Kāpiti Coast DistrictPopulation forecast
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Waikanae-Reikorangi

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Waikanae-Reikorangi will increase by an average of 52 dwellings per annum to 4,524 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Kapiti Coast. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling additions are based on dwelling counts recorded at the 2013 Census, tracking of major projects, and building approvals. Assumptions include:

  • Matuhi St/Tauhou Place residual (Kapiti Views) - 18 dwellings (2014 - 2022)
  • Waikanae North Estate - 115 dwellings (2016 - 2025)
  • Kakariki Grove (Kapiti Views) - 11 dwellings (2018 - 2021)
  • Waikanae Medium Density (from proposed DP) - 27 dwellings (2023 - 2029)
  • Waikanae North Precinct - Block 5 - 177 dwellings (2023 - 2034)
  • Huia Street Rezoning - 14 dwellings (2024 - 2028)
  • Winara Avenue - 77 dwellings (2025 - 2034)
  • Waikanae North Precinct - Block 6 - 255 dwellings (2019 - 2037)
  • Medium level of infill development (6-8 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 4,524 2042 Total dwellings: 4,497 2041 Total dwellings: 4,458 2040 Total dwellings: 4,409 2039 Total dwellings: 4,355 2038 Total dwellings: 4,296 2037 Total dwellings: 4,237 2036 Total dwellings: 4,178 2035 Total dwellings: 4,124 2034 Total dwellings: 4,075 2033 Total dwellings: 4,027 2032 Total dwellings: 3,979 2031 Total dwellings: 3,929 2030 Total dwellings: 3,878 2029 Total dwellings: 3,829 2028 Total dwellings: 3,776 2027 Total dwellings: 3,718 2026 Total dwellings: 3,657 2025 Total dwellings: 3,600 2024 Total dwellings: 3,547 2023 Total dwellings: 3,510 2022 Total dwellings: 3,485 2021 Total dwellings: 3,446 2020 Total dwellings: 3,400 2019 Total dwellings: 3,353 2018 Total dwellings: 3,303 2017 Total dwellings: 3,244 2016 Total dwellings: 3,203 2015 Total dwellings: 3,130 2014 Total dwellings: 3,043 2043 Total dwellings: 4,524 2042 Total dwellings: 4,497 2041 Total dwellings: 4,458 2040 Total dwellings: 4,409 2039 Total dwellings: 4,355 2038 Total dwellings: 4,296 2037 Total dwellings: 4,237 2036 Total dwellings: 4,178 2035 Total dwellings: 4,124 2034 Total dwellings: 4,075 2033 Total dwellings: 4,027 2032 Total dwellings: 3,979 2031 Total dwellings: 3,929 2030 Total dwellings: 3,878 2029 Total dwellings: 3,829 2028 Total dwellings: 3,776 2027 Total dwellings: 3,718 2026 Total dwellings: 3,657 2025 Total dwellings: 3,600 2024 Total dwellings: 3,547 2023 Total dwellings: 3,510 2022 Total dwellings: 3,485 2021 Total dwellings: 3,446 2020 Total dwellings: 3,400 2019 Total dwellings: 3,353 2018 Total dwellings: 3,303 2017 Total dwellings: 3,244 2016 Total dwellings: 3,203 2015 Total dwellings: 3,130 2014 Total dwellings: 3,043 2043 Forecast development: 27 2042 Forecast development: 39 2041 Forecast development: 49 2040 Forecast development: 54 2039 Forecast development: 59 2038 Forecast development: 59 2037 Forecast development: 59 2036 Forecast development: 54 2035 Forecast development: 49 2034 Forecast development: 48 2033 Forecast development: 48 2032 Forecast development: 50 2031 Forecast development: 51 2030 Forecast development: 49 2029 Forecast development: 53 2028 Forecast development: 58 2027 Forecast development: 61 2026 Forecast development: 57 2025 Forecast development: 53 2024 Forecast development: 37 2023 Forecast development: 25 2022 Forecast development: 39 2021 Forecast development: 46 2020 Forecast development: 47 2019 Forecast development: 50 2018 Forecast development: 59 2017 Forecast development: 41 2016 Forecast development: 73 2015 Forecast development: 87 2014 Forecast development: 88
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
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