Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast
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Otaki Beach and Surroundings

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Otaki Beach and Surroundings will increase by an average of 27 dwellings per annum to 2,329 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Kapiti Coast. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling additions are based on dwelling counts recorded at the 2013 Census, tracking of major projects, and building approvals. Assumptions include:

  • Tamihana Street development - 11 dwellings (2015 - 2023)
  • Seagrass Place - 34 dwellings (2018 - 2022)
  • 207-221 Rangiuru Road - 14 dwellings (2019 - 2022)
  • Main Highway residential development - 50 dwellings (2025 - 2030)
  • Low-Medium level of infill development (3-6 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 2,329 2042 Total dwellings: 2,285 2041 Total dwellings: 2,241 2040 Total dwellings: 2,197 2039 Total dwellings: 2,153 2038 Total dwellings: 2,109 2037 Total dwellings: 2,065 2036 Total dwellings: 2,021 2035 Total dwellings: 1,977 2034 Total dwellings: 1,933 2033 Total dwellings: 1,899 2032 Total dwellings: 1,869 2031 Total dwellings: 1,843 2030 Total dwellings: 1,819 2029 Total dwellings: 1,792 2028 Total dwellings: 1,766 2027 Total dwellings: 1,740 2026 Total dwellings: 1,714 2025 Total dwellings: 1,692 2024 Total dwellings: 1,673 2023 Total dwellings: 1,659 2022 Total dwellings: 1,647 2021 Total dwellings: 1,633 2020 Total dwellings: 1,615 2019 Total dwellings: 1,596 2018 Total dwellings: 1,578 2017 Total dwellings: 1,564 2016 Total dwellings: 1,551 2015 Total dwellings: 1,537 2014 Total dwellings: 1,524 2043 Total dwellings: 2,329 2042 Total dwellings: 2,285 2041 Total dwellings: 2,241 2040 Total dwellings: 2,197 2039 Total dwellings: 2,153 2038 Total dwellings: 2,109 2037 Total dwellings: 2,065 2036 Total dwellings: 2,021 2035 Total dwellings: 1,977 2034 Total dwellings: 1,933 2033 Total dwellings: 1,899 2032 Total dwellings: 1,869 2031 Total dwellings: 1,843 2030 Total dwellings: 1,819 2029 Total dwellings: 1,792 2028 Total dwellings: 1,766 2027 Total dwellings: 1,740 2026 Total dwellings: 1,714 2025 Total dwellings: 1,692 2024 Total dwellings: 1,673 2023 Total dwellings: 1,659 2022 Total dwellings: 1,647 2021 Total dwellings: 1,633 2020 Total dwellings: 1,615 2019 Total dwellings: 1,596 2018 Total dwellings: 1,578 2017 Total dwellings: 1,564 2016 Total dwellings: 1,551 2015 Total dwellings: 1,537 2014 Total dwellings: 1,524 2043 Forecast development: 44 2042 Forecast development: 44 2041 Forecast development: 44 2040 Forecast development: 44 2039 Forecast development: 44 2038 Forecast development: 44 2037 Forecast development: 44 2036 Forecast development: 44 2035 Forecast development: 44 2034 Forecast development: 34 2033 Forecast development: 30 2032 Forecast development: 26 2031 Forecast development: 24 2030 Forecast development: 27 2029 Forecast development: 26 2028 Forecast development: 26 2027 Forecast development: 26 2026 Forecast development: 22 2025 Forecast development: 19 2024 Forecast development: 14 2023 Forecast development: 12 2022 Forecast development: 14 2021 Forecast development: 18 2020 Forecast development: 19 2019 Forecast development: 18 2018 Forecast development: 14 2017 Forecast development: 13 2016 Forecast development: 14 2015 Forecast development: 13 2014 Forecast development: 11
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
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