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Normandale - Tirohanga

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Normandale - Tirohanga is forecast for the period from 2039 to 2043, which is expected to have a net increase of 109 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Normandale - TirohangaForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births168164161159161166
Change in persons in non-private dwellings000000
Deaths135131144167185195
Natural increase/decrease333317-9-24-30
Net migration-26-562366110139

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 23 2042 forecast population change: 27 2041 forecast population change: 19 2040 forecast population change: 20 2039 forecast population change: 20 2038 forecast population change: 17 2037 forecast population change: 15 2036 forecast population change: 21 2035 forecast population change: 19 2034 forecast population change: 14 2033 forecast population change: 12 2032 forecast population change: 13 2031 forecast population change: 10 2030 forecast population change: 9 2029 forecast population change: 13 2028 forecast population change: 11 2027 forecast population change: 8 2026 forecast population change: 12 2025 forecast population change: 3 2024 forecast population change: 5 2023 forecast population change: 4 2022 forecast population change: 6 2021 forecast population change: -11 2020 forecast population change: -9 2019 forecast population change: -13 2018 forecast population change: -2 2017 forecast population change: -4 2016 forecast population change: -10 2015 forecast population change: 4 2014 forecast population change: 19
[Forecast_Entity_Source]
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -6 2042 Natural increase: -6 2041 Natural increase: -6 2040 Natural increase: -6 2039 Natural increase: -6 2038 Natural increase: -6 2037 Natural increase: -5 2036 Natural increase: -5 2035 Natural increase: -5 2034 Natural increase: -3 2033 Natural increase: -3 2032 Natural increase: -3 2031 Natural increase: -2 2030 Natural increase: -1 2029 Natural increase: 0 2028 Natural increase: 2 2027 Natural increase: 3 2026 Natural increase: 4 2025 Natural increase: 5 2024 Natural increase: 4 2023 Natural increase: 6 2022 Natural increase: 6 2021 Natural increase: 7 2020 Natural increase: 7 2019 Natural increase: 8 2018 Natural increase: 7 2017 Natural increase: 7 2016 Natural increase: 7 2015 Natural increase: 5 2014 Natural increase: 7 2043 Total deaths: 40 2042 Total deaths: 39 2041 Total deaths: 39 2040 Total deaths: 39 2039 Total deaths: 39 2038 Total deaths: 38 2037 Total deaths: 37 2036 Total deaths: 37 2035 Total deaths: 37 2034 Total deaths: 35 2033 Total deaths: 35 2032 Total deaths: 35 2031 Total deaths: 34 2030 Total deaths: 33 2029 Total deaths: 32 2028 Total deaths: 30 2027 Total deaths: 29 2026 Total deaths: 29 2025 Total deaths: 28 2024 Total deaths: 28 2023 Total deaths: 27 2022 Total deaths: 27 2021 Total deaths: 26 2020 Total deaths: 26 2019 Total deaths: 26 2018 Total deaths: 26 2017 Total deaths: 26 2016 Total deaths: 27 2015 Total deaths: 29 2014 Total deaths: 27 2043 Total births: 34 2042 Total births: 33 2041 Total births: 33 2040 Total births: 33 2039 Total births: 33 2038 Total births: 33 2037 Total births: 32 2036 Total births: 32 2035 Total births: 32 2034 Total births: 32 2033 Total births: 32 2032 Total births: 32 2031 Total births: 32 2030 Total births: 32 2029 Total births: 32 2028 Total births: 32 2027 Total births: 32 2026 Total births: 32 2025 Total births: 32 2024 Total births: 32 2023 Total births: 32 2022 Total births: 33 2021 Total births: 33 2020 Total births: 33 2019 Total births: 33 2018 Total births: 34 2017 Total births: 33 2016 Total births: 34 2015 Total births: 