Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Porirua City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Porirua City is forecast for the period from 2029 to 2033, which is expected to have a net increase of 7,307 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Porirua CityForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births4,2064,5524,9925,6166,0826,343
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0704050500
Deaths2,1902,4542,8503,2783,5943,828
Natural increase/decrease2,0162,0972,1422,3382,4882,514
Net migration1,4432,5574,5864,9193,2331,057

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2020.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2048 forecast population change: 442 2047 forecast population change: 439 2046 forecast population change: 435 2045 forecast population change: 503 2044 forecast population change: 507 2043 forecast population change: 507 2042 forecast population change: 503 2041 forecast population change: 802 2040 forecast population change: 856 2039 forecast population change: 904 2038 forecast population change: 1,008 2037 forecast population change: 1,049 2036 forecast population change: 1,234 2035 forecast population change: 1,273 2034 forecast population change: 1,208 2033 forecast population change: 1,340 2032 forecast population change: 1,348 2031 forecast population change: 1,515 2030 forecast population change: 1,568 2029 forecast population change: 1,538 2028 forecast population change: 1,460 2027 forecast population change: 1,408 2026 forecast population change: 1,374 2025 forecast population change: 1,326 2024 forecast population change: 1,201 2023 forecast population change: 1,134 2022 forecast population change: 875 2021 forecast population change: 548 2020 forecast population change: 632 2019 forecast population change: 1,537 2018 forecast population change: 1,517 2017 forecast population change: 893 2016 forecast population change: 421 2015 forecast population change: 397 2014 forecast population change: 230
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2020.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2048 Natural increase: 500 2047 Natural increase: 500 2046 Natural increase: 498 2045 Natural increase: 497 2044 Natural increase: 498 2043 Natural increase: 501 2042 Natural increase: 504 2041 Natural increase: 503 2040 Natural increase: 503 2039 Natural increase: 503 2038 Natural increase: 502 2037 Natural increase: 501 2036 Natural increase: 498 2035 Natural increase: 494 2034 Natural increase: 492 2033 Natural increase: 486 2032 Natural increase: 478 2031 Natural increase: 469 2030 Natural increase: 458 2029 Natural increase: 448 2028 Natural increase: 443 2027 Natural increase: 435 2026 Natural increase: 427 2025 Natural increase: 423 2024 Natural increase: 415 2023 Natural increase: 413 2022 Natural increase: 417 2021 Natural increase: 423 2020 Natural increase: 427 2019 Natural increase: 418 2018 Natural increase: 406 2017 Natural increase: 399 2016 Natural increase: 403 2015 Natural increase: 407 2014 Natural increase: 400 2048 Total deaths: 796 2047 Total deaths: 792 2046 Total deaths: 790 2045 Total deaths: 786 2044 Total deaths: 782 2043 Total deaths: 777 2042 Total deaths: 773 2041 Total deaths: 767 2040 Total deaths: 760 2039 Total deaths: 751 2038 Total deaths: 742 2037 Total deaths: 732 2036 Total deaths: 719 2035 Total deaths: 708 2034 Total deaths: 694 2033 Total deaths: 684 2032 Total deaths: 672 2031 Total deaths: 657 2030 Total deaths: 641 2029 Total deaths: 625 2028 Total deaths: 605 2027 Total deaths: 587 2026 Total deaths: 570 2025 Total deaths: 551 2024 Total deaths: 536 2023 Total deaths: 518 2022 Total deaths: 502 2021 Total deaths: 491 2020 Total deaths: 481 2019 Total deaths: 462 2018 Total deaths: 445 2017 Total deaths: 439 2016 Total deaths: 435 2015 Total deaths: 431 2014 Total deaths: 441 2048 Total births: 1,296 2047 Total births: 1,292 2046 Total births: 1,288 2045 Total births: 1,284 2044 Total births: 1,280 2043 Total births: 1,278 2042 Total births: 1,277 2041 Total births: 1,270 2040 Total births: 1,262 2039 Total births: 1,254 2038 Total births: 1,244 2037 Total births: 1,233 2036 Total births: 1,218 2035 Total births: 1,202 2034 Total births: 1,186 2033 Total births: 1,169 2032 Total births: 1,150 2031 Total births: 1,125 2030 Total births: 1,099 2029 Total births: 1,073 2028 Total births: 1,048 2027 Total births: 1,022 2026 Total births: 997 2025 Total births: 973 2024 Total births: 951 2023 Total births: 932 2022 Total births: 919 2021 Total births: 914 2020 Total births: 908 2019 Total births: 879 2018 Total births: 850 2017 Total births: 838 2016 Total births: 838 2015 Total births: 