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Paremata-Papakowhai

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Paremata-Papakowhai is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,309 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Paremata-PapakowhaiForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births490548567555549553
Deaths358410455473489523
Natural increase/decrease131138112816130
Net migration1,178760-11-163-110-4
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0400000

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 10 2042 forecast population change: 5 2041 forecast population change: 7 2040 forecast population change: 3 2039 forecast population change: 0 2038 forecast population change: -4 2037 forecast population change: -11 2036 forecast population change: -8 2035 forecast population change: -11 2034 forecast population change: -16 2033 forecast population change: -15 2032 forecast population change: -23 2031 forecast population change: -16 2030 forecast population change: -18 2029 forecast population change: -10 2028 forecast population change: -7 2027 forecast population change: -6 2026 forecast population change: 2 2025 forecast population change: 23 2024 forecast population change: 90 2023 forecast population change: 156 2022 forecast population change: 230 2021 forecast population change: 144 2020 forecast population change: 182 2019 forecast population change: 227 2018 forecast population change: 267 2017 forecast population change: 312 2016 forecast population change: 278 2015 forecast population change: 236 2014 forecast population change: 216
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 4 2042 Natural increase: 5 2041 Natural increase: 6 2040 Natural increase: 7 2039 Natural increase: 8 2038 Natural increase: 11 2037 Natural increase: 11 2036 Natural increase: 12 2035 Natural increase: 13 2034 Natural increase: 14 2033 Natural increase: 14 2032 Natural increase: 15 2031 Natural increase: 16 2030 Natural increase: 18 2029 Natural increase: 19 2028 Natural increase: 19 2027 Natural increase: 22 2026 Natural increase: 23 2025 Natural increase: 24 2024 Natural increase: 25 2023 Natural increase: 26 2022 Natural increase: 26 2021 Natural increase: 28 2020 Natural increase: 29 2019 Natural increase: 29 2018 Natural increase: 29 2017 Natural increase: 27 2016 Natural increase: 26 2015 Natural increase: 25 2014 Natural increase: 24 2043 Total deaths: 107 2042 Total deaths: 106 2041 Total deaths: 105 2040 Total deaths: 103 2039 Total deaths: 102 2038 Total deaths: 99 2037 Total deaths: 98 2036 Total deaths: 98 2035 Total deaths: 97 2034 Total deaths: 96 2033 Total deaths: 96 2032 Total deaths: 96 2031 Total deaths: 95 2030 Total deaths: 94 2029 Total deaths: 93 2028 Total deaths: 93 2027 Total deaths: 91 2026 Total deaths: 91 2025 Total deaths: 90 2024 Total deaths: 89 2023 Total deaths: 87 2022 Total deaths: 84 2021 Total deaths: 82 2020 Total deaths: 80 2019 Total deaths: 77 2018 Total deaths: 74 2017 Total deaths: 73 2016 Total deaths: 71 2015 Total deaths: 71 2014 Total deaths: 70 2043 Total births: 111 2042 Total births: 111 2041 Total births: 111 2040 Total births: 110 2039 Total births: 110 2038 Total births: 110 2037 Total births: 110 2036 Total births: 110 2035 Total births: 110 2034 Total births: 110 2033 Total births: 110 2032 Total births: 111 2031 Total births: 111 2030 Total births: 111 2029 Total births: 112 2028 Total births: 112 2027 Total births: 113 2026 Total births: 114 2025 Total births: 114 2024 Total births: 114 2023 Total births: 113 2022 Total births: 110 2021 Total births: 110 2020 Total births: 109 2019 Total births: 106 2018 Total births: 104 2017 Total births: 100 2016 Total births: 97 2015 Total births: 95 2014 Total births: 