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Whitby East

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Whitby East is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,171 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Whitby EastForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births410484551552528524
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0300000
Deaths245301382435467492
Natural increase/decrease1651831691166131
Net migration1,007674649-148-112-48

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2048 forecast population change: 8 2047 forecast population change: 5 2046 forecast population change: 4 2045 forecast population change: 5 2044 forecast population change: 1 2043 forecast population change: 0 2042 forecast population change: -1 2041 forecast population change: -5 2040 forecast population change: -4 2039 forecast population change: -6 2038 forecast population change: -7 2037 forecast population change: -11 2036 forecast population change: -12 2035 forecast population change: -8 2034 forecast population change: -14 2033 forecast population change: -12 2032 forecast population change: -12 2031 forecast population change: -7 2030 forecast population change: 0 2029 forecast population change: -1 2028 forecast population change: 31 2027 forecast population change: 89 2026 forecast population change: 234 2025 forecast population change: 235 2024 forecast population change: 229 2023 forecast population change: 244 2022 forecast population change: 173 2021 forecast population change: 139 2020 forecast population change: 159 2019 forecast population change: 172 2018 forecast population change: 174 2017 forecast population change: 259 2016 forecast population change: 301 2015 forecast population change: 225 2014 forecast population change: 212
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2020.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2048 Natural increase: 6 2047 Natural increase: 6 2046 Natural increase: 5 2045 Natural increase: 5 2044 Natural increase: 5 2043 Natural increase: 5 2042 Natural increase: 5 2041 Natural increase: 6 2040 Natural increase: 7 2039 Natural increase: 8 2038 Natural increase: 9 2037 Natural increase: 10 2036 Natural increase: 12 2035 Natural increase: 13 2034 Natural increase: 16 2033 Natural increase: 19 2032 Natural increase: 20 2031 Natural increase: 23 2030 Natural increase: 26 2029 Natural increase: 28 2028 Natural increase: 32 2027 Natural increase: 35 2026 Natural increase: 34 2025 Natural increase: 34 2024 Natural increase: 34 2023 Natural increase: 34 2022 Natural increase: 36 2021 Natural increase: 37 2020 Natural increase: 38 2019 Natural increase: 38 2018 Natural increase: 38 2017 Natural increase: 35 2016 Natural increase: 32 2015 Natural increase: 31 2014 Natural increase: 28 2048 Total deaths: 102 2047 Total deaths: 101 2046 Total deaths: 102 2045 Total deaths: 101 2044 Total deaths: 101 2043 Total deaths: 100 2042 Total deaths: 99 2041 Total deaths: 99 2040 Total deaths: 98 2039 Total deaths: 96 2038 Total deaths: 96 2037 Total deaths: 95 2036 Total deaths: 93 2035 Total deaths: 93 2034 Total deaths: 91 2033 Total deaths: 89 2032 Total deaths: 89 2031 Total deaths: 87 2030 Total deaths: 85 2029 Total deaths: 85 2028 Total deaths: 82 2027 Total deaths: 80 2026 Total deaths: 77 2025 Total deaths: 73 2024 Total deaths: 70 2023 Total deaths: 66 2022 Total deaths: 63 2021 Total deaths: 60 2020 Total deaths: 58 2019 Total deaths: 55 2018 Total deaths: 54 2017 Total deaths: 51 2016 Total deaths: 49 2015 Total deaths: 47 2014 Total deaths: 45 2048 Total births: 108 2047 Total births: 107 2046 Total births: 107 2045 Total births: 106 2044 Total births: 106 2043 Total births: 105 2042 Total births: 105 2041 Total births: 105 2040 Total births: 105 2039 Total births: 105 2038 Total births: 105 2037 Total births: 105 2036 Total births: 105 2035 Total births: 106 2034 Total births: 107 2033 Total births: 108 2032 Total births: 109 2031 Total births: 110 2030 Total births: 112 2029 Total births: 113 2028 Total births: 115 2027 Total births: 114 2026 Total births: 111 2025 Total births: 107 2024 Total births: 104 2023 Total births: 100 2022 Total births: 98 2021 Total births: 97 2020 Total births: 95 2019 Total births: 93 2018 Total births: 91 2017 Total births: 87 2016 Total births: 81 2015 Total births: 77 2014 Total births: 74 2048 Natural increase: 6 2047 