838 2014 Total births: 841 2048 Natural increase: 500 2047 Natural increase: 500 2046 Natural increase: 498 2045 Natural increase: 497 2044 Natural increase: 498 2043 Natural increase: 501 2042 Natural increase: 504 2041 Natural increase: 503 2040 Natural increase: 503 2039 Natural increase: 503 2038 Natural increase: 502 2037 Natural increase: 501 2036 Natural increase: 498 2035 Natural increase: 494 2034 Natural increase: 492 2033 Natural increase: 486 2032 Natural increase: 478 2031 Natural increase: 469 2030 Natural increase: 458 2029 Natural increase: 448 2028 Natural increase: 443 2027 Natural increase: 435 2026 Natural increase: 427 2025 Natural increase: 423 2024 Natural increase: 415 2023 Natural increase: 413 2022 Natural increase: 417 2021 Natural increase: 423 2020 Natural increase: 427 2019 Natural increase: 418 2018 Natural increase: 406 2017 Natural increase: 399 2016 Natural increase: 403 2015 Natural increase: 407 2014 Natural increase: 400 2048 Total deaths: 796 2047 Total deaths: 792 2046 Total deaths: 790 2045 Total deaths: 786 2044 Total deaths: 782 2043 Total deaths: 777 2042 Total deaths: 773 2041 Total deaths: 767 2040 Total deaths: 760 2039 Total deaths: 751 2038 Total deaths: 742 2037 Total deaths: 732 2036 Total deaths: 719 2035 Total deaths: 708 2034 Total deaths: 694 2033 Total deaths: 684 2032 Total deaths: 672 2031 Total deaths: 657 2030 Total deaths: 641 2029 Total deaths: 625 2028 Total deaths: 605 2027 Total deaths: 587 2026 Total deaths: 570 2025 Total deaths: 551 2024 Total deaths: 536 2023 Total deaths: 518 2022 Total deaths: 502 2021 Total deaths: 491 2020 Total deaths: 481 2019 Total deaths: 462 2018 Total deaths: 445 2017 Total deaths: 439 2016 Total deaths: 435 2015 Total deaths: 431 2014 Total deaths: 441 2048 Total births: 1,296 2047 Total births: 1,292 2046 Total births: 1,288 2045 Total births: 1,284 2044 Total births: 1,280 2043 Total births: 1,278 2042 Total births: 1,277 2041 Total births: 1,270 2040 Total births: 1,262 2039 Total births: 1,254 2038 Total births: 1,244 2037 Total births: 1,233 2036 Total births: 1,218 2035 Total births: 1,202 2034 Total births: 1,186 2033 Total births: 1,169 2032 Total births: 1,150 2031 Total births: 1,125 2030 Total births: 1,099 2029 Total births: 1,073 2028 Total births: 1,048 2027 Total births: 1,022 2026 Total births: 997 2025 Total births: 973 2024 Total births: 951 2023 Total births: 932 2022 Total births: 919 2021 Total births: 914 2020 Total births: 908 2019 Total births: 879 2018 Total births: 850 2017 Total births: 838 2016 Total births: 838 2015 Total births: 838 2014 Total births: 841
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2020.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2048 Total net migration: -58 2047 Total net migration: -60 2046 Total net migration: -64 2045 Total net migration: 5 2044 Total net migration: 9 2043 Total net migration: 6 2042 Total net migration: -1 2041 Total net migration: 298 2040 Total net migration: 353 2039 Total net migration: 401 2038 Total net migration: 505 2037 Total net migration: 548 2036 Total net migration: 711 2035 Total net migration: 754 2034 Total net migration: 716 2033 Total net migration: 804 2032 Total net migration: 870 2031 Total net migration: 1,046 2030 Total net migration: 1,109 2029 Total net migration: 1,090 2028 Total net migration: 997 2027 Total net migration: 973 2026 Total net migration: 947 2025 Total net migration: 883 2024 Total net migration: 786 2023 Total net migration: 690 2022 Total net migration: 418 2021 Total net migration: 125 2020 Total net migration: 205 2019 Total net migration: 1,119 2018 Total net migration: 1,112 2017 Total net migration: 494 2016 Total net migration: 18 2015 Total net migration: -10 2014 Total net migration: -170 2048 Total out migration: 7,072 2047 Total out migration: 7,045 2046 Total out migration: 7,019 2045 Total out migration: 6,989 2044 Total out migration: 6,959 2043 Total out migration: 6,932 2042 Total out migration: 6,907 2041 Total out migration: 6,853 2040 Total out migration: 6,795 2039 Total out migration: 6,734 2038 Total out migration: 6,664 2037 Total out migration: 6,589 2036 Total out migration: 6,499 2035 Total out migration: 6,403 2034 Total out migration: 6,312 2033 Total out migration: 6,211 2032 Total out migration: 6,103 2031 Total out migration: 5,977 2030 Total out migration: 5,843 2029 Total out migration: 5,713 2028 Total out migration: 5,593 2027 Total out migration: 5,475 2026 Total out migration: 5,361 2025 Total out migration: 5,256 2024 Total out migration: 5,158 2023 Total out migration: 5,071 2022 Total out migration: 5,012 2021 Total out migration: 4,982 2020 Total out migration: 