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Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast

Waikanae Park

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Waikanae Park indicate a 27.4% increase in population under working age, a 69.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 94.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Waikanae Park is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Waikanae Park - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4794.11514.52795.2+200
5 to 9904.7982.92174.1+127
10 to 14904.7812.41713.2+81
15 to 19703.61344.02053.8+135
20 to 24351.81584.72083.9+173
25 to 29452.41674.92294.3+184
30 to 34502.61484.42644.9+214
35 to 39804.21414.22735.1+193
40 to 441156.01384.12524.7+136
45 to 491115.71514.52735.1+163
50 to 54954.91885.62935.5+198
55 to 591095.62146.43045.7+195
60 to 641407.32176.43145.9+174
65 to 691869.62286.83596.7+173
70 to 741728.93049.04598.6+288
75 to 791608.335610.65139.6+353
80 to 841558.03029.04298.0+274
85 and over1447.51965.83125.8+168
Total persons1,926100.03,373100.05,354100.0+3,428
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Waikanae Park was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 9.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 196 and account for 10.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 75 to 79 years, with a total of 356 persons.

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