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Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Pukerua Bay-Plimmerton is forecast for the period from 2029 to 2033, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,087 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Pukerua Bay-PlimmertonForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births246250336489610631
Deaths185189240317388449
Natural increase/decrease626196173222181
Net migration-204751,3651,8651,268160
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0005000

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 8 2042 forecast population change: 11 2041 forecast population change: 50 2040 forecast population change: 135 2039 forecast population change: 137 2038 forecast population change: 190 2037 forecast population change: 233 2036 forecast population change: 333 2035 forecast population change: 348 2034 forecast population change: 387 2033 forecast population change: 442 2032 forecast population change: 350 2031 forecast population change: 441 2030 forecast population change: 418 2029 forecast population change: 437 2028 forecast population change: 343 2027 forecast population change: 363 2026 forecast population change: 320 2025 forecast population change: 234 2024 forecast population change: 201 2023 forecast population change: 179 2022 forecast population change: 160 2021 forecast population change: 132 2020 forecast population change: 72 2019 forecast population change: -8 2018 forecast population change: -17 2017 forecast population change: 1 2016 forecast population change: 5 2015 forecast population change: 5 2014 forecast population change: 47
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: 29 2042 Natural increase: 33 2041 Natural increase: 37 2040 Natural increase: 39 2039 Natural increase: 42 2038 Natural increase: 45 2037 Natural increase: 46 2036 Natural increase: 45 2035 Natural increase: 44 2034 Natural increase: 42 2033 Natural increase: 40 2032 Natural increase: 38 2031 Natural increase: 35 2030 Natural increase: 32 2029 Natural increase: 28 2028 Natural increase: 26 2027 Natural increase: 22 2026 Natural increase: 18 2025 Natural increase: 16 2024 Natural increase: 14 2023 Natural increase: 14 2022 Natural increase: 12 2021 Natural increase: 11 2020 Natural increase: 12 2019 Natural increase: 12 2018 Natural increase: 13 2017 Natural increase: 14 2016 Natural increase: 14 2015 Natural increase: 12 2014 Natural increase: 9 2043 Total deaths: 93 2042 Total deaths: 92 2041 Total deaths: 90 2040 Total deaths: 88 2039 Total deaths: 86 2038 Total deaths: 83 2037 Total deaths: 81 2036 Total deaths: 78 2035 Total deaths: 75 2034 Total deaths: 72 2033 Total deaths: 69 2032 Total deaths: 67 2031 Total deaths: 63 2030 Total deaths: 60 2029 Total deaths: 57 2028 Total deaths: 53 2027 Total deaths: 50 2026 Total deaths: 48 2025 Total deaths: 46 2024 Total deaths: 43 2023 Total deaths: 41 2022 Total deaths: 39 2021 Total deaths: 38 2020 Total deaths: 36 2019 Total deaths: 36 2018 Total deaths: 36 2017 Total deaths: 36 2016 Total deaths: 36 2015 Total deaths: 37 2014 Total deaths: 39 2043 Total births: 123 2042 Total births: 125 2041 Total births: 127 2040 Total births: 127 2039 Total births: 128 2038 Total births: 128 2037 Total births: 126 2036 Total births: 123 2035 Total births: 119 2034 Total births: 114 2033 Total births: 109 2032 Total births: 105 2031 Total births: 99 2030 Total births: 92 2029 Total births: 85 2028 Total births: 79 2027 Total births: 72 2026 Total births: 66 2025 Total births: 62 2024 Total births: 57 2023 Total births: 54 2022 Total births: 51 2021 Total births: 49 2020 Total births: 48 2019 Total births: 48 2018 Total births: 49 2017 Total births: 49 2016 Total births: 50 2015 Total births: 50 2014 Total births: 48 2043 Natural increase: 29 2042 Natural increase: 33 2041 Natural increase: 37 2040 Natural increase: 39 2039 Natural increase: 42 2038 Natural increase: 45 