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Homedale - Pencarrow

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Homedale - Pencarrow is forecast for the period from 2024 to 2028, which is expected to have a net increase of 481 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Homedale - PencarrowForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births514512520536517509
Change in persons in non-private dwellings000000
Deaths312312323343355375
Natural increase/decrease202200197193162134
Net migration-7827284-115-180-127

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 5 2042 forecast population change: 3 2041 forecast population change: 1 2040 forecast population change: 0 2039 forecast population change: -2 2038 forecast population change: -2 2037 forecast population change: -4 2036 forecast population change: -4 2035 forecast population change: -4 2034 forecast population change: -5 2033 forecast population change: -3 2032 forecast population change: -1 2031 forecast population change: -2 2030 forecast population change: 24 2029 forecast population change: 59 2028 forecast population change: 121 2027 forecast population change: 113 2026 forecast population change: 113 2025 forecast population change: 90 2024 forecast population change: 44 2023 forecast population change: 63 2022 forecast population change: 52 2021 forecast population change: 56 2020 forecast population change: -24 2019 forecast population change: 80 2018 forecast population change: 74 2017 forecast population change: -9 2016 forecast population change: 4 2015 forecast population change: -11 2014 forecast population change: 65
[Forecast_Entity_Source]
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 25 2042 Natural increase: 26 2041 Natural increase: 27 2040 Natural increase: 27 2039 Natural increase: 29 2038 Natural increase: 30 2037 Natural increase: 31 2036 Natural increase: 32 2035 Natural increase: 33 2034 Natural increase: 35 2033 Natural increase: 36 2032 Natural increase: 38 2031 Natural increase: 40 2030 Natural increase: 41 2029 Natural increase: 40 2028 Natural increase: 39 2027 Natural increase: 39 2026 Natural increase: 40 2025 Natural increase: 40 2024 Natural increase: 39 2023 Natural increase: 39 2022 Natural increase: 39 2021 Natural increase: 39 2020 Natural increase: 41 2019 Natural increase: 41 2018 Natural increase: 40 2017 Natural increase: 40 2016 Natural increase: 40 2015 Natural increase: 42 2014 Natural increase: 40 2043 Total deaths: 76 2042 Total deaths: 76 2041 Total deaths: 75 2040 Total deaths: 75 2039 Total deaths: 74 2038 Total deaths: 72 2037 Total deaths: 72 2036 Total deaths: 71 2035 Total deaths: 71 2034 Total deaths: 70 2033 Total deaths: 69 2032 Total deaths: 69 2031 Total deaths: 68 2030 Total deaths: 68 2029 Total deaths: 68 2028 Total deaths: 67 2027 Total deaths: 66 2026 Total deaths: 64 2025 Total deaths: 63 2024 Total deaths: 64 2023 Total deaths: 63 2022 Total deaths: 62 2021 Total deaths: 62 2020 Total deaths: 63 2019 Total deaths: 62 2018 Total deaths: 61 2017 Total deaths: 61 2016 Total deaths: 62 2015 Total deaths: 63 2014 Total deaths: 64 2043 Total births: 101 2042 Total births: 101 2041 Total births: 102 2040 Total births: 102 2039 Total births: 102 2038 Total births: 102 2037 Total births: 103 2036 Total births: 103 2035 Total births: 104 2034 Total births: 105 2033 Total births: 105 2032 Total births: 106 2031 Total births: 108 2030 Total births: 109 2029 Total births: 108 2028 Total births: 106 2027 Total births: 105 2026 Total births: 104 2025 Total births: 103 2024 Total births: 103 2023 Total births: 102 2022 Total births: 102 2021 Total births: 101 2020 Total births: 104 2019 Total births: 103 2018 Total births: 101 2017 Total births: 101 2016 Total births: 102 2015 Total