34 2014 Total births: 34 2043 Natural increase: -6 2042 Natural increase: -6 2041 Natural increase: -6 2040 Natural increase: -6 2039 Natural increase: -6 2038 Natural increase: -6 2037 Natural increase: -5 2036 Natural increase: -5 2035 Natural increase: -5 2034 Natural increase: -3 2033 Natural increase: -3 2032 Natural increase: -3 2031 Natural increase: -2 2030 Natural increase: -1 2029 Natural increase: 0 2028 Natural increase: 2 2027 Natural increase: 3 2026 Natural increase: 4 2025 Natural increase: 5 2024 Natural increase: 4 2023 Natural increase: 6 2022 Natural increase: 6 2021 Natural increase: 7 2020 Natural increase: 7 2019 Natural increase: 8 2018 Natural increase: 7 2017 Natural increase: 7 2016 Natural increase: 7 2015 Natural increase: 5 2014 Natural increase: 7 2043 Total deaths: 40 2042 Total deaths: 39 2041 Total deaths: 39 2040 Total deaths: 39 2039 Total deaths: 39 2038 Total deaths: 38 2037 Total deaths: 37 2036 Total deaths: 37 2035 Total deaths: 37 2034 Total deaths: 35 2033 Total deaths: 35 2032 Total deaths: 35 2031 Total deaths: 34 2030 Total deaths: 33 2029 Total deaths: 32 2028 Total deaths: 30 2027 Total deaths: 29 2026 Total deaths: 29 2025 Total deaths: 28 2024 Total deaths: 28 2023 Total deaths: 27 2022 Total deaths: 27 2021 Total deaths: 26 2020 Total deaths: 26 2019 Total deaths: 26 2018 Total deaths: 26 2017 Total deaths: 26 2016 Total deaths: 27 2015 Total deaths: 29 2014 Total deaths: 27 2043 Total births: 34 2042 Total births: 33 2041 Total births: 33 2040 Total births: 33 2039 Total births: 33 2038 Total births: 33 2037 Total births: 32 2036 Total births: 32 2035 Total births: 32 2034 Total births: 32 2033 Total births: 32 2032 Total births: 32 2031 Total births: 32 2030 Total births: 32 2029 Total births: 32 2028 Total births: 32 2027 Total births: 32 2026 Total births: 32 2025 Total births: 32 2024 Total births: 32 2023 Total births: 32 2022 Total births: 33 2021 Total births: 33 2020 Total births: 33 2019 Total births: 33 2018 Total births: 34 2017 Total births: 33 2016 Total births: 34 2015 Total births: 34 2014 Total births: 34
[Forecast_Entity_Source]
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 29 2042 Total net migration: 33 2041 Total net migration: 25 2040 Total net migration: 26 2039 Total net migration: 26 2038 Total net migration: 23 2037 Total net migration: 20 2036 Total net migration: 26 2035 Total net migration: 24 2034 Total net migration: 17 2033 Total net migration: 15 2032 Total net migration: 16 2031 Total net migration: 12 2030 Total net migration: 10 2029 Total net migration: 13 2028 Total net migration: 9 2027 Total net migration: 5 2026 Total net migration: 9 2025 Total net migration: -1 2024 Total net migration: 1 2023 Total net migration: -1 2022 Total net migration: 1 2021 Total net migration: -18 2020 Total net migration: -16 2019 Total net migration: -21 2018 Total net migration: -9 2017 Total net migration: -11 2016 Total net migration: -17 2015 Total net migration: -1 2014 Total net migration: 12 2043 Total out migration: 279 2042 Total out migration: 276 2041 Total out migration: 275 2040 Total out migration: 273 2039 Total out migration: 272 2038 Total out migration: 270 2037 Total out migration: 269 2036 Total out migration: 267 2035 Total out migration: 266 2034 Total out migration: 265 2033 Total out migration: 264 2032 Total out migration: 263 2031 Total out migration: 262 2030 Total out migration: 262 2029 Total out migration: 261 2028 Total out migration: 260 2027 Total out migration: 260 2026 Total out migration: 260 2025 Total out migration: 260 2024 Total out migration: 260 2023 Total out migration: 261 2022 Total out migration: 261 2021 Total out migration: 264 2020 Total out migration: 266 