Natural increase: 6 2046 Natural increase: 5 2045 Natural increase: 5 2044 Natural increase: 5 2043 Natural increase: 5 2042 Natural increase: 5 2041 Natural increase: 6 2040 Natural increase: 7 2039 Natural increase: 8 2038 Natural increase: 9 2037 Natural increase: 10 2036 Natural increase: 12 2035 Natural increase: 13 2034 Natural increase: 16 2033 Natural increase: 19 2032 Natural increase: 20 2031 Natural increase: 23 2030 Natural increase: 26 2029 Natural increase: 28 2028 Natural increase: 32 2027 Natural increase: 35 2026 Natural increase: 34 2025 Natural increase: 34 2024 Natural increase: 34 2023 Natural increase: 34 2022 Natural increase: 36 2021 Natural increase: 37 2020 Natural increase: 38 2019 Natural increase: 38 2018 Natural increase: 38 2017 Natural increase: 35 2016 Natural increase: 32 2015 Natural increase: 31 2014 Natural increase: 28 2048 Total deaths: 102 2047 Total deaths: 101 2046 Total deaths: 102 2045 Total deaths: 101 2044 Total deaths: 101 2043 Total deaths: 100 2042 Total deaths: 99 2041 Total deaths: 99 2040 Total deaths: 98 2039 Total deaths: 96 2038 Total deaths: 96 2037 Total deaths: 95 2036 Total deaths: 93 2035 Total deaths: 93 2034 Total deaths: 91 2033 Total deaths: 89 2032 Total deaths: 89 2031 Total deaths: 87 2030 Total deaths: 85 2029 Total deaths: 85 2028 Total deaths: 82 2027 Total deaths: 80 2026 Total deaths: 77 2025 Total deaths: 73 2024 Total deaths: 70 2023 Total deaths: 66 2022 Total deaths: 63 2021 Total deaths: 60 2020 Total deaths: 58 2019 Total deaths: 55 2018 Total deaths: 54 2017 Total deaths: 51 2016 Total deaths: 49 2015 Total deaths: 47 2014 Total deaths: 45 2048 Total births: 108 2047 Total births: 107 2046 Total births: 107 2045 Total births: 106 2044 Total births: 106 2043 Total births: 105 2042 Total births: 105 2041 Total births: 105 2040 Total births: 105 2039 Total births: 105 2038 Total births: 105 2037 Total births: 105 2036 Total births: 105 2035 Total births: 106 2034 Total births: 107 2033 Total births: 108 2032 Total births: 109 2031 Total births: 110 2030 Total births: 112 2029 Total births: 113 2028 Total births: 115 2027 Total births: 114 2026 Total births: 111 2025 Total births: 107 2024 Total births: 104 2023 Total births: 100 2022 Total births: 98 2021 Total births: 97 2020 Total births: 95 2019 Total births: 93 2018 Total births: 91 2017 Total births: 87 2016 Total births: 81 2015 Total births: 77 2014 Total births: 74
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2020.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2048 Total net migration: 2 2047 Total net migration: -1 2046 Total net migration: -1 2045 Total net migration: 0 2044 Total net migration: -4 2043 Total net migration: -5 2042 Total net migration: -7 2041 Total net migration: -11 2040 Total net migration: -11 2039 Total net migration: -14 2038 Total net migration: -16 2037 Total net migration: -21 2036 Total net migration: -24 2035 Total net migration: -21 2034 Total net migration: -30 2033 Total net migration: -31 2032 Total net migration: -32 2031 Total net migration: -30 2030 Total net migration: -26 2029 Total net migration: -30 2028 Total net migration: -1 2027 Total net migration: 54 2026 Total net migration: 200 2025 Total net migration: 200 2024 Total net migration: 196 2023 Total net migration: 180 2022 Total net migration: 137 2021 Total net migration: 102 2020 Total net migration: 122 2019 Total net migration: 133 2018 Total net migration: 136 2017 Total net migration: 223 2016 Total net migration: 268 2015 Total net migration: 195 2014 Total net migration: 184 2048 Total out migration: 610 2047 Total out migration: 610 2046 Total out migration: 610 2045 Total out migration: 609 2044 Total out migration: 609 2043 Total out migration: 610 2042 Total out migration: 610 2041 Total out migration: 611 2040 Total out migration: 612 2039 Total out migration: 613 2038 Total out migration: 615 2037 Total out migration: 616 2036 Total out migration: 619 2035 Total out migration: 621 2034 Total out migration: 624 2033 Total out migration: 627 2032 Total out migration: 631 2031 Total out migration: 634 2030 Total out migration: 638 2029 Total out migration: 641 2028 Total out migration: 643 2027 Total out migration: 639 2026 Total out migration: 621 2025 Total out migration: 602 2024 Total out migration: 585 2023 Total out migration: 569 2022 Total out migration: 557 2021 Total out migration: 549 2020 