Hutt CityPopulation forecast
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Stokes Valley Northwest - Holborn

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Stokes Valley Northwest - Holborn indicate a 22.8% increase in population under working age, a 70.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hutt City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Stokes Valley Northwest - Holborn - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2029.52319.82369.4+34
5 to 9 1617.62078.72088.3+46
10 to 14 1426.71827.71847.3+42
15 to 19 1416.61446.11636.5+23
20 to 24 1326.21375.81586.3+27
25 to 29 1838.61646.91746.9-10
30 to 34 1416.61646.91666.6+24
35 to 39 1627.61596.71586.3-4
40 to 44 1416.61516.41475.9+6
45 to 49 1517.11365.81485.9-3
50 to 54 1517.11355.71425.7-9
55 to 59 1316.21255.31365.4+4
60 to 64 1115.21265.31234.9+12
65 to 69 803.81134.81124.5+31
70 to 74 502.4893.8963.8+46
75 to 79 201.0632.6813.2+61
80 to 84 201.0291.2502.0+30
85 and over100.5120.5261.0+16
Total persons2,131100.02,366100.02,508100.0+377

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 81 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 96 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 112 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 123 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 136 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 142 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 148 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 147 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 158 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 166 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 174 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 158 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 163 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 184 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 208 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 236 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 29 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 63 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 89 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 113 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 126 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 125 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 135 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 136 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 151 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 159 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 164 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 164 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 137 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 144 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 182 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 207 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 231 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 10 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 20 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 20 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 50 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 80 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 111 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 131 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 151 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 151 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 141 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 162 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 141 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 183 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 132 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 141 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 142 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 161 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 202
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 19 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 2 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 9 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 32 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 15 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -7 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -16 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -15 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 22 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 5 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 40 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 45 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 29
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Stokes Valley Northwest - Holborn was ages 0 to 4 , which accounted for 9.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9 , which is expected to increase by 45 and account for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 231 persons.

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