Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Porirua City is forecast for the period from 2029 to 2033, which is expected to have a net increase of 6,812 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Porirua CityForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births4,4634,5665,0465,5255,8735,914
Deaths2,1322,2352,5902,9513,2723,645
Natural increase/decrease2,3302,3302,4562,5752,6012,270
Net migration8352,7664,1964,1871,991355
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0704050500

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 404 2042 forecast population change: 400 2041 forecast population change: 516 2040 forecast population change: 633 2039 forecast population change: 671 2038 forecast population change: 668 2037 forecast population change: 931 2036 forecast population change: 990 2035 forecast population change: 1,087 2034 forecast population change: 966 2033 forecast population change: 1,403 2032 forecast population change: 1,465 2031 forecast population change: 1,504 2030 forecast population change: 1,193 2029 forecast population change: 1,248 2028 forecast population change: 1,311 2027 forecast population change: 1,275 2026 forecast population change: 1,359 2025 forecast population change: 1,446 2024 forecast population change: 1,301 2023 forecast population change: 1,360 2022 forecast population change: 1,373 2021 forecast population change: 1,032 2020 forecast population change: 950 2019 forecast population change: 451 2018 forecast population change: 576 2017 forecast population change: 530 2016 forecast population change: 624 2015 forecast population change: 623 2014 forecast population change: 811
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 422 2042 Natural increase: 437 2041 Natural increase: 453 2040 Natural increase: 470 2039 Natural increase: 488 2038 Natural increase: 508 2037 Natural increase: 514 2036 Natural increase: 521 2035 Natural increase: 525 2034 Natural increase: 533 2033 Natural increase: 528 2032 Natural increase: 520 2031 Natural increase: 511 2030 Natural increase: 510 2029 Natural increase: 506 2028 Natural increase: 505 2027 Natural increase: 501 2026 Natural increase: 493 2025 Natural increase: 484 2024 Natural increase: 474 2023 Natural increase: 469 2022 Natural increase: 464 2021 Natural increase: 464 2020 Natural increase: 463 2019 Natural increase: 472 2018 Natural increase: 476 2017 Natural increase: 477 2016 Natural increase: 473 2015 Natural increase: 464 2014 Natural increase: 441 2043 Total deaths: 756 2042 Total deaths: 745 2041 Total deaths: 731 2040 Total deaths: 715 2039 Total deaths: 698 2038 Total deaths: 679 2037 Total deaths: 667 2036 Total deaths: 654 2035 Total deaths: 642 2034 Total deaths: 630 2033 Total deaths: 617 2032 Total deaths: 605 2031 Total deaths: 590 2030 Total deaths: 576 2029 Total deaths: 563 2028 Total deaths: 546 2027 Total deaths: 532 2026 Total deaths: 518 2025 Total deaths: 502 2024 Total deaths: 491 2023 Total deaths: 475 2022 Total deaths: 457 2021 Total deaths: 445 2020 Total deaths: 434 2019 Total deaths: 425 2018 Total deaths: 419 2017 Total deaths: 421 2016 Total deaths: 423 2015 Total deaths: 429 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 1,178 2042 Total births: 1,182 2041 Total births: 1,184 2040 Total births: 1,185 2039 Total births: 1,186 2038 Total births: 1,187 2037 Total births: 1,181 2036 Total births: 1,175 2035 Total births: 1,167 2034 Total births: 1,163 2033 Total births: 1,145 2032 Total births: 1,125 2031 Total births: 1,101 2030 Total births: 1,086 2029 Total births: 1,069 2028 Total births: 1,052 2027 Total births: 1,033 2026 Total births: 1,011 2025 Total births: 986 2024 Total births: 965 2023 Total births: 944 2022 Total births: 921 2021 Total births: 908 2020 Total births: 896 2019 Total births: 897 2018 Total births: 895 2017 Total births: 898 2016 Total births: 895 2015 Total births: 893 2014 Total births: 881 2043 Natural increase: 