Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Porirua City is forecast for the period from 2029 to 2033, which is expected to have a net increase of 7,275 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Porirua CityForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births4,1904,5114,9455,5636,0266,291
Deaths2,2292,5582,9893,4443,7794,145
Natural increase/decrease1,9611,9531,9562,1192,2472,146
Net migration1,4212,6584,7365,1063,4421,494
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0704050500

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 531 2042 forecast population change: 524 2041 forecast population change: 816 2040 forecast population change: 864 2039 forecast population change: 905 2038 forecast population change: 1,001 2037 forecast population change: 1,043 2036 forecast population change: 1,229 2035 forecast population change: 1,266 2034 forecast population change: 1,202 2033 forecast population change: 1,334 2032 forecast population change: 1,344 2031 forecast population change: 1,508 2030 forecast population change: 1,559 2029 forecast population change: 1,530 2028 forecast population change: 1,452 2027 forecast population change: 1,400 2026 forecast population change: 1,367 2025 forecast population change: 1,319 2024 forecast population change: 1,194 2023 forecast population change: 1,126 2022 forecast population change: 867 2021 forecast population change: 540 2020 forecast population change: 625 2019 forecast population change: 1,523 2018 forecast population change: 1,503 2017 forecast population change: 882 2016 forecast population change: 404 2015 forecast population change: 379 2014 forecast population change: 215
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 413 2042 Natural increase: 423 2041 Natural increase: 429 2040 Natural increase: 436 2039 Natural increase: 445 2038 Natural increase: 453 2037 Natural increase: 452 2036 Natural increase: 450 2035 Natural increase: 446 2034 Natural increase: 446 2033 Natural increase: 439 2032 Natural increase: 432 2031 Natural increase: 424 2030 Natural increase: 416 2029 Natural increase: 407 2028 Natural increase: 403 2027 Natural increase: 397 2026 Natural increase: 390 2025 Natural increase: 387 2024 Natural increase: 380 2023 Natural increase: 380 2022 Natural increase: 386 2021 Natural increase: 394 2020 Natural increase: 400 2019 Natural increase: 394 2018 Natural increase: 385 2017 Natural increase: 383 2016 Natural increase: 392 2015 Natural increase: 401 2014 Natural increase: 400 2043 Total deaths: 856 2042 Total deaths: 845 2041 Total deaths: 831 2040 Total deaths: 815 2039 Total deaths: 798 2038 Total deaths: 780 2037 Total deaths: 769 2036 Total deaths: 756 2035 Total deaths: 744 2034 Total deaths: 729 2033 Total deaths: 719 2032 Total deaths: 706 2031 Total deaths: 690 2030 Total deaths: 673 2029 Total deaths: 656 2028 Total deaths: 635 2027 Total deaths: 616 2026 Total deaths: 598 2025 Total deaths: 577 2024 Total deaths: 562 2023 Total deaths: 543 2022 Total deaths: 524 2021 Total deaths: 512 2020 Total deaths: 501 2019 Total deaths: 479 2018 Total deaths: 459 2017 Total deaths: 451 2016 Total deaths: 443 2015 Total deaths: 435 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 1,269 2042 Total births: 1,268 2041 Total births: 1,260 2040 Total births: 1,251 2039 Total births: 1,243 2038 Total births: 1,233 2037 Total births: 1,221 2036 Total births: 1,206 2035 Total births: 1,191 2034 Total births: 1,175 2033 Total births: 1,158 2032 Total births: 1,138 2031 Total births: 1,115 2030 Total births: 1,089 2029 Total births: 1,063 2028 Total births: 1,038 2027 Total births: 1,013 2026 Total births: 988 2025 Total births: 964 2024 Total births: 942 2023 Total births: 923 2022 Total births: 910 2021 Total births: 906 2020 Total births: 900 2019 Total births: 873 2018 Total births: 845 2017 Total births: 834 2016 Total births: 835 2015 Total births: 837 2014 Total births: 841 2043 Natural increase: 