Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast
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Otaki Forks-Kaitawa-Te Horo

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Otaki Forks-Kaitawa-Te Horo indicate a 13.7% decrease in population under working age, a 92.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kāpiti Coast is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Otaki Forks-Kaitawa-Te Horo - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41664.51614.01693.9+4
5 to 92276.11854.62014.6-26
10 to 142336.31944.82104.8-23
15 to 192226.01824.51884.3-34
20 to 241072.91423.51333.0+25
25 to 29822.2922.3882.0+6
30 to 341103.0992.51022.3-8
35 to 391624.41333.31513.5-11
40 to 443178.51874.62074.8-109
45 to 493469.32516.22706.2-76
50 to 5441511.23027.53157.2-100
55 to 593258.83729.23387.8+12
60 to 642957.93899.63678.4+72
65 to 692907.841710.33828.8+92
70 to 741995.43568.84009.2+201
75 to 79892.42786.93478.0+258
80 to 84651.81954.82786.4+212
85 and over581.61062.62064.7+148
Total persons3,708100.04,040100.04,352100.0+644

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 206 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 278 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 347 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 400 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 382 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 367 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 338 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 315 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 270 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 207 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 151 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 102 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 88 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 133 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 188 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 210 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 201 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 169 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 106 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 195 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 278 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 356 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 417 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 389 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 372 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 302 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 251 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 187 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 133 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 99 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 92 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 142 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 182 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 194 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 185 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 161 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 58 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 65 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 89 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 199 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 290 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 295 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 325 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 415 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 346 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 317 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 162 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 110 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 82 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 107 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 222 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 233 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 227 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 166
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 100 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 82 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 70 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 44 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -35 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -22 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -34 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -10 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 48 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 130 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 188 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 157 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 127 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 46 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -114 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -95 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -130 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -29 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 35 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -40 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -39 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -42 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -5
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Otaki Forks-Kaitawa-Te Horo was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 11.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 188 and account for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 417 persons.

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