Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast
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Waikanae Beach-Peka Peka

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Waikanae Beach-Peka Peka indicate a 16.1% decrease in population under working age, a 38.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kāpiti Coast is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Waikanae Beach-Peka Peka - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42095.81724.42084.6-1
5 to 92206.21834.62405.3+20
10 to 142366.62035.12455.4+10
15 to 191754.92155.42214.9+45
20 to 241604.51784.51783.9+18
25 to 291113.11403.61473.3+36
30 to 341444.01403.51613.6+17
35 to 391865.21814.62054.5+20
40 to 442667.42205.62545.6-12
45 to 492677.52666.73006.6+33
50 to 542807.82897.33217.1+40
55 to 592276.43137.93267.2+99
60 to 642667.43107.83437.6+77
65 to 692767.73198.13567.9+79
70 to 742476.92757.03537.8+106
75 to 791403.92456.22986.6+157
80 to 84752.11774.52214.9+146
85 and over882.51253.21463.2+58
Total persons3,573100.03,952100.04,521100.0+948

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 146 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 221 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 298 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 353 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 356 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 343 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 326 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 321 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 300 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 254 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 205 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 161 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 147 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 178 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 221 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 245 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 240 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 208 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 125 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 177 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 245 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 275 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 319 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 310 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 313 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 289 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 266 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 220 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 181 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 140 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 140 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 178 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 215 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 203 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 183 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 172 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 88 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 75 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 140 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 247 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 276 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 266 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 227 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 280 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 267 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 266 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 186 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 144 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 111 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 160 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 236 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 220 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 209
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 53 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 78 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 37 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 33 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 32 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 42 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 57 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 36 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 37 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 102 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 104 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 28 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 42 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 44 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 86 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 8 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -1 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -46 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 30 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 18 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -37 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -36
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Waikanae Beach-Peka Peka was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 104 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 319 persons.

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