413 2042 Natural increase: 423 2041 Natural increase: 429 2040 Natural increase: 436 2039 Natural increase: 445 2038 Natural increase: 453 2037 Natural increase: 452 2036 Natural increase: 450 2035 Natural increase: 446 2034 Natural increase: 446 2033 Natural increase: 439 2032 Natural increase: 432 2031 Natural increase: 424 2030 Natural increase: 416 2029 Natural increase: 407 2028 Natural increase: 403 2027 Natural increase: 397 2026 Natural increase: 390 2025 Natural increase: 387 2024 Natural increase: 380 2023 Natural increase: 380 2022 Natural increase: 386 2021 Natural increase: 394 2020 Natural increase: 400 2019 Natural increase: 394 2018 Natural increase: 385 2017 Natural increase: 383 2016 Natural increase: 392 2015 Natural increase: 401 2014 Natural increase: 400 2043 Total deaths: 856 2042 Total deaths: 845 2041 Total deaths: 831 2040 Total deaths: 815 2039 Total deaths: 798 2038 Total deaths: 780 2037 Total deaths: 769 2036 Total deaths: 756 2035 Total deaths: 744 2034 Total deaths: 729 2033 Total deaths: 719 2032 Total deaths: 706 2031 Total deaths: 690 2030 Total deaths: 673 2029 Total deaths: 656 2028 Total deaths: 635 2027 Total deaths: 616 2026 Total deaths: 598 2025 Total deaths: 577 2024 Total deaths: 562 2023 Total deaths: 543 2022 Total deaths: 524 2021 Total deaths: 512 2020 Total deaths: 501 2019 Total deaths: 479 2018 Total deaths: 459 2017 Total deaths: 451 2016 Total deaths: 443 2015 Total deaths: 435 2014 Total deaths: 441 2043 Total births: 1,269 2042 Total births: 1,268 2041 Total births: 1,260 2040 Total births: 1,251 2039 Total births: 1,243 2038 Total births: 1,233 2037 Total births: 1,221 2036 Total births: 1,206 2035 Total births: 1,191 2034 Total births: 1,175 2033 Total births: 1,158 2032 Total births: 1,138 2031 Total births: 1,115 2030 Total births: 1,089 2029 Total births: 1,063 2028 Total births: 1,038 2027 Total births: 1,013 2026 Total births: 988 2025 Total births: 964 2024 Total births: 942 2023 Total births: 923 2022 Total births: 910 2021 Total births: 906 2020 Total births: 900 2019 Total births: 873 2018 Total births: 845 2017 Total births: 834 2016 Total births: 835 2015 Total births: 837 2014 Total births: 841
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 118 2042 Total net migration: 101 2041 Total net migration: 387 2040 Total net migration: 428 2039 Total net migration: 460 2038 Total net migration: 548 2037 Total net migration: 590 2036 Total net migration: 754 2035 Total net migration: 795 2034 Total net migration: 757 2033 Total net migration: 845 2032 Total net migration: 912 2031 Total net migration: 1,083 2030 Total net migration: 1,143 2029 Total net migration: 1,123 2028 Total net migration: 1,029 2027 Total net migration: 1,004 2026 Total net migration: 977 2025 Total net migration: 912 2024 Total net migration: 813 2023 Total net migration: 716 2022 Total net migration: 441 2021 Total net migration: 147 2020 Total net migration: 225 2019 Total net migration: 1,129 2018 Total net migration: 1,118 2017 Total net migration: 499 2016 Total net migration: 12 2015 Total net migration: -23 2014 Total net migration: -186 2043 Total out migration: 6,906 2042 Total out migration: 6,878 2041 Total out migration: 6,822 2040 Total out migration: 6,762 2039 Total out migration: 6,701 2038 Total out migration: 6,631 2037 Total out migration: 6,556 2036 Total out migration: 6,466 2035 Total out migration: 6,371 2034 Total out migration: 6,281 2033 Total out migration: 6,181 2032 Total out migration: 6,073 2031 Total out migration: 5,948 2030 Total out migration: 5,816 2029 Total out migration: 5,687 2028 Total out migration: 5,567 2027 Total out migration: 5,450 2026 Total out migration: 5,337 2025 Total out migration: 5,233 2024 Total out migration: 5,136 2023 Total out migration: 5,049 2022 Total out migration: 4,991 2021 Total out migration: 4,962 2020 Total out migration: 4,925 2019 Total out migration: 4,791 2018 Total out migration: 