422 2042 Natural increase: 437 2041 Natural increase: 453 2040 Natural increase: 470 2039 Natural increase: 488 2038 Natural increase: 508 2037 Natural increase: 514 2036 Natural increase: 521 2035 Natural increase: 525 2034 Natural increase: 533 2033 Natural increase: 528 2032 Natural increase: 520 2031 Natural increase: 511 2030 Natural increase: 510 2029 Natural increase: 506 2028 Natural increase: 505 2027 Natural increase: 501 2026 Natural increase: 493 2025 Natural increase: 484 2024 Natural increase: 474 2023 Natural increase: 469 2022 Natural increase: 464 2021 Natural increase: 464 2020 Natural increase: 463 2019 Natural increase: 472 2018 Natural increase: 476 2017 Natural increase: 477 2016 Natural increase: 473 2015 Natural increase: 464 2014 Natural increase: 441 2043 Total deaths: 756 2042 Total deaths: 745 2041 Total deaths: 731 2040 Total deaths: 715 2039 Total deaths: 698 2038 Total deaths: 679 2037 Total deaths: 667 2036 Total deaths: 654 2035 Total deaths: 642 2034 Total deaths: 630 2033 Total deaths: 617 2032 Total deaths: 605 2031 Total deaths: 590 2030 Total deaths: 576 2029 Total deaths: 563 2028 Total deaths: 546 2027 Total deaths: 532 2026 Total deaths: 518 2025 Total deaths: 502 2024 Total deaths: 491 2023 Total deaths: 475 2022 Total deaths: 457 2021 Total deaths: 445 2020 Total deaths: 434 2019 Total deaths: 425 2018 Total deaths: 419 2017 Total deaths: 421 2016 Total deaths: 423 2015 Total deaths: 429 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 1,178 2042 Total births: 1,182 2041 Total births: 1,184 2040 Total births: 1,185 2039 Total births: 1,186 2038 Total births: 1,187 2037 Total births: 1,181 2036 Total births: 1,175 2035 Total births: 1,167 2034 Total births: 1,163 2033 Total births: 1,145 2032 Total births: 1,125 2031 Total births: 1,101 2030 Total births: 1,086 2029 Total births: 1,069 2028 Total births: 1,052 2027 Total births: 1,033 2026 Total births: 1,011 2025 Total births: 986 2024 Total births: 965 2023 Total births: 944 2022 Total births: 921 2021 Total births: 908 2020 Total births: 896 2019 Total births: 897 2018 Total births: 895 2017 Total births: 898 2016 Total births: 895 2015 Total births: 893 2014 Total births: 881
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: -17 2042 Total net migration: -37 2041 Total net migration: 63 2040 Total net migration: 164 2039 Total net migration: 183 2038 Total net migration: 160 2037 Total net migration: 418 2036 Total net migration: 443 2035 Total net migration: 537 2034 Total net migration: 435 2033 Total net migration: 825 2032 Total net migration: 944 2031 Total net migration: 993 2030 Total net migration: 683 2029 Total net migration: 742 2028 Total net migration: 786 2027 Total net migration: 774 2026 Total net migration: 866 2025 Total net migration: 942 2024 Total net migration: 828 2023 Total net migration: 861 2022 Total net migration: 870 2021 Total net migration: 568 2020 Total net migration: 488 2019 Total net migration: -21 2018 Total net migration: 100 2017 Total net migration: 53 2016 Total net migration: 151 2015 Total net migration: 159 2014 Total net migration: 370 2043 Total out migration: 6,707 2042 Total out migration: 6,690 2041 Total out migration: 6,663 2040 Total out migration: 6,627 2039 Total out migration: 6,588 2038 Total out migration: 6,552 2037 Total out migration: 6,488 2036 Total out migration: 6,422 2035 Total out migration: 6,345 2034 Total out migration: 6,280 2033 Total out migration: 6,170 2032 Total out migration: 6,046 2031 Total out migration: 5,918 2030 Total out migration: 5,823 2029 Total out migration: 5,722 2028 Total out migration: 5,617 2027 Total out migration: 5,513 2026 Total out migration: 5,400 2025 Total out migration: 5,278 2024 Total out migration: 5,168 2023 Total out migration: 5,056 2022 Total out migration: 4,943 2021 Total out migration: 4,860 2020 Total out migration: 4,786 2019 Total out migration: 4,765 2018 Total out