94 2043 Natural increase: 4 2042 Natural increase: 5 2041 Natural increase: 6 2040 Natural increase: 7 2039 Natural increase: 8 2038 Natural increase: 11 2037 Natural increase: 11 2036 Natural increase: 12 2035 Natural increase: 13 2034 Natural increase: 14 2033 Natural increase: 14 2032 Natural increase: 15 2031 Natural increase: 16 2030 Natural increase: 18 2029 Natural increase: 19 2028 Natural increase: 19 2027 Natural increase: 22 2026 Natural increase: 23 2025 Natural increase: 24 2024 Natural increase: 25 2023 Natural increase: 26 2022 Natural increase: 26 2021 Natural increase: 28 2020 Natural increase: 29 2019 Natural increase: 29 2018 Natural increase: 29 2017 Natural increase: 27 2016 Natural increase: 26 2015 Natural increase: 25 2014 Natural increase: 24 2043 Total deaths: 107 2042 Total deaths: 106 2041 Total deaths: 105 2040 Total deaths: 103 2039 Total deaths: 102 2038 Total deaths: 99 2037 Total deaths: 98 2036 Total deaths: 98 2035 Total deaths: 97 2034 Total deaths: 96 2033 Total deaths: 96 2032 Total deaths: 96 2031 Total deaths: 95 2030 Total deaths: 94 2029 Total deaths: 93 2028 Total deaths: 93 2027 Total deaths: 91 2026 Total deaths: 91 2025 Total deaths: 90 2024 Total deaths: 89 2023 Total deaths: 87 2022 Total deaths: 84 2021 Total deaths: 82 2020 Total deaths: 80 2019 Total deaths: 77 2018 Total deaths: 74 2017 Total deaths: 73 2016 Total deaths: 71 2015 Total deaths: 71 2014 Total deaths: 70 2043 Total births: 111 2042 Total births: 111 2041 Total births: 111 2040 Total births: 110 2039 Total births: 110 2038 Total births: 110 2037 Total births: 110 2036 Total births: 110 2035 Total births: 110 2034 Total births: 110 2033 Total births: 110 2032 Total births: 111 2031 Total births: 111 2030 Total births: 111 2029 Total births: 112 2028 Total births: 112 2027 Total births: 113 2026 Total births: 114 2025 Total births: 114 2024 Total births: 114 2023 Total births: 113 2022 Total births: 110 2021 Total births: 110 2020 Total births: 109 2019 Total births: 106 2018 Total births: 104 2017 Total births: 100 2016 Total births: 97 2015 Total births: 95 2014 Total births: 94
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 7 2042 Total net migration: 1 2041 Total net migration: 1 2040 Total net migration: -4 2039 Total net migration: -9 2038 Total net migration: -15 2037 Total net migration: -22 2036 Total net migration: -20 2035 Total net migration: -24 2034 Total net migration: -29 2033 Total net migration: -29 2032 Total net migration: -38 2031 Total net migration: -32 2030 Total net migration: -35 2029 Total net migration: -28 2028 Total net migration: -27 2027 Total net migration: -27 2026 Total net migration: -21 2025 Total net migration: -2 2024 Total net migration: 66 2023 Total net migration: 130 2022 Total net migration: 164 2021 Total net migration: 115 2020 Total net migration: 152 2019 Total net migration: 199 2018 Total net migration: 238 2017 Total net migration: 285 2016 Total net migration: 251 2015 Total net migration: 212 2014 Total net migration: 192 2043 Total out migration: 632 2042 Total out migration: 632 2041 Total out migration: 631 2040 Total out migration: 631 2039 Total out migration: 631 2038 Total out migration: 632 2037 Total out migration: 633 2036 Total out migration: 634 2035 Total out migration: 635 2034 Total out migration: 637 2033 Total out migration: 639 2032 Total out migration: 641 2031 Total out migration: 643 2030 Total out migration: 645 2029 Total out migration: 647 2028 Total out migration: 649 2027 Total out migration: 651 2026 Total out migration: 654 2025 Total out migration: 655 2024 Total out migration: 650 2023 Total out migration: 639 2022 Total out migration: 626 2021 Total out migration: 617 2020 Total out migration: 605 2019 Total out migration: 