births: 105 2014 Total births: 104 2043 Natural increase: 25 2042 Natural increase: 26 2041 Natural increase: 27 2040 Natural increase: 27 2039 Natural increase: 29 2038 Natural increase: 30 2037 Natural increase: 31 2036 Natural increase: 32 2035 Natural increase: 33 2034 Natural increase: 35 2033 Natural increase: 36 2032 Natural increase: 38 2031 Natural increase: 40 2030 Natural increase: 41 2029 Natural increase: 40 2028 Natural increase: 39 2027 Natural increase: 39 2026 Natural increase: 40 2025 Natural increase: 40 2024 Natural increase: 39 2023 Natural increase: 39 2022 Natural increase: 39 2021 Natural increase: 39 2020 Natural increase: 41 2019 Natural increase: 41 2018 Natural increase: 40 2017 Natural increase: 40 2016 Natural increase: 40 2015 Natural increase: 42 2014 Natural increase: 40 2043 Total deaths: 76 2042 Total deaths: 76 2041 Total deaths: 75 2040 Total deaths: 75 2039 Total deaths: 74 2038 Total deaths: 72 2037 Total deaths: 72 2036 Total deaths: 71 2035 Total deaths: 71 2034 Total deaths: 70 2033 Total deaths: 69 2032 Total deaths: 69 2031 Total deaths: 68 2030 Total deaths: 68 2029 Total deaths: 68 2028 Total deaths: 67 2027 Total deaths: 66 2026 Total deaths: 64 2025 Total deaths: 63 2024 Total deaths: 64 2023 Total deaths: 63 2022 Total deaths: 62 2021 Total deaths: 62 2020 Total deaths: 63 2019 Total deaths: 62 2018 Total deaths: 61 2017 Total deaths: 61 2016 Total deaths: 62 2015 Total deaths: 63 2014 Total deaths: 64 2043 Total births: 101 2042 Total births: 101 2041 Total births: 102 2040 Total births: 102 2039 Total births: 102 2038 Total births: 102 2037 Total births: 103 2036 Total births: 103 2035 Total births: 104 2034 Total births: 105 2033 Total births: 105 2032 Total births: 106 2031 Total births: 108 2030 Total births: 109 2029 Total births: 108 2028 Total births: 106 2027 Total births: 105 2026 Total births: 104 2025 Total births: 103 2024 Total births: 103 2023 Total births: 102 2022 Total births: 102 2021 Total births: 101 2020 Total births: 104 2019 Total births: 103 2018 Total births: 101 2017 Total births: 101 2016 Total births: 102 2015 Total births: 105 2014 Total births: 104
[Forecast_Entity_Source]
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: -20 2042 Total net migration: -23 2041 Total net migration: -25 2040 Total net migration: -28 2039 Total net migration: -30 2038 Total net migration: -32 2037 Total net migration: -35 2036 Total net migration: -36 2035 Total net migration: -37 2034 Total net migration: -40 2033 Total net migration: -39 2032 Total net migration: -38 2031 Total net migration: -41 2030 Total net migration: -16 2029 Total net migration: 20 2028 Total net migration: 82 2027 Total net migration: 73 2026 Total net migration: 74 2025 Total net migration: 50 2024 Total net migration: 5 2023 Total net migration: 24 2022 Total net migration: 13 2021 Total net migration: 17 2020 Total net migration: -65 2019 Total net migration: 39 2018 Total net migration: 34 2017 Total net migration: -49 2016 Total net migration: -35 2015 Total net migration: -54 2014 Total net migration: 25 2043 Total out migration: 568 2042 Total out migration: 568 2041 Total out migration: 568 2040 Total out migration: 568 2039 Total out migration: 569 2038 Total out migration: 570 2037 Total out migration: 571 2036 Total out migration: 572 2035 Total out migration: 574 2034 Total out migration: 576 2033 Total out migration: 577 2032 Total out migration: 579 2031 Total out migration: 582 2030 Total out migration: 582 2029 Total out migration: 578 2028 Total out migration: 568 2027 Total out migration: 559 2026 Total out migration: 550 2025 Total out migration: 543 2024 Total out migration: 540 2023 Total out migration: 536 2022 Total out migration: 532 2021 Total out migration: 528 2020 