migration: 4,730 2017 Total out migration: 4,702 2016 Total out migration: 4,663 2015 Total out migration: 4,625 2014 Total out migration: 4,567 2043 Total in migration: 6,690 2042 Total in migration: 6,653 2041 Total in migration: 6,726 2040 Total in migration: 6,790 2039 Total in migration: 6,772 2038 Total in migration: 6,712 2037 Total in migration: 6,906 2036 Total in migration: 6,865 2035 Total in migration: 6,882 2034 Total in migration: 6,713 2033 Total in migration: 6,995 2032 Total in migration: 6,990 2031 Total in migration: 6,911 2030 Total in migration: 6,506 2029 Total in migration: 6,464 2028 Total in migration: 6,403 2027 Total in migration: 6,287 2026 Total in migration: 6,266 2025 Total in migration: 6,220 2024 Total in migration: 5,996 2023 Total in migration: 5,917 2022 Total in migration: 5,813 2021 Total in migration: 5,428 2020 Total in migration: 5,274 2019 Total in migration: 4,745 2018 Total in migration: 4,830 2017 Total in migration: 4,755 2016 Total in migration: 4,814 2015 Total in migration: 4,784 2014 Total in migration: 4,937 2043 Total net migration: -17 2042 Total net migration: -37 2041 Total net migration: 63 2040 Total net migration: 164 2039 Total net migration: 183 2038 Total net migration: 160 2037 Total net migration: 418 2036 Total net migration: 443 2035 Total net migration: 537 2034 Total net migration: 435 2033 Total net migration: 825 2032 Total net migration: 944 2031 Total net migration: 993 2030 Total net migration: 683 2029 Total net migration: 742 2028 Total net migration: 786 2027 Total net migration: 774 2026 Total net migration: 866 2025 Total net migration: 942 2024 Total net migration: 828 2023 Total net migration: 861 2022 Total net migration: 870 2021 Total net migration: 568 2020 Total net migration: 488 2019 Total net migration: -21 2018 Total net migration: 100 2017 Total net migration: 53 2016 Total net migration: 151 2015 Total net migration: 159 2014 Total net migration: 370 2043 Total out migration: 6,707 2042 Total out migration: 6,690 2041 Total out migration: 6,663 2040 Total out migration: 6,627 2039 Total out migration: 6,588 2038 Total out migration: 6,552 2037 Total out migration: 6,488 2036 Total out migration: 6,422 2035 Total out migration: 6,345 2034 Total out migration: 6,280 2033 Total out migration: 6,170 2032 Total out migration: 6,046 2031 Total out migration: 5,918 2030 Total out migration: 5,823 2029 Total out migration: 5,722 2028 Total out migration: 5,617 2027 Total out migration: 5,513 2026 Total out migration: 5,400 2025 Total out migration: 5,278 2024 Total out migration: 5,168 2023 Total out migration: 5,056 2022 Total out migration: 4,943 2021 Total out migration: 4,860 2020 Total out migration: 4,786 2019 Total out migration: 4,765 2018 Total out migration: 4,730 2017 Total out migration: 4,702 2016 Total out migration: 4,663 2015 Total out migration: 4,625 2014 Total out migration: 4,567 2043 Total in migration: 6,690 2042 Total in migration: 6,653 2041 Total in migration: 6,726 2040 Total in migration: 6,790 2039 Total in migration: 6,772 2038 Total in migration: 6,712 2037 Total in migration: 6,906 2036 Total in migration: 6,865 2035 Total in migration: 6,882 2034 Total in migration: 6,713 2033 Total in migration: 6,995 2032 Total in migration: 6,990 2031 Total in migration: 6,911 2030 Total in migration: 6,506 2029 Total in migration: 6,464 2028 Total in migration: 6,403 2027 Total in migration: 6,287 2026 Total in migration: 6,266 2025 Total in migration: 6,220 2024 Total in migration: 5,996 2023 Total in migration: 5,917 2022 Total in migration: 5,813 2021 Total in migration: 5,428 2020 Total in migration: 5,274 2019 Total in migration: 4,745 2018 Total in migration: 4,830 2017 Total in migration: 4,755 2016 Total in migration: 4,814 2015 Total in migration: 4,784 2014 Total in migration: 4,937
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
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