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Paremata-Papakowhai

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Paremata-Papakowhai is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,332 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Paremata-PapakowhaiForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births498525499483481485
Deaths362418446464478510
Natural increase/decrease13510753193-25
Net migration1,197395-72-96-4357
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0400000

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 11 2042 forecast population change: 7 2041 forecast population change: 8 2040 forecast population change: 5 2039 forecast population change: 1 2038 forecast population change: -3 2037 forecast population change: -9 2036 forecast population change: -7 2035 forecast population change: -10 2034 forecast population change: -11 2033 forecast population change: -12 2032 forecast population change: -22 2031 forecast population change: -16 2030 forecast population change: -18 2029 forecast population change: -8 2028 forecast population change: -6 2027 forecast population change: -8 2026 forecast population change: -2 2025 forecast population change: -1 2024 forecast population change: -3 2023 forecast population change: 29 2022 forecast population change: 135 2021 forecast population change: 64 2020 forecast population change: 102 2019 forecast population change: 213 2018 forecast population change: 255 2017 forecast population change: 182 2016 forecast population change: 262 2015 forecast population change: 301 2014 forecast population change: 331
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -7 2042 Natural increase: -6 2041 Natural increase: -5 2040 Natural increase: -4 2039 Natural increase: -3 2038 Natural increase: -1 2037 Natural increase: 0 2036 Natural increase: 1 2035 Natural increase: 1 2034 Natural increase: 2 2033 Natural increase: 2 2032 Natural increase: 3 2031 Natural increase: 4 2030 Natural increase: 5 2029 Natural increase: 6 2028 Natural increase: 7 2027 Natural increase: 9 2026 Natural increase: 10 2025 Natural increase: 13 2024 Natural increase: 14 2023 Natural increase: 17 2022 Natural increase: 19 2021 Natural increase: 22 2020 Natural increase: 24 2019 Natural increase: 26 2018 Natural increase: 26 2017 Natural increase: 28 2016 Natural increase: 29 2015 Natural increase: 29 2014 Natural increase: 24 2043 Total deaths: 105 2042 Total deaths: 103 2041 Total deaths: 102 2040 Total deaths: 101 2039 Total deaths: 99 2038 Total deaths: 97 2037 Total deaths: 96 2036 Total deaths: 96 2035 Total deaths: 95 2034 Total deaths: 94 2033 Total deaths: 94 2032 Total deaths: 94 2031 Total deaths: 93 2030 Total deaths: 92 2029 Total deaths: 92 2028 Total deaths: 91 2027 Total deaths: 90 2026 Total deaths: 89 2025 Total deaths: 88 2024 Total deaths: 88 2023 Total deaths: 87 2022 Total deaths: 86 2021 Total deaths: 84 2020 Total deaths: 82 2019 Total deaths: 79 2018 Total deaths: 76 2017 Total deaths: 75 2016 Total deaths: 72 2015 Total deaths: 69 2014 Total deaths: 70 2043 Total births: 98 2042 Total births: 97 2041 Total births: 97 2040 Total births: 97 2039 Total births: 97 2038 Total births: 96 2037 Total births: 96 2036 Total births: 96 2035 Total births: 96 2034 Total births: 96 2033 Total births: 96 2032 Total births: 96 2031 Total births: 97 2030 Total births: 97 2029 Total births: 97 2028 Total births: 98 2027 Total births: 99 2026 Total births: 100 2025 Total births: 101 2024 Total births: 102 2023 Total births: 104 2022 Total births: 104 2021 Total births: 106 2020 Total births: 106 2019 Total births: 105 2018 Total births: 103 2017 Total births: 103 2016 Total births: 101 2015 Total births: 98 2014 Total births: 94 2043 