589 2018 Total out migration: 568 2017 Total out migration: 543 2016 Total out migration: 521 2015 Total out migration: 503 2014 Total out migration: 487 2043 Total in migration: 638 2042 Total in migration: 632 2041 Total in migration: 632 2040 Total in migration: 627 2039 Total in migration: 622 2038 Total in migration: 617 2037 Total in migration: 611 2036 Total in migration: 614 2035 Total in migration: 611 2034 Total in migration: 608 2033 Total in migration: 609 2032 Total in migration: 603 2031 Total in migration: 611 2030 Total in migration: 610 2029 Total in migration: 618 2028 Total in migration: 622 2027 Total in migration: 624 2026 Total in migration: 632 2025 Total in migration: 653 2024 Total in migration: 716 2023 Total in migration: 769 2022 Total in migration: 790 2021 Total in migration: 732 2020 Total in migration: 757 2019 Total in migration: 788 2018 Total in migration: 806 2017 Total in migration: 828 2016 Total in migration: 772 2015 Total in migration: 714 2014 Total in migration: 679 2043 Total net migration: 7 2042 Total net migration: 1 2041 Total net migration: 1 2040 Total net migration: -4 2039 Total net migration: -9 2038 Total net migration: -15 2037 Total net migration: -22 2036 Total net migration: -20 2035 Total net migration: -24 2034 Total net migration: -29 2033 Total net migration: -29 2032 Total net migration: -38 2031 Total net migration: -32 2030 Total net migration: -35 2029 Total net migration: -28 2028 Total net migration: -27 2027 Total net migration: -27 2026 Total net migration: -21 2025 Total net migration: -2 2024 Total net migration: 66 2023 Total net migration: 130 2022 Total net migration: 164 2021 Total net migration: 115 2020 Total net migration: 152 2019 Total net migration: 199 2018 Total net migration: 238 2017 Total net migration: 285 2016 Total net migration: 251 2015 Total net migration: 212 2014 Total net migration: 192 2043 Total out migration: 632 2042 Total out migration: 632 2041 Total out migration: 631 2040 Total out migration: 631 2039 Total out migration: 631 2038 Total out migration: 632 2037 Total out migration: 633 2036 Total out migration: 634 2035 Total out migration: 635 2034 Total out migration: 637 2033 Total out migration: 639 2032 Total out migration: 641 2031 Total out migration: 643 2030 Total out migration: 645 2029 Total out migration: 647 2028 Total out migration: 649 2027 Total out migration: 651 2026 Total out migration: 654 2025 Total out migration: 655 2024 Total out migration: 650 2023 Total out migration: 639 2022 Total out migration: 626 2021 Total out migration: 617 2020 Total out migration: 605 2019 Total out migration: 589 2018 Total out migration: 568 2017 Total out migration: 543 2016 Total out migration: 521 2015 Total out migration: 503 2014 Total out migration: 487 2043 Total in migration: 638 2042 Total in migration: 632 2041 Total in migration: 632 2040 Total in migration: 627 2039 Total in migration: 622 2038 Total in migration: 617 2037 Total in migration: 611 2036 Total in migration: 614 2035 Total in migration: 611 2034 Total in migration: 608 2033 Total in migration: 609 2032 Total in migration: 603 2031 Total in migration: 611 2030 Total in migration: 610 2029 Total in migration: 618 2028 Total in migration: 622 2027 Total in migration: 624 2026 Total in migration: 632 2025 Total in migration: 653 2024 Total in migration: 716 2023 Total in migration: 769 2022 Total in migration: 790 2021 Total in migration: 732 2020 Total in migration: 757 2019 Total in migration: 788 2018 Total in migration: 806 2017 Total in migration: 828 2016 Total in migration: 772 2015 Total in migration: 714 2014 Total in migration: 679
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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