4,943 2019 Total out migration: 4,807 2018 Total out migration: 4,670 2017 Total out migration: 4,601 2016 Total out migration: 4,583 2015 Total out migration: 4,569 2014 Total out migration: 4,607 2048 Total in migration: 7,013 2047 Total in migration: 6,984 2046 Total in migration: 6,956 2045 Total in migration: 6,994 2044 Total in migration: 6,968 2043 Total in migration: 6,937 2042 Total in migration: 6,906 2041 Total in migration: 7,151 2040 Total in migration: 7,149 2039 Total in migration: 7,135 2038 Total in migration: 7,169 2037 Total in migration: 7,137 2036 Total in migration: 7,210 2035 Total in migration: 7,157 2034 Total in migration: 7,027 2033 Total in migration: 7,015 2032 Total in migration: 6,973 2031 Total in migration: 7,023 2030 Total in migration: 6,953 2029 Total in migration: 6,803 2028 Total in migration: 6,590 2027 Total in migration: 6,448 2026 Total in migration: 6,308 2025 Total in migration: 6,139 2024 Total in migration: 5,944 2023 Total in migration: 5,761 2022 Total in migration: 5,430 2021 Total in migration: 5,106 2020 Total in migration: 5,148 2019 Total in migration: 5,926 2018 Total in migration: 5,782 2017 Total in migration: 5,095 2016 Total in migration: 4,601 2015 Total in migration: 4,559 2014 Total in migration: 4,437 2048 Total net migration: -58 2047 Total net migration: -60 2046 Total net migration: -64 2045 Total net migration: 5 2044 Total net migration: 9 2043 Total net migration: 6 2042 Total net migration: -1 2041 Total net migration: 298 2040 Total net migration: 353 2039 Total net migration: 401 2038 Total net migration: 505 2037 Total net migration: 548 2036 Total net migration: 711 2035 Total net migration: 754 2034 Total net migration: 716 2033 Total net migration: 804 2032 Total net migration: 870 2031 Total net migration: 1,046 2030 Total net migration: 1,109 2029 Total net migration: 1,090 2028 Total net migration: 997 2027 Total net migration: 973 2026 Total net migration: 947 2025 Total net migration: 883 2024 Total net migration: 786 2023 Total net migration: 690 2022 Total net migration: 418 2021 Total net migration: 125 2020 Total net migration: 205 2019 Total net migration: 1,119 2018 Total net migration: 1,112 2017 Total net migration: 494 2016 Total net migration: 18 2015 Total net migration: -10 2014 Total net migration: -170 2048 Total out migration: 7,072 2047 Total out migration: 7,045 2046 Total out migration: 7,019 2045 Total out migration: 6,989 2044 Total out migration: 6,959 2043 Total out migration: 6,932 2042 Total out migration: 6,907 2041 Total out migration: 6,853 2040 Total out migration: 6,795 2039 Total out migration: 6,734 2038 Total out migration: 6,664 2037 Total out migration: 6,589 2036 Total out migration: 6,499 2035 Total out migration: 6,403 2034 Total out migration: 6,312 2033 Total out migration: 6,211 2032 Total out migration: 6,103 2031 Total out migration: 5,977 2030 Total out migration: 5,843 2029 Total out migration: 5,713 2028 Total out migration: 5,593 2027 Total out migration: 5,475 2026 Total out migration: 5,361 2025 Total out migration: 5,256 2024 Total out migration: 5,158 2023 Total out migration: 5,071 2022 Total out migration: 5,012 2021 Total out migration: 4,982 2020 Total out migration: 4,943 2019 Total out migration: 4,807 2018 Total out migration: 4,670 2017 Total out migration: 4,601 2016 Total out migration: 4,583 2015 Total out migration: 4,569 2014 Total out migration: 4,607 2048 Total in migration: 7,013 2047 Total in migration: 6,984 2046 Total in migration: 6,956 2045 Total in migration: 6,994 2044 Total in migration: 6,968 2043 Total in migration: 6,937 2042 Total in migration: 6,906 2041 Total in migration: 7,151 2040 Total in migration: 7,149 2039 Total in migration: 7,135 2038 Total in migration: 7,169 2037 Total in migration: 7,137 2036 Total in migration: 7,210 2035 Total in migration: 7,157 2034 Total in migration: 7,027 2033 Total in migration: 7,015 2032 Total in migration: 6,973 2031 Total in migration: 7,023 2030 Total in migration: 6,953 2029 Total in migration: 6,803 2028 Total in migration: 6,590 2027 Total in migration: 6,448 2026 Total in migration: 6,308 2025 Total in migration: 6,139 2024 Total in migration: 5,944 2023 Total in migration: 5,761 2022 Total in migration: 5,430 2021 Total in migration: 5,106 2020 Total in migration: 5,148 2019 Total in migration: 5,926 2018 Total in migration: 5,782 2017 Total in migration: 5,095 2016 Total in migration: 4,601 2015 Total in migration: 4,559 2014 Total in migration: 4,437
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2048, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2020.
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