Natural increase: -7 2042 Natural increase: -6 2041 Natural increase: -5 2040 Natural increase: -4 2039 Natural increase: -3 2038 Natural increase: -1 2037 Natural increase: 0 2036 Natural increase: 1 2035 Natural increase: 1 2034 Natural increase: 2 2033 Natural increase: 2 2032 Natural increase: 3 2031 Natural increase: 4 2030 Natural increase: 5 2029 Natural increase: 6 2028 Natural increase: 7 2027 Natural increase: 9 2026 Natural increase: 10 2025 Natural increase: 13 2024 Natural increase: 14 2023 Natural increase: 17 2022 Natural increase: 19 2021 Natural increase: 22 2020 Natural increase: 24 2019 Natural increase: 26 2018 Natural increase: 26 2017 Natural increase: 28 2016 Natural increase: 29 2015 Natural increase: 29 2014 Natural increase: 24 2043 Total deaths: 105 2042 Total deaths: 103 2041 Total deaths: 102 2040 Total deaths: 101 2039 Total deaths: 99 2038 Total deaths: 97 2037 Total deaths: 96 2036 Total deaths: 96 2035 Total deaths: 95 2034 Total deaths: 94 2033 Total deaths: 94 2032 Total deaths: 94 2031 Total deaths: 93 2030 Total deaths: 92 2029 Total deaths: 92 2028 Total deaths: 91 2027 Total deaths: 90 2026 Total deaths: 89 2025 Total deaths: 88 2024 Total deaths: 88 2023 Total deaths: 87 2022 Total deaths: 86 2021 Total deaths: 84 2020 Total deaths: 82 2019 Total deaths: 79 2018 Total deaths: 76 2017 Total deaths: 75 2016 Total deaths: 72 2015 Total deaths: 69 2014 Total deaths: 70 2043 Total births: 98 2042 Total births: 97 2041 Total births: 97 2040 Total births: 97 2039 Total births: 97 2038 Total births: 96 2037 Total births: 96 2036 Total births: 96 2035 Total births: 96 2034 Total births: 96 2033 Total births: 96 2032 Total births: 96 2031 Total births: 97 2030 Total births: 97 2029 Total births: 97 2028 Total births: 98 2027 Total births: 99 2026 Total births: 100 2025 Total births: 101 2024 Total births: 102 2023 Total births: 104 2022 Total births: 104 2021 Total births: 106 2020 Total births: 106 2019 Total births: 105 2018 Total births: 103 2017 Total births: 103 2016 Total births: 101 2015 Total births: 98 2014 Total births: 94
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 18 2042 Total net migration: 13 2041 Total net migration: 13 2040 Total net migration: 9 2039 Total net migration: 4 2038 Total net migration: -2 2037 Total net migration: -9 2036 Total net migration: -7 2035 Total net migration: -11 2034 Total net migration: -13 2033 Total net migration: -14 2032 Total net migration: -25 2031 Total net migration: -20 2030 Total net migration: -23 2029 Total net migration: -14 2028 Total net migration: -13 2027 Total net migration: -17 2026 Total net migration: -12 2025 Total net migration: -14 2024 Total net migration: -17 2023 Total net migration: 12 2022 Total net migration: 77 2021 Total net migration: 42 2020 Total net migration: 78 2019 Total net migration: 186 2018 Total net migration: 229 2017 Total net migration: 155 2016 Total net migration: 234 2015 Total net migration: 273 2014 Total net migration: 307 2043 Total out migration: 594 2042 Total out migration: 594 2041 Total out migration: 593 2040 Total out migration: 592 2039 Total out migration: 593 2038 Total out migration: 593 2037 Total out migration: 594 2036 Total out migration: 594 2035 Total out migration: 596 2034 Total out migration: 597 2033 Total out migration: 597 2032 Total out migration: 599 2031 Total out migration: 601 2030 Total out migration: 603 2029 Total out migration: 604 2028 Total out migration: 605 2027 Total out migration: 607 2026 Total out migration: 609 2025 Total out migration: 612 2024 Total out migration: 615 2023 Total out migration: 616 2022 Total out migration: 611 2021 Total out migration: 610 2020 Total out migration: 605 2019 Total out migration: 591 2018 Total