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Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast

Otaki Beach and Surroundings

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Otaki Beach and Surroundings is forecast to grow from 1,513 in 2013 to 1,663 in 2031, with the average household size remaining stable from 2.28 to 2.28 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Otaki Beach and Surroundings. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Otaki Beach and SurroundingsForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population2,6992,8382,9933,1673,2673,3623,439
Change in population (5yrs)--1391551741009577
Average annual change--1.01%1.07%1.14%0.62%0.57%0.46%
Households1,1651,2281,2971,3491,3961,4301,467
Average household size2.282.282.282.282.282.272.26
Population in non private dwellings3939398989119119
Dwellings1,5131,5491,6141,6631,7061,7311,760
Dwelling occupancy rate77.0079.2880.3681.1281.8382.6183.35
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Otaki Beach and Surroundings was estimated to be 2,699 people. It is expected to increase by over 468 people to 3,167 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 1.07%. This is based on an increase of over 184 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.28 to 2.28 by 2028.

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