Normandale - Tirohanga
Components of population change
The greatest population change for Normandale - Tirohanga is forecast for the period from 2039 to 2043, which is expected to have a net increase of 109 people.
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
| Components of population change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normandale - Tirohanga | Forecast period | ||||||
| Component | 2014 to 2018 | 2019 to 2023 | 2024 to 2028 | 2029 to 2033 | 2034 to 2038 | 2039 to 2043 | |
| Births | -- | 168 | 164 | 161 | 159 | 161 | 166 |
| Change in persons in non-private dwellings | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Deaths | -- | 135 | 131 | 144 | 167 | 185 | 195 |
| Natural increase/decrease | -- | 33 | 33 | 17 | -9 | -24 | -30 |
| Net migration | -- | -26 | -56 | 23 | 66 | 110 | 139 |
| Total population change | 7 | -23 | 40 | 58 | 86 | 109 | |
