Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast
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Waikanae Park

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Waikanae Park is forecast for the period from 2039 to 2043, which is expected to have a net increase of 664 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Waikanae ParkForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births575885126156182
Deaths191210236271311352
Natural increase/decrease-134-152-151-145-155-170
Net migration140392551707725795
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0000040

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 177 2042 forecast population change: 125 2041 forecast population change: 119 2040 forecast population change: 122 2039 forecast population change: 122 2038 forecast population change: 123 2037 forecast population change: 112 2036 forecast population change: 112 2035 forecast population change: 112 2034 forecast population change: 112 2033 forecast population change: 114 2032 forecast population change: 113 2031 forecast population change: 109 2030 forecast population change: 110 2029 forecast population change: 116 2028 forecast population change: 111 2027 forecast population change: 109 2026 forecast population change: 60 2025 forecast population change: 56 2024 forecast population change: 63 2023 forecast population change: 64 2022 forecast population change: 54 2021 forecast population change: 50 2020 forecast population change: 39 2019 forecast population change: 33 2018 forecast population change: 18 2017 forecast population change: 6 2016 forecast population change: 4 2015 forecast population change: 7 2014 forecast population change: -30
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -36 2042 Natural increase: -35 2041 Natural increase: -34 2040 Natural increase: -33 2039 Natural increase: -33 2038 Natural increase: -32 2037 Natural increase: -32 2036 Natural increase: -31 2035 Natural increase: -30 2034 Natural increase: -29 2033 Natural increase: -29 2032 Natural increase: -29 2031 Natural increase: -29 2030 Natural increase: -29 2029 Natural increase: -29 2028 Natural increase: -29 2027 Natural increase: -30 2026 Natural increase: -30 2025 Natural increase: -31 2024 Natural increase: -31 2023 Natural increase: -31 2022 Natural increase: -31 2021 Natural increase: -31 2020 Natural increase: -30 2019 Natural increase: -30 2018 Natural increase: -29 2017 Natural increase: -28 2016 Natural increase: -27 2015 Natural increase: -26 2014 Natural increase: -25 2043 Total deaths: 74 2042 Total deaths: 72 2041 Total deaths: 70 2040 Total deaths: 69 2039 Total deaths: 67 2038 Total deaths: 66 2037 Total deaths: 64 2036 Total deaths: 62 2035 Total deaths: 60 2034 Total deaths: 58 2033 Total deaths: 57 2032 Total deaths: 56 2031 Total deaths: 54 2030 Total deaths: 52 2029 Total deaths: 51 2028 Total deaths: 49 2027 Total deaths: 48 2026 Total deaths: 47 2025 Total deaths: 46 2024 Total deaths: 45 2023 Total deaths: 44 2022 Total deaths: 43 2021 Total deaths: 42 2020 Total deaths: 40 2019 Total deaths: 40 2018 Total deaths: 39 2017 Total deaths: 39 2016 Total deaths: 38 2015 Total deaths: 38 2014 Total deaths: 37 2043 Total births: 38 2042 Total births: 37 2041 Total births: 36 2040 Total births: 35 2039 Total births: 34 2038 Total births: 33 2037 Total births: 32 2036 Total births: 31 2035 Total births: 30 2034 Total births: 29 2033 Total births: 28 2032 Total births: 27 2031 Total births: 25 2030 Total births: 24 2029 Total births: 22 2028 Total births: 20 2027 Total births: 18 2026 Total births: 17 2025 Total births: 15 2024 Total births: 14 2023 Total births: 13 2022 Total births: 12 2021 Total births: 11 2020 Total births: 11 2019 Total births: 10 2018 Total births: 10 2017 Total births: 11 2016 Total