Hutt CityPopulation forecast
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Waterloo East

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Waterloo East indicate a 15.7% decrease in population under working age, a 23.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hutt City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Waterloo East - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43107.12475.62555.6-54
5 to 93498.02796.42906.3-59
10 to 142706.22575.92595.7-11
15 to 192986.82626.02335.1-65
20 to 242305.32315.32084.6-22
25 to 292205.02114.82144.7-6
30 to 342315.32485.72535.5+21
35 to 393107.12946.73066.7-4
40 to 443788.63327.63467.6-32
45 to 493387.73197.33377.4-1
50 to 543297.53197.33227.1-6
55 to 592706.23157.23016.6+31
60 to 642094.82776.32776.1+67
65 to 692385.42666.12736.0+35
70 to 741593.62205.02645.8+104
75 to 791112.51613.72214.8+110
80 to 84701.61082.51443.2+74
85 and over601.4340.8621.4+2
Total persons4,383100.04,381100.04,564100.0+181

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 62 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 144 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 221 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 264 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 273 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 277 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 301 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 322 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 337 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 346 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 306 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 253 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 214 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 208 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 233 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 259 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 290 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 255 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 34 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 108 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 161 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 220 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 266 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 277 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 315 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 319 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 319 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 332 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 294 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 248 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 211 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 231 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 262 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 257 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 279 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 247 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 60 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 70 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 111 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 159 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 238 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 209 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 270 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 329 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 338 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 378 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 310 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 231 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 220 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 230 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 298 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 270 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 349 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 310
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 60 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 43 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -14 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -23 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: -27 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 38 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 50 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 61 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 28 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 68 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 45 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -10 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -46 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -16 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 17 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -36 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -70 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -63
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Waterloo East was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 68 and account for 6.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 332 persons.

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