Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast
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Otaki

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Otaki indicate a 6.4% increase in population under working age, a 25.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kāpiti Coast is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Otaki - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42106.32075.62235.7+13
5 to 92246.82476.72676.8+43
10 to 142186.62406.52616.6+44
15 to 191805.42085.72195.6+40
20 to 241554.71644.41774.5+23
25 to 291123.41544.21674.2+54
30 to 341454.41694.61844.7+39
35 to 391444.31824.91954.9+51
40 to 442046.21724.71924.9-12
45 to 491805.41694.61874.8+7
50 to 542076.21754.81965.0-11
55 to 592046.22175.92135.4+9
60 to 642216.72366.42426.1+21
65 to 692507.62667.22636.7+13
70 to 742186.62647.22847.2+65
75 to 791755.32416.62636.7+88
80 to 841344.02005.42245.7+90
85 and over1324.01684.61864.7+55
Total persons3,312100.03,680100.03,944100.0+632

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 186 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 224 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 263 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 284 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 263 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 242 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 213 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 196 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 187 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 192 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 195 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 184 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 167 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 177 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 219 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 261 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 267 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 223 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 168 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 200 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 241 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 264 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 266 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 236 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 217 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 175 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 169 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 172 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 182 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 169 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 154 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 164 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 208 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 240 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 247 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 207 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 132 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 134 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 218 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 250 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 221 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 204 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 207 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 180 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 204 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 144 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 145 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 112 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 155 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 180 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 218 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 224 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 210
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 22 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 19 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 36 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 67 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 66 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 45 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 16 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 15 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 13 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 38 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 41 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 9 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 23 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 23 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -3
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Otaki was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 67 and account for 5.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 266 persons.

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