Hutt CityPopulation forecast
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Taita South

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Taita South indicate a 10.1% decrease in population under working age, a 16.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hutt City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Taita South - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42709.02528.52448.1-26
5 to 92408.02207.42197.3-21
10 to 142518.32127.12137.1-38
15 to 192397.92207.42157.1-24
20 to 242317.72016.81966.5-35
25 to 291916.32006.81926.4+1
30 to 342107.02087.02046.8-6
35 to 391906.31956.61966.5+5
40 to 442197.31886.31946.4-25
45 to 491896.31916.41966.5+6
50 to 541605.31816.11856.1+26
55 to 591605.31776.01675.6+7
60 to 641404.61464.91515.0+12
65 to 691294.31143.81304.3+1
70 to 74802.71023.51194.0+39
75 to 79612.0842.8983.3+38
80 to 84301.0531.8602.0+30
85 and over200.7210.7331.1+12
Total persons3,010100.02,966100.03,013100.0+2

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 33 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 60 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 98 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 119 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 130 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 151 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 167 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 185 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 196 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 194 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 196 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 204 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 192 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 196 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 215 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 213 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 219 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 244 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 53 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 84 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 102 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 114 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 146 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 177 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 181 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 191 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 188 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 195 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 208 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 200 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 201 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 220 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 212 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 220 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 252 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 30 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 61 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 80 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 129 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 140 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 160 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 160 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 189 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 219 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 190 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 210 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 191 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 231 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 239 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 251 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 240 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 270
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -10 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -5 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -5 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -8 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 23 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 23 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: -16 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 7 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 21 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -30 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -19 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -39 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -20 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -18
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Taita South was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 9.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 24 and account for 2.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 252 persons.

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