births: 11 2015 Total births: 12 2014 Total births: 12 2043 Natural increase: -36 2042 Natural increase: -35 2041 Natural increase: -34 2040 Natural increase: -33 2039 Natural increase: -33 2038 Natural increase: -32 2037 Natural increase: -32 2036 Natural increase: -31 2035 Natural increase: -30 2034 Natural increase: -29 2033 Natural increase: -29 2032 Natural increase: -29 2031 Natural increase: -29 2030 Natural increase: -29 2029 Natural increase: -29 2028 Natural increase: -29 2027 Natural increase: -30 2026 Natural increase: -30 2025 Natural increase: -31 2024 Natural increase: -31 2023 Natural increase: -31 2022 Natural increase: -31 2021 Natural increase: -31 2020 Natural increase: -30 2019 Natural increase: -30 2018 Natural increase: -29 2017 Natural increase: -28 2016 Natural increase: -27 2015 Natural increase: -26 2014 Natural increase: -25 2043 Total deaths: 74 2042 Total deaths: 72 2041 Total deaths: 70 2040 Total deaths: 69 2039 Total deaths: 67 2038 Total deaths: 66 2037 Total deaths: 64 2036 Total deaths: 62 2035 Total deaths: 60 2034 Total deaths: 58 2033 Total deaths: 57 2032 Total deaths: 56 2031 Total deaths: 54 2030 Total deaths: 52 2029 Total deaths: 51 2028 Total deaths: 49 2027 Total deaths: 48 2026 Total deaths: 47 2025 Total deaths: 46 2024 Total deaths: 45 2023 Total deaths: 44 2022 Total deaths: 43 2021 Total deaths: 42 2020 Total deaths: 40 2019 Total deaths: 40 2018 Total deaths: 39 2017 Total deaths: 39 2016 Total deaths: 38 2015 Total deaths: 38 2014 Total deaths: 37 2043 Total births: 38 2042 Total births: 37 2041 Total births: 36 2040 Total births: 35 2039 Total births: 34 2038 Total births: 33 2037 Total births: 32 2036 Total births: 31 2035 Total births: 30 2034 Total births: 29 2033 Total births: 28 2032 Total births: 27 2031 Total births: 25 2030 Total births: 24 2029 Total births: 22 2028 Total births: 20 2027 Total births: 18 2026 Total births: 17 2025 Total births: 15 2024 Total births: 14 2023 Total births: 13 2022 Total births: 12 2021 Total births: 11 2020 Total births: 11 2019 Total births: 10 2018 Total births: 10 2017 Total births: 11 2016 Total births: 11 2015 Total births: 12 2014 Total births: 12
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 173 2042 Total net migration: 160 2041 Total net migration: 152 2040 Total net migration: 155 2039 Total net migration: 155 2038 Total net migration: 155 2037 Total net migration: 144 2036 Total net migration: 143 2035 Total net migration: 142 2034 Total net migration: 141 2033 Total net migration: 143 2032 Total net migration: 143 2031 Total net migration: 138 2030 Total net migration: 138 2029 Total net migration: 145 2028 Total net migration: 141 2027 Total net migration: 139 2026 Total net migration: 91 2025 Total net migration: 87 2024 Total net migration: 93 2023 Total net migration: 94 2022 Total net migration: 85 2021 Total net migration: 81 2020 Total net migration: 69 2019 Total net migration: 63 2018 Total net migration: 47 2017 Total net migration: 34 2016 Total net migration: 31 2015 Total net migration: 33 2014 Total net migration: -5 2043 Total out migration: 282 2042 Total out migration: 273 2041 Total out migration: 265 2040 Total out migration: 257 2039 Total out migration: 249 2038 Total out migration: 240 2037 Total out migration: 233 2036 Total out migration: 225 2035 Total out migration: 217 2034 Total out migration: 209 2033 Total out migration: 200 2032 Total out migration: 192 2031 Total out migration: 183 2030 Total out migration: 174 2029 Total out migration: 165 2028 Total out migration: 156 2027 Total out migration: 146 2026 Total out migration: 140 2025 Total out migration: 134 2024 Total out migration: 129 2023 Total out migration: 124 2022 Total out migration: 119 2021 Total out migration: 115 2020 Total out migration: 