idc-logo
svg rectangle color
Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast

Otaki Forks-Kaitawa-Te Horo

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Otaki Forks-Kaitawa-Te Horo indicate a 10.9% decrease in population under working age, a 96.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Otaki Forks-Kaitawa-Te Horo is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Otaki Forks-Kaitawa-Te Horo - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41664.51664.01884.0+23
5 to 92276.11914.62254.7-3
10 to 142336.32014.82344.9+1
15 to 192226.01884.52084.4-14
20 to 241072.91463.51443.0+37
25 to 29822.2942.3962.0+14
30 to 341103.01022.51122.4+3
35 to 391624.41383.31693.6+7
40 to 443178.51934.72334.9-84
45 to 493469.32596.23026.3-44
50 to 5441511.23127.53507.4-65
55 to 593258.83829.23737.8+47
60 to 642957.93999.64028.5+107
65 to 692907.842610.34168.7+126
70 to 741995.43648.84299.0+231
75 to 79892.42836.83697.8+280
80 to 84651.81984.82916.1+225
85 and over581.61082.62144.5+156
Total persons3,708100.04,150100.04,755100.0+1,047
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Otaki Forks-Kaitawa-Te Horo was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 11.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 194 and account for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 426 persons.

DISCLAIMER: While all due care has been taken to ensure that the content of this website is accurate and current, there may be errors or omissions in it and no legal responsibility is accepted for the information and opinions in this website.

Please view our Privacy Policy, Terms of use and Legal notices. Stats NZ Data and the copyright in the Stats NZ Data remains the property of the Statistics New Zealand.

The copyright in the way .id has modified, transformed or reconfigured the Stats NZ Data as published on this website remains the property of .id. Stats NZ Data can be accessed on the Statistics New Zealand website at www.stats.govt.nz. Unless otherwise specified, content that Stats NZ produce is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International licence. For further information see https://www.stats.govt.nz/about-us/copyright/.