2019 Total out migration: 269 2018 Total out migration: 270 2017 Total out migration: 271 2016 Total out migration: 273 2015 Total out migration: 274 2014 Total out migration: 274 2043 Total in migration: 308 2042 Total in migration: 309 2041 Total in migration: 300 2040 Total in migration: 299 2039 Total in migration: 297 2038 Total in migration: 293 2037 Total in migration: 289 2036 Total in migration: 294 2035 Total in migration: 289 2034 Total in migration: 282 2033 Total in migration: 279 2032 Total in migration: 279 2031 Total in migration: 274 2030 Total in migration: 272 2029 Total in migration: 273 2028 Total in migration: 269 2027 Total in migration: 266 2026 Total in migration: 268 2025 Total in migration: 259 2024 Total in migration: 261 2023 Total in migration: 259 2022 Total in migration: 262 2021 Total in migration: 245 2020 Total in migration: 250 2019 Total in migration: 248 2018 Total in migration: 260 2017 Total in migration: 261 2016 Total in migration: 256 2015 Total in migration: 273 2014 Total in migration: 287 2043 Total net migration: 29 2042 Total net migration: 33 2041 Total net migration: 25 2040 Total net migration: 26 2039 Total net migration: 26 2038 Total net migration: 23 2037 Total net migration: 20 2036 Total net migration: 26 2035 Total net migration: 24 2034 Total net migration: 17 2033 Total net migration: 15 2032 Total net migration: 16 2031 Total net migration: 12 2030 Total net migration: 10 2029 Total net migration: 13 2028 Total net migration: 9 2027 Total net migration: 5 2026 Total net migration: 9 2025 Total net migration: -1 2024 Total net migration: 1 2023 Total net migration: -1 2022 Total net migration: 1 2021 Total net migration: -18 2020 Total net migration: -16 2019 Total net migration: -21 2018 Total net migration: -9 2017 Total net migration: -11 2016 Total net migration: -17 2015 Total net migration: -1 2014 Total net migration: 12 2043 Total out migration: 279 2042 Total out migration: 276 2041 Total out migration: 275 2040 Total out migration: 273 2039 Total out migration: 272 2038 Total out migration: 270 2037 Total out migration: 269 2036 Total out migration: 267 2035 Total out migration: 266 2034 Total out migration: 265 2033 Total out migration: 264 2032 Total out migration: 263 2031 Total out migration: 262 2030 Total out migration: 262 2029 Total out migration: 261 2028 Total out migration: 260 2027 Total out migration: 260 2026 Total out migration: 260 2025 Total out migration: 260 2024 Total out migration: 260 2023 Total out migration: 261 2022 Total out migration: 261 2021 Total out migration: 264 2020 Total out migration: 266 2019 Total out migration: 269 2018 Total out migration: 270 2017 Total out migration: 271 2016 Total out migration: 273 2015 Total out migration: 274 2014 Total out migration: 274 2043 Total in migration: 308 2042 Total in migration: 309 2041 Total in migration: 300 2040 Total in migration: 299 2039 Total in migration: 297 2038 Total in migration: 293 2037 Total in migration: 289 2036 Total in migration: 294 2035 Total in migration: 289 2034 Total in migration: 282 2033 Total in migration: 279 2032 Total in migration: 279 2031 Total in migration: 274 2030 Total in migration: 272 2029 Total in migration: 273 2028 Total in migration: 269 2027 Total in migration: 266 2026 Total in migration: 268 2025 Total in migration: 259 2024 Total in migration: 261 2023 Total in migration: 259 2022 Total in migration: 262 2021 Total in migration: 245 2020 Total in migration: 250 2019 Total in migration: 248 2018 Total in migration: 260 2017 Total in migration: 261 2016 Total in migration: 256 2015 Total in migration: 273 2014 Total in migration: 287
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v20.11.10-1.0.0