Total out migration: 532 2019 Total out migration: 525 2018 Total out migration: 518 2017 Total out migration: 520 2016 Total out migration: 520 2015 Total out migration: 523 2014 Total out migration: 516 2043 Total in migration: 547 2042 Total in migration: 545 2041 Total in migration: 543 2040 Total in migration: 541 2039 Total in migration: 539 2038 Total in migration: 538 2037 Total in migration: 536 2036 Total in migration: 536 2035 Total in migration: 536 2034 Total in migration: 536 2033 Total in migration: 539 2032 Total in migration: 541 2031 Total in migration: 541 2030 Total in migration: 565 2029 Total in migration: 598 2028 Total in migration: 650 2027 Total in migration: 632 2026 Total in migration: 623 2025 Total in migration: 593 2024 Total in migration: 545 2023 Total in migration: 560 2022 Total in migration: 545 2021 Total in migration: 545 2020 Total in migration: 467 2019 Total in migration: 564 2018 Total in migration: 552 2017 Total in migration: 471 2016 Total in migration: 485 2015 Total in migration: 469 2014 Total in migration: 541 2043 Total net migration: -20 2042 Total net migration: -23 2041 Total net migration: -25 2040 Total net migration: -28 2039 Total net migration: -30 2038 Total net migration: -32 2037 Total net migration: -35 2036 Total net migration: -36 2035 Total net migration: -37 2034 Total net migration: -40 2033 Total net migration: -39 2032 Total net migration: -38 2031 Total net migration: -41 2030 Total net migration: -16 2029 Total net migration: 20 2028 Total net migration: 82 2027 Total net migration: 73 2026 Total net migration: 74 2025 Total net migration: 50 2024 Total net migration: 5 2023 Total net migration: 24 2022 Total net migration: 13 2021 Total net migration: 17 2020 Total net migration: -65 2019 Total net migration: 39 2018 Total net migration: 34 2017 Total net migration: -49 2016 Total net migration: -35 2015 Total net migration: -54 2014 Total net migration: 25 2043 Total out migration: 568 2042 Total out migration: 568 2041 Total out migration: 568 2040 Total out migration: 568 2039 Total out migration: 569 2038 Total out migration: 570 2037 Total out migration: 571 2036 Total out migration: 572 2035 Total out migration: 574 2034 Total out migration: 576 2033 Total out migration: 577 2032 Total out migration: 579 2031 Total out migration: 582 2030 Total out migration: 582 2029 Total out migration: 578 2028 Total out migration: 568 2027 Total out migration: 559 2026 Total out migration: 550 2025 Total out migration: 543 2024 Total out migration: 540 2023 Total out migration: 536 2022 Total out migration: 532 2021 Total out migration: 528 2020 Total out migration: 532 2019 Total out migration: 525 2018 Total out migration: 518 2017 Total out migration: 520 2016 Total out migration: 520 2015 Total out migration: 523 2014 Total out migration: 516 2043 Total in migration: 547 2042 Total in migration: 545 2041 Total in migration: 543 2040 Total in migration: 541 2039 Total in migration: 539 2038 Total in migration: 538 2037 Total in migration: 536 2036 Total in migration: 536 2035 Total in migration: 536 2034 Total in migration: 536 2033 Total in migration: 539 2032 Total in migration: 541 2031 Total in migration: 541 2030 Total in migration: 565 2029 Total in migration: 598 2028 Total in migration: 650 2027 Total in migration: 632 2026 Total in migration: 623 2025 Total in migration: 593 2024 Total in migration: 545 2023 Total in migration: 560 2022 Total in migration: 545 2021 Total in migration: 545 2020 Total in migration: 467 2019 Total in migration: 564 2018 Total in migration: 552 2017 Total in migration: 471 2016 Total in migration: 485 2015 Total in migration: 469 2014 Total in migration: 541
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v20.11.10-1.0.0