 2017 Total in migration: 354 2016 Total in migration: 373 2015 Total in migration: 408 2014 Total in migration: 441 2043 Total net migration: 10 2042 Total net migration: 10 2041 Total net migration: 10 2040 Total net migration: 8 2039 Total net migration: 8 2038 Total net migration: 7 2037 Total net migration: 9 2036 Total net migration: 8 2035 Total net migration: 7 2034 Total net migration: 7 2033 Total net migration: 9 2032 Total net migration: 10 2031 Total net migration: 7 2030 Total net migration: 7 2029 Total net migration: 4 2028 Total net migration: -1 2027 Total net migration: -1 2026 Total net migration: -15 2025 Total net migration: -14 2024 Total net migration: -12 2023 Total net migration: -14 2022 Total net migration: -20 2021 Total net migration: -3 2020 Total net migration: -31 2019 Total net migration: 64 2018 Total net migration: 35 2017 Total net migration: -19 2016 Total net migration: -1 2015 Total net migration: 38 2014 Total net migration: 75 2043 Total out migration: 373 2042 Total out migration: 373 2041 Total out migration: 372 2040 Total out migration: 372 2039 Total out migration: 371 2038 Total out migration: 371 2037 Total out migration: 371 2036 Total out migration: 370 2035 Total out migration: 370 2034 Total out migration: 369 2033 Total out migration: 368 2032 Total out migration: 368 2031 Total out migration: 367 2030 Total out migration: 366 2029 Total out migration: 366 2028 Total out migration: 366 2027 Total out migration: 366 2026 Total out migration: 368 2025 Total out migration: 369 2024 Total out migration: 371 2023 Total out migration: 373 2022 Total out migration: 376 2021 Total out migration: 376 2020 Total out migration: 380 2019 Total out migration: 374 2018 Total out migration: 371 2017 Total out migration: 373 2016 Total out migration: 374 2015 Total out migration: 370 2014 Total out migration: 366 2043 Total in migration: 383 2042 Total in migration: 383 2041 Total in migration: 382 2040 Total in migration: 379 2039 Total in migration: 379 2038 Total in migration: 378 2037 Total in migration: 380 2036 Total in migration: 378 2035 Total in migration: 377 2034 Total in migration: 376 2033 Total in migration: 377 2032 Total in migration: 377 2031 Total in migration: 374 2030 Total in migration: 373 2029 Total in migration: 370 2028 Total in migration: 365 2027 Total in migration: 365 2026 Total in migration: 352 2025 Total in migration: 355 2024 Total in migration: 359 2023 Total in migration: 359 2022 Total in migration: 355 2021 Total in migration: 373 2020 Total in migration: 349 2019 Total in migration: 437 2018 Total in migration: 406 2017 Total in migration: 354 2016 Total in migration: 373 2015 Total in migration: 408 2014 Total in migration: 441
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v20.11.10-1.0.0