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Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Waikanae-Reikorangi indicate a 30.6% increase in population under working age, a 32.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 37.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Waikanae-Reikorangi is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Waikanae-Reikorangi - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42604.33254.03944.0+133
5 to 92764.53714.54614.6+185
10 to 142924.83854.74724.7+180
15 to 192894.73324.03994.0+110
20 to 241752.92302.82712.7+96
25 to 291242.01952.42282.3+104
30 to 341672.72463.02792.8+112
35 to 392243.73384.13923.9+168
40 to 443195.24205.14995.0+180
45 to 493425.64735.75695.7+227
50 to 543986.55036.15996.0+201
55 to 593676.05386.56306.3+263
60 to 644206.96117.47277.3+307
65 to 695819.57228.88588.6+276
70 to 745378.87088.68969.0+359
75 to 794777.86217.58158.2+339
80 to 844036.65396.66886.9+284
85 and over4717.76718.27717.8+300
Total persons6,124100.08,228100.09,949100.0+3,824
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Waikanae-Reikorangi was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 9.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 200 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 722 persons.

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