Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast
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Waikanae-Reikorangi

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Waikanae-Reikorangi indicate a 30.6% increase in population under working age, a 32.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 37.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kapiti Coast is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Waikanae-Reikorangi - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42604.33254.03944.0+133
5 to 92764.53714.54614.6+185
10 to 142924.83854.74724.7+180
15 to 192894.73324.03994.0+110
20 to 241752.92302.82712.7+96
25 to 291242.01952.42282.3+104
30 to 341672.72463.02792.8+112
35 to 392243.73384.13923.9+168
40 to 443195.24205.14995.0+180
45 to 493425.64735.75695.7+227
50 to 543986.55036.15996.0+201
55 to 593676.05386.56306.3+263
60 to 644206.96117.47277.3+307
65 to 695819.57228.88588.6+276
70 to 745378.87088.68969.0+359
75 to 794777.86217.58158.2+339
80 to 844036.65396.66886.9+284
85 and over4717.76718.27717.8+300
Total persons6,124100.08,228100.09,949100.0+3,824

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 771 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 688 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 815 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 896 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 858 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 727 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 630 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 599 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 569 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 499 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 392 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 279 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 228 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 271 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 399 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 472 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 461 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 394 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 671 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 539 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 621 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 708 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 722 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 611 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 538 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 503 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 473 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 420 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 338 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 246 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 195 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 230 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 332 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 385 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 371 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 325 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 471 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 403 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 477 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 537 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 581 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 420 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 367 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 398 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 342 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 319 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 224 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 167 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 124 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 289 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 292 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 276 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 260
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 100 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 148 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 194 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 188 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 136 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 116 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 92 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 97 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 96 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 79 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 54 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 33 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 41 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 67 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 87 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 90 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 68 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 200 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 136 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 144 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 171 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 140 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 192 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 171 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 104 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 131 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 101 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 114 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 79 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 71 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 55 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 43 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 93 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 65
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Waikanae-Reikorangi was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 9.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 200 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 722 persons.

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