Total out migration: 538 2019 Total out migration: 527 2018 Total out migration: 515 2017 Total out migration: 496 2016 Total out migration: 471 2015 Total out migration: 453 2014 Total out migration: 434 2048 Total in migration: 612 2047 Total in migration: 609 2046 Total in migration: 608 2045 Total in migration: 609 2044 Total in migration: 605 2043 Total in migration: 605 2042 Total in migration: 604 2041 Total in migration: 600 2040 Total in migration: 601 2039 Total in migration: 599 2038 Total in migration: 599 2037 Total in migration: 596 2036 Total in migration: 595 2035 Total in migration: 600 2034 Total in migration: 594 2033 Total in migration: 597 2032 Total in migration: 599 2031 Total in migration: 604 2030 Total in migration: 612 2029 Total in migration: 612 2028 Total in migration: 642 2027 Total in migration: 692 2026 Total in migration: 820 2025 Total in migration: 803 2024 Total in migration: 781 2023 Total in migration: 749 2022 Total in migration: 694 2021 Total in migration: 651 2020 Total in migration: 660 2019 Total in migration: 661 2018 Total in migration: 651 2017 Total in migration: 719 2016 Total in migration: 739 2015 Total in migration: 648 2014 Total in migration: 618 2048 Total net migration: 2 2047 Total net migration: -1 2046 Total net migration: -1 2045 Total net migration: 0 2044 Total net migration: -4 2043 Total net migration: -5 2042 Total net migration: -7 2041 Total net migration: -11 2040 Total net migration: -11 2039 Total net migration: -14 2038 Total net migration: -16 2037 Total net migration: -21 2036 Total net migration: -24 2035 Total net migration: -21 2034 Total net migration: -30 2033 Total net migration: -31 2032 Total net migration: -32 2031 Total net migration: -30 2030 Total net migration: -26 2029 Total net migration: -30 2028 Total net migration: -1 2027 Total net migration: 54 2026 Total net migration: 200 2025 Total net migration: 200 2024 Total net migration: 196 2023 Total net migration: 180 2022 Total net migration: 137 2021 Total net migration: 102 2020 Total net migration: 122 2019 Total net migration: 133 2018 Total net migration: 136 2017 Total net migration: 223 2016 Total net migration: 268 2015 Total net migration: 195 2014 Total net migration: 184 2048 Total out migration: 610 2047 Total out migration: 610 2046 Total out migration: 610 2045 Total out migration: 609 2044 Total out migration: 609 2043 Total out migration: 610 2042 Total out migration: 610 2041 Total out migration: 611 2040 Total out migration: 612 2039 Total out migration: 613 2038 Total out migration: 615 2037 Total out migration: 616 2036 Total out migration: 619 2035 Total out migration: 621 2034 Total out migration: 624 2033 Total out migration: 627 2032 Total out migration: 631 2031 Total out migration: 634 2030 Total out migration: 638 2029 Total out migration: 641 2028 Total out migration: 643 2027 Total out migration: 639 2026 Total out migration: 621 2025 Total out migration: 602 2024 Total out migration: 585 2023 Total out migration: 569 2022 Total out migration: 557 2021 Total out migration: 549 2020 Total out migration: 538 2019 Total out migration: 527 2018 Total out migration: 515 2017 Total out migration: 496 2016 Total out migration: 471 2015 Total out migration: 453 2014 Total out migration: 434 2048 Total in migration: 612 2047 Total in migration: 609 2046 Total in migration: 608 2045 Total in migration: 609 2044 Total in migration: 605 2043 Total in migration: 605 2042 Total in migration: 604 2041 Total in migration: 600 2040 Total in migration: 601 2039 Total in migration: 599 2038 Total in migration: 599 2037 Total in migration: 596 2036 Total in migration: 595 2035 Total in migration: 600 2034 Total in migration: 594 2033 Total in migration: 597 2032 Total in migration: 599 2031 Total in migration: 604 2030 Total in migration: 612 2029 Total in migration: 612 2028 Total in migration: 642 2027 Total in migration: 692 2026 Total in migration: 820 2025 Total in migration: 803 2024 Total in migration: 781 2023 Total in migration: 749 2022 Total in migration: 694 2021 Total in migration: 651 2020 Total in migration: 660 2019 Total in migration: 661 2018 Total in migration: 651 2017 Total in migration: 719 2016 Total in migration: 739 2015 Total in migration: 648 2014 Total in migration: 618
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2020.
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