112 2019 Total out migration: 111 2018 Total out migration: 110 2017 Total out migration: 112 2016 Total out migration: 113 2015 Total out migration: 114 2014 Total out migration: 118 2043 Total in migration: 454 2042 Total in migration: 433 2041 Total in migration: 418 2040 Total in migration: 412 2039 Total in migration: 404 2038 Total in migration: 396 2037 Total in migration: 377 2036 Total in migration: 367 2035 Total in migration: 359 2034 Total in migration: 350 2033 Total in migration: 343 2032 Total in migration: 334 2031 Total in migration: 321 2030 Total in migration: 313 2029 Total in migration: 310 2028 Total in migration: 296 2027 Total in migration: 285 2026 Total in migration: 230 2025 Total in migration: 222 2024 Total in migration: 223 2023 Total in migration: 218 2022 Total in migration: 204 2021 Total in migration: 196 2020 Total in migration: 181 2019 Total in migration: 173 2018 Total in migration: 157 2017 Total in migration: 146 2016 Total in migration: 144 2015 Total in migration: 147 2014 Total in migration: 113 2043 Total net migration: 173 2042 Total net migration: 160 2041 Total net migration: 152 2040 Total net migration: 155 2039 Total net migration: 155 2038 Total net migration: 155 2037 Total net migration: 144 2036 Total net migration: 143 2035 Total net migration: 142 2034 Total net migration: 141 2033 Total net migration: 143 2032 Total net migration: 143 2031 Total net migration: 138 2030 Total net migration: 138 2029 Total net migration: 145 2028 Total net migration: 141 2027 Total net migration: 139 2026 Total net migration: 91 2025 Total net migration: 87 2024 Total net migration: 93 2023 Total net migration: 94 2022 Total net migration: 85 2021 Total net migration: 81 2020 Total net migration: 69 2019 Total net migration: 63 2018 Total net migration: 47 2017 Total net migration: 34 2016 Total net migration: 31 2015 Total net migration: 33 2014 Total net migration: -5 2043 Total out migration: 282 2042 Total out migration: 273 2041 Total out migration: 265 2040 Total out migration: 257 2039 Total out migration: 249 2038 Total out migration: 240 2037 Total out migration: 233 2036 Total out migration: 225 2035 Total out migration: 217 2034 Total out migration: 209 2033 Total out migration: 200 2032 Total out migration: 192 2031 Total out migration: 183 2030 Total out migration: 174 2029 Total out migration: 165 2028 Total out migration: 156 2027 Total out migration: 146 2026 Total out migration: 140 2025 Total out migration: 134 2024 Total out migration: 129 2023 Total out migration: 124 2022 Total out migration: 119 2021 Total out migration: 115 2020 Total out migration: 112 2019 Total out migration: 111 2018 Total out migration: 110 2017 Total out migration: 112 2016 Total out migration: 113 2015 Total out migration: 114 2014 Total out migration: 118 2043 Total in migration: 454 2042 Total in migration: 433 2041 Total in migration: 418 2040 Total in migration: 412 2039 Total in migration: 404 2038 Total in migration: 396 2037 Total in migration: 377 2036 Total in migration: 367 2035 Total in migration: 359 2034 Total in migration: 350 2033 Total in migration: 343 2032 Total in migration: 334 2031 Total in migration: 321 2030 Total in migration: 313 2029 Total in migration: 310 2028 Total in migration: 296 2027 Total in migration: 285 2026 Total in migration: 230 2025 Total in migration: 222 2024 Total in migration: 223 2023 Total in migration: 218 2022 Total in migration: 204 2021 Total in migration: 196 2020 Total in migration: 181 2019 Total in migration: 173 2018 Total in migration: 157 2017 Total in migration: 146 2016 Total in migration: 144 2015 Total in migration: 147 2014 Total in migration: 113
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.
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