Normandale - Tirohanga
Components of population change
The greatest population change for Normandale - Tirohanga is forecast for the period from 2039 to 2043, which is expected to have a net increase of 108 people.
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
| Components of population change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normandale - Tirohanga | Forecast period | ||||||
| Component | 2014 to 2018 | 2019 to 2023 | 2024 to 2028 | 2029 to 2033 | 2034 to 2038 | 2039 to 2043 | |
| Births | -- | 166 | 162 | 160 | 157 | 160 | 165 |
| Deaths | -- | 134 | 130 | 143 | 166 | 184 | 194 |
| Natural increase/decrease | -- | 32 | 32 | 17 | -9 | -24 | -30 |
| Net migration | -- | -54 | -54 | 24 | 67 | 110 | 138 |
| Change in persons in non-private dwellings | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total population change | -22 | -22 | 41 | 58 | 86 | 109 | |
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (opens a new window), the population experts, April 2016.
