Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Porirua City is forecast for the period from 2024 to 2028, which is expected to have a net increase of 6,216 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Porirua CityForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births4,4634,5645,0345,4665,7585,795
Deaths2,1322,2352,5852,9283,2213,571
Natural increase/decrease2,3302,3292,4492,5382,5372,224
Net migration8352,7143,7283,3851,163347
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0704050500

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 487 2042 forecast population change: 446 2041 forecast population change: 527 2040 forecast population change: 568 2039 forecast population change: 543 2038 forecast population change: 531 2037 forecast population change: 763 2036 forecast population change: 807 2035 forecast population change: 861 2034 forecast population change: 787 2033 forecast population change: 1,189 2032 forecast population change: 1,257 2031 forecast population change: 1,354 2030 forecast population change: 1,024 2029 forecast population change: 1,148 2028 forecast population change: 1,138 2027 forecast population change: 1,137 2026 forecast population change: 1,285 2025 forecast population change: 1,383 2024 forecast population change: 1,274 2023 forecast population change: 1,342 2022 forecast population change: 1,352 2021 forecast population change: 1,027 2020 forecast population change: 946 2019 forecast population change: 447 2018 forecast population change: 576 2017 forecast population change: 530 2016 forecast population change: 624 2015 forecast population change: 623 2014 forecast population change: 811
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 416 2042 Natural increase: 429 2041 Natural increase: 443 2040 Natural increase: 459 2039 Natural increase: 477 2038 Natural increase: 495 2037 Natural increase: 500 2036 Natural increase: 508 2035 Natural increase: 513 2034 Natural increase: 520 2033 Natural increase: 518 2032 Natural increase: 512 2031 Natural increase: 504 2030 Natural increase: 504 2029 Natural increase: 500 2028 Natural increase: 501 2027 Natural increase: 499 2026 Natural increase: 491 2025 Natural increase: 484 2024 Natural increase: 473 2023 Natural increase: 468 2022 Natural increase: 463 2021 Natural increase: 463 2020 Natural increase: 462 2019 Natural increase: 472 2018 Natural increase: 476 2017 Natural increase: 477 2016 Natural increase: 473 2015 Natural increase: 464 2014 Natural increase: 441 2043 Total deaths: 741 2042 Total deaths: 730 2041 Total deaths: 716 2040 Total deaths: 701 2039 Total deaths: 684 2038 Total deaths: 667 2037 Total deaths: 655 2036 Total deaths: 643 2035 Total deaths: 633 2034 Total deaths: 623 2033 Total deaths: 610 2032 Total deaths: 599 2031 Total deaths: 585 2030 Total deaths: 573 2029 Total deaths: 560 2028 Total deaths: 545 2027 Total deaths: 531 2026 Total deaths: 518 2025 Total deaths: 502 2024 Total deaths: 491 2023 Total deaths: 475 2022 Total deaths: 457 2021 Total deaths: 445 2020 Total deaths: 434 2019 Total deaths: 425 2018 Total deaths: 419 2017 Total deaths: 421 2016 Total deaths: 423 2015 Total deaths: 429 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 1,158 2042 Total births: 1,159 2041 Total births: 1,159 2040 Total births: 1,159 2039 Total births: 1,160 2038 Total births: 1,161 2037 Total births: 1,156 2036 Total births: 1,152 2035 Total births: 1,146 2034 Total births: 1,143 2033 Total births: 1,129 2032 Total births: 1,112 2031 Total births: 1,089 2030 Total births: 1,076 2029 Total births: 1,061 2028 Total births: 1,046 2027 Total births: 1,030 2026 Total births: 1,009 2025 Total births: 985 2024 Total births: 964 2023 Total births: 943 2022 Total births: 920 2021 Total births: 908 2020 Total births: 896 2019 Total births: 897 2018 Total births: 895 2017 Total births: 898 2016 Total births: 895 2015 Total births: 893 2014 Total births: 881 2043 Natural