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Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast

Paekakariki

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Paekakariki is forecast to grow from 805 in 2013 to 830 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.41 to 1.94 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Paekakariki. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
PaekakarikiForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population1,7201,6681,5761,5241,5131,5151,533
Change in population (5yrs)---52-92-52-11219
Average annual change---0.62%-1.12%-0.67%-0.15%0.02%0.24%
Households715748768785800816829
Average household size2.412.232.051.941.891.861.85
Population in non private dwellings0000000
Dwellings805810820830840850860
Dwelling occupancy rate88.8292.3593.6694.5895.2496.0096.40
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Paekakariki was estimated to be 1,720 people. It is expected to decrease by over 196 people to 1,524 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of -0.80%. This is based on an increase of over 70 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.41 to 1.94 by 2028.

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