out migration: 571 2017 Total out migration: 558 2016 Total out migration: 539 2015 Total out migration: 515 2014 Total out migration: 502 2043 Total in migration: 612 2042 Total in migration: 606 2041 Total in migration: 606 2040 Total in migration: 601 2039 Total in migration: 596 2038 Total in migration: 591 2037 Total in migration: 585 2036 Total in migration: 587 2035 Total in migration: 584 2034 Total in migration: 583 2033 Total in migration: 583 2032 Total in migration: 574 2031 Total in migration: 581 2030 Total in migration: 580 2029 Total in migration: 590 2028 Total in migration: 592 2027 Total in migration: 590 2026 Total in migration: 597 2025 Total in migration: 598 2024 Total in migration: 598 2023 Total in migration: 628 2022 Total in migration: 688 2021 Total in migration: 652 2020 Total in migration: 683 2019 Total in migration: 777 2018 Total in migration: 799 2017 Total in migration: 713 2016 Total in migration: 772 2015 Total in migration: 787 2014 Total in migration: 809 2043 Total net migration: 18 2042 Total net migration: 13 2041 Total net migration: 13 2040 Total net migration: 9 2039 Total net migration: 4 2038 Total net migration: -2 2037 Total net migration: -9 2036 Total net migration: -7 2035 Total net migration: -11 2034 Total net migration: -13 2033 Total net migration: -14 2032 Total net migration: -25 2031 Total net migration: -20 2030 Total net migration: -23 2029 Total net migration: -14 2028 Total net migration: -13 2027 Total net migration: -17 2026 Total net migration: -12 2025 Total net migration: -14 2024 Total net migration: -17 2023 Total net migration: 12 2022 Total net migration: 77 2021 Total net migration: 42 2020 Total net migration: 78 2019 Total net migration: 186 2018 Total net migration: 229 2017 Total net migration: 155 2016 Total net migration: 234 2015 Total net migration: 273 2014 Total net migration: 307 2043 Total out migration: 594 2042 Total out migration: 594 2041 Total out migration: 593 2040 Total out migration: 592 2039 Total out migration: 593 2038 Total out migration: 593 2037 Total out migration: 594 2036 Total out migration: 594 2035 Total out migration: 596 2034 Total out migration: 597 2033 Total out migration: 597 2032 Total out migration: 599 2031 Total out migration: 601 2030 Total out migration: 603 2029 Total out migration: 604 2028 Total out migration: 605 2027 Total out migration: 607 2026 Total out migration: 609 2025 Total out migration: 612 2024 Total out migration: 615 2023 Total out migration: 616 2022 Total out migration: 611 2021 Total out migration: 610 2020 Total out migration: 605 2019 Total out migration: 591 2018 Total out migration: 571 2017 Total out migration: 558 2016 Total out migration: 539 2015 Total out migration: 515 2014 Total out migration: 502 2043 Total in migration: 612 2042 Total in migration: 606 2041 Total in migration: 606 2040 Total in migration: 601 2039 Total in migration: 596 2038 Total in migration: 591 2037 Total in migration: 585 2036 Total in migration: 587 2035 Total in migration: 584 2034 Total in migration: 583 2033 Total in migration: 583 2032 Total in migration: 574 2031 Total in migration: 581 2030 Total in migration: 580 2029 Total in migration: 590 2028 Total in migration: 592 2027 Total in migration: 590 2026 Total in migration: 597 2025 Total in migration: 598 2024 Total in migration: 598 2023 Total in migration: 628 2022 Total in migration: 688 2021 Total in migration: 652 2020 Total in migration: 683 2019 Total in migration: 777 2018 Total in migration: 799 2017 Total in migration: 713 2016 Total in migration: 772 2015 Total in migration: 787 2014 Total in migration: 809
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
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