increase: 416 2042 Natural increase: 429 2041 Natural increase: 443 2040 Natural increase: 459 2039 Natural increase: 477 2038 Natural increase: 495 2037 Natural increase: 500 2036 Natural increase: 508 2035 Natural increase: 513 2034 Natural increase: 520 2033 Natural increase: 518 2032 Natural increase: 512 2031 Natural increase: 504 2030 Natural increase: 504 2029 Natural increase: 500 2028 Natural increase: 501 2027 Natural increase: 499 2026 Natural increase: 491 2025 Natural increase: 484 2024 Natural increase: 473 2023 Natural increase: 468 2022 Natural increase: 463 2021 Natural increase: 463 2020 Natural increase: 462 2019 Natural increase: 472 2018 Natural increase: 476 2017 Natural increase: 477 2016 Natural increase: 473 2015 Natural increase: 464 2014 Natural increase: 441 2043 Total deaths: 741 2042 Total deaths: 730 2041 Total deaths: 716 2040 Total deaths: 701 2039 Total deaths: 684 2038 Total deaths: 667 2037 Total deaths: 655 2036 Total deaths: 643 2035 Total deaths: 633 2034 Total deaths: 623 2033 Total deaths: 610 2032 Total deaths: 599 2031 Total deaths: 585 2030 Total deaths: 573 2029 Total deaths: 560 2028 Total deaths: 545 2027 Total deaths: 531 2026 Total deaths: 518 2025 Total deaths: 502 2024 Total deaths: 491 2023 Total deaths: 475 2022 Total deaths: 457 2021 Total deaths: 445 2020 Total deaths: 434 2019 Total deaths: 425 2018 Total deaths: 419 2017 Total deaths: 421 2016 Total deaths: 423 2015 Total deaths: 429 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 1,158 2042 Total births: 1,159 2041 Total births: 1,159 2040 Total births: 1,159 2039 Total births: 1,160 2038 Total births: 1,161 2037 Total births: 1,156 2036 Total births: 1,152 2035 Total births: 1,146 2034 Total births: 1,143 2033 Total births: 1,129 2032 Total births: 1,112 2031 Total births: 1,089 2030 Total births: 1,076 2029 Total births: 1,061 2028 Total births: 1,046 2027 Total births: 1,030 2026 Total births: 1,009 2025 Total births: 985 2024 Total births: 964 2023 Total births: 943 2022 Total births: 920 2021 Total births: 908 2020 Total births: 896 2019 Total births: 897 2018 Total births: 895 2017 Total births: 898 2016 Total births: 895 2015 Total births: 893 2014 Total births: 881
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 70 2042 Total net migration: 17 2041 Total net migration: 83 2040 Total net migration: 109 2039 Total net migration: 66 2038 Total net migration: 37 2037 Total net migration: 262 2036 Total net migration: 274 2035 Total net migration: 323 2034 Total net migration: 268 2033 Total net migration: 621 2032 Total net migration: 745 2031 Total net migration: 850 2030 Total net migration: 520 2029 Total net migration: 648 2028 Total net migration: 616 2027 Total net migration: 638 2026 Total net migration: 793 2025 Total net migration: 879 2024 Total net migration: 801 2023 Total net migration: 844 2022 Total net migration: 849 2021 Total net migration: 563 2020 Total net migration: 483 2019 Total net migration: -25 2018 Total net migration: 100 2017 Total net migration: 53 2016 Total net migration: 151 2015 Total net migration: 159 2014 Total net migration: 370 2043 Total out migration: 6,516 2042 Total out migration: 6,492 2041 Total out migration: 6,460 2040 Total out migration: 6,427 2039 Total out migration: 6,397 2038 Total out migration: 6,370 2037 Total out migration: 6,319 2036 Total out migration: 6,267 2035 Total out migration: 6,210 2034 Total out migration: 6,157 2033 Total out migration: 6,067 2032 Total out migration: 5,961 2031 Total out migration: 5,846 2030 Total out migration: 5,765 2029 Total out migration: 5,673 2028 Total out migration: 5,584 2027 Total out migration: 5,493 2026 Total out migration: 5,386 2025 Total out migration: 5,271 2024 Total out migration: 5,163 2023 Total out migration: 5,052 2022 Total out migration: 4,941 2021 Total out migration: 4,859 2020 Total out migration: 4,786 2019 Total out migration: 4,765 2018 Total out