4,657 2017 Total out migration: 4,590 2016 Total out migration: 4,576 2015 Total out migration: 4,565 2014 Total out migration: 4,607 2043 Total in migration: 7,024 2042 Total in migration: 6,979 2041 Total in migration: 7,209 2040 Total in migration: 7,190 2039 Total in migration: 7,161 2038 Total in migration: 7,179 2037 Total in migration: 7,147 2036 Total in migration: 7,220 2035 Total in migration: 7,166 2034 Total in migration: 7,036 2033 Total in migration: 7,026 2032 Total in migration: 6,985 2031 Total in migration: 7,031 2030 Total in migration: 6,959 2029 Total in migration: 6,810 2028 Total in migration: 6,596 2027 Total in migration: 6,454 2026 Total in migration: 6,314 2025 Total in migration: 6,145 2024 Total in migration: 5,949 2023 Total in migration: 5,765 2022 Total in migration: 5,432 2021 Total in migration: 5,109 2020 Total in migration: 5,150 2019 Total in migration: 5,921 2018 Total in migration: 5,775 2017 Total in migration: 5,089 2016 Total in migration: 4,588 2015 Total in migration: 4,543 2014 Total in migration: 4,422 2043 Total net migration: 118 2042 Total net migration: 101 2041 Total net migration: 387 2040 Total net migration: 428 2039 Total net migration: 460 2038 Total net migration: 548 2037 Total net migration: 590 2036 Total net migration: 754 2035 Total net migration: 795 2034 Total net migration: 757 2033 Total net migration: 845 2032 Total net migration: 912 2031 Total net migration: 1,083 2030 Total net migration: 1,143 2029 Total net migration: 1,123 2028 Total net migration: 1,029 2027 Total net migration: 1,004 2026 Total net migration: 977 2025 Total net migration: 912 2024 Total net migration: 813 2023 Total net migration: 716 2022 Total net migration: 441 2021 Total net migration: 147 2020 Total net migration: 225 2019 Total net migration: 1,129 2018 Total net migration: 1,118 2017 Total net migration: 499 2016 Total net migration: 12 2015 Total net migration: -23 2014 Total net migration: -186 2043 Total out migration: 6,906 2042 Total out migration: 6,878 2041 Total out migration: 6,822 2040 Total out migration: 6,762 2039 Total out migration: 6,701 2038 Total out migration: 6,631 2037 Total out migration: 6,556 2036 Total out migration: 6,466 2035 Total out migration: 6,371 2034 Total out migration: 6,281 2033 Total out migration: 6,181 2032 Total out migration: 6,073 2031 Total out migration: 5,948 2030 Total out migration: 5,816 2029 Total out migration: 5,687 2028 Total out migration: 5,567 2027 Total out migration: 5,450 2026 Total out migration: 5,337 2025 Total out migration: 5,233 2024 Total out migration: 5,136 2023 Total out migration: 5,049 2022 Total out migration: 4,991 2021 Total out migration: 4,962 2020 Total out migration: 4,925 2019 Total out migration: 4,791 2018 Total out migration: 4,657 2017 Total out migration: 4,590 2016 Total out migration: 4,576 2015 Total out migration: 4,565 2014 Total out migration: 4,607 2043 Total in migration: 7,024 2042 Total in migration: 6,979 2041 Total in migration: 7,209 2040 Total in migration: 7,190 2039 Total in migration: 7,161 2038 Total in migration: 7,179 2037 Total in migration: 7,147 2036 Total in migration: 7,220 2035 Total in migration: 7,166 2034 Total in migration: 7,036 2033 Total in migration: 7,026 2032 Total in migration: 6,985 2031 Total in migration: 7,031 2030 Total in migration: 6,959 2029 Total in migration: 6,810 2028 Total in migration: 6,596 2027 Total in migration: 6,454 2026 Total in migration: 6,314 2025 Total in migration: 6,145 2024 Total in migration: 5,949 2023 Total in migration: 5,765 2022 Total in migration: 5,432 2021 Total in migration: 5,109 2020 Total in migration: 5,150 2019 Total in migration: 5,921 2018 Total in migration: 5,775 2017 Total in migration: 5,089 2016 Total in migration: 4,588 2015 Total in migration: 4,543 2014 Total in migration: 4,422
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
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