migration: 4,730 2017 Total out migration: 4,702 2016 Total out migration: 4,663 2015 Total out migration: 4,625 2014 Total out migration: 4,567 2043 Total in migration: 6,587 2042 Total in migration: 6,509 2041 Total in migration: 6,544 2040 Total in migration: 6,536 2039 Total in migration: 6,464 2038 Total in migration: 6,407 2037 Total in migration: 6,581 2036 Total in migration: 6,541 2035 Total in migration: 6,533 2034 Total in migration: 6,424 2033 Total in migration: 6,688 2032 Total in migration: 6,706 2031 Total in migration: 6,696 2030 Total in migration: 6,286 2029 Total in migration: 6,321 2028 Total in migration: 6,200 2027 Total in migration: 6,131 2026 Total in migration: 6,180 2025 Total in migration: 6,150 2024 Total in migration: 5,964 2023 Total in migration: 5,896 2022 Total in migration: 5,790 2021 Total in migration: 5,423 2020 Total in migration: 5,269 2019 Total in migration: 4,740 2018 Total in migration: 4,830 2017 Total in migration: 4,755 2016 Total in migration: 4,814 2015 Total in migration: 4,784 2014 Total in migration: 4,937 2043 Total net migration: 70 2042 Total net migration: 17 2041 Total net migration: 83 2040 Total net migration: 109 2039 Total net migration: 66 2038 Total net migration: 37 2037 Total net migration: 262 2036 Total net migration: 274 2035 Total net migration: 323 2034 Total net migration: 268 2033 Total net migration: 621 2032 Total net migration: 745 2031 Total net migration: 850 2030 Total net migration: 520 2029 Total net migration: 648 2028 Total net migration: 616 2027 Total net migration: 638 2026 Total net migration: 793 2025 Total net migration: 879 2024 Total net migration: 801 2023 Total net migration: 844 2022 Total net migration: 849 2021 Total net migration: 563 2020 Total net migration: 483 2019 Total net migration: -25 2018 Total net migration: 100 2017 Total net migration: 53 2016 Total net migration: 151 2015 Total net migration: 159 2014 Total net migration: 370 2043 Total out migration: 6,516 2042 Total out migration: 6,492 2041 Total out migration: 6,460 2040 Total out migration: 6,427 2039 Total out migration: 6,397 2038 Total out migration: 6,370 2037 Total out migration: 6,319 2036 Total out migration: 6,267 2035 Total out migration: 6,210 2034 Total out migration: 6,157 2033 Total out migration: 6,067 2032 Total out migration: 5,961 2031 Total out migration: 5,846 2030 Total out migration: 5,765 2029 Total out migration: 5,673 2028 Total out migration: 5,584 2027 Total out migration: 5,493 2026 Total out migration: 5,386 2025 Total out migration: 5,271 2024 Total out migration: 5,163 2023 Total out migration: 5,052 2022 Total out migration: 4,941 2021 Total out migration: 4,859 2020 Total out migration: 4,786 2019 Total out migration: 4,765 2018 Total out migration: 4,730 2017 Total out migration: 4,702 2016 Total out migration: 4,663 2015 Total out migration: 4,625 2014 Total out migration: 4,567 2043 Total in migration: 6,587 2042 Total in migration: 6,509 2041 Total in migration: 6,544 2040 Total in migration: 6,536 2039 Total in migration: 6,464 2038 Total in migration: 6,407 2037 Total in migration: 6,581 2036 Total in migration: 6,541 2035 Total in migration: 6,533 2034 Total in migration: 6,424 2033 Total in migration: 6,688 2032 Total in migration: 6,706 2031 Total in migration: 6,696 2030 Total in migration: 6,286 2029 Total in migration: 6,321 2028 Total in migration: 6,200 2027 Total in migration: 6,131 2026 Total in migration: 6,180 2025 Total in migration: 6,150 2024 Total in migration: 5,964 2023 Total in migration: 5,896 2022 Total in migration: 5,790 2021 Total in migration: 5,423 2020 Total in migration: 5,269 2019 Total in migration: 4,740 2018 Total in migration: 4,830 2017 Total in migration: 4,755 2016 Total in migration: 4,814 2015 Total in migration: 4,784 2014 Total in migration: 4,937
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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