2037 Natural increase: 46 2036 Natural increase: 45 2035 Natural increase: 44 2034 Natural increase: 42 2033 Natural increase: 40 2032 Natural increase: 38 2031 Natural increase: 35 2030 Natural increase: 32 2029 Natural increase: 28 2028 Natural increase: 26 2027 Natural increase: 22 2026 Natural increase: 18 2025 Natural increase: 16 2024 Natural increase: 14 2023 Natural increase: 14 2022 Natural increase: 12 2021 Natural increase: 11 2020 Natural increase: 12 2019 Natural increase: 12 2018 Natural increase: 13 2017 Natural increase: 14 2016 Natural increase: 14 2015 Natural increase: 12 2014 Natural increase: 9 2043 Total deaths: 93 2042 Total deaths: 92 2041 Total deaths: 90 2040 Total deaths: 88 2039 Total deaths: 86 2038 Total deaths: 83 2037 Total deaths: 81 2036 Total deaths: 78 2035 Total deaths: 75 2034 Total deaths: 72 2033 Total deaths: 69 2032 Total deaths: 67 2031 Total deaths: 63 2030 Total deaths: 60 2029 Total deaths: 57 2028 Total deaths: 53 2027 Total deaths: 50 2026 Total deaths: 48 2025 Total deaths: 46 2024 Total deaths: 43 2023 Total deaths: 41 2022 Total deaths: 39 2021 Total deaths: 38 2020 Total deaths: 36 2019 Total deaths: 36 2018 Total deaths: 36 2017 Total deaths: 36 2016 Total deaths: 36 2015 Total deaths: 37 2014 Total deaths: 39 2043 Total births: 123 2042 Total births: 125 2041 Total births: 127 2040 Total births: 127 2039 Total births: 128 2038 Total births: 128 2037 Total births: 126 2036 Total births: 123 2035 Total births: 119 2034 Total births: 114 2033 Total births: 109 2032 Total births: 105 2031 Total births: 99 2030 Total births: 92 2029 Total births: 85 2028 Total births: 79 2027 Total births: 72 2026 Total births: 66 2025 Total births: 62 2024 Total births: 57 2023 Total births: 54 2022 Total births: 51 2021 Total births: 49 2020 Total births: 48 2019 Total births: 48 2018 Total births: 49 2017 Total births: 49 2016 Total births: 50 2015 Total births: 50 2014 Total births: 48
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: -21 2042 Total net migration: -22 2041 Total net migration: 13 2040 Total net migration: 95 2039 Total net migration: 95 2038 Total net migration: 145 2037 Total net migration: 187 2036 Total net migration: 288 2035 Total net migration: 304 2034 Total net migration: 345 2033 Total net migration: 352 2032 Total net migration: 312 2031 Total net migration: 406 2030 Total net migration: 386 2029 Total net migration: 409 2028 Total net migration: 317 2027 Total net migration: 341 2026 Total net migration: 302 2025 Total net migration: 218 2024 Total net migration: 187 2023 Total net migration: 165 2022 Total net migration: 148 2021 Total net migration: 121 2020 Total net migration: 60 2019 Total net migration: -20 2018 Total net migration: -29 2017 Total net migration: -12 2016 Total net migration: -9 2015 Total net migration: -7 2014 Total net migration: 38 2043 Total out migration: 788 2042 Total out migration: 792 2041 Total out migration: 793 2040 Total out migration: 786 2039 Total out migration: 780 2038 Total out migration: 768 2037 Total out migration: 753 2036 Total out migration: 728 2035 Total out migration: 701 2034 Total out migration: 670 2033 Total out migration: 639 2032 Total out migration: 611 2031 Total out migration: 573 2030 Total out migration: 537 2029 Total out migration: 499 2028 Total out migration: 469 2027 Total out migration: 436 2026 Total out migration: 407 2025 Total out migration: 387 2024 Total out migration: 369 2023 Total out migration: 352 2022 Total out migration: 338 2021 Total out migration: 326 2020 Total out migration: 321 2019 Total out migration: 323 2018 Total out migration: 326 2017 Total out migration: 327 2016 Total out migration: 329 2015 Total out migration: 332 2014 Total out migration: 332 2043 Total in migration: 766 2042 Total in migration: 770 2041 Total in migration: 806 2040 Total in migration: 881 2039 Total in migration: 874 2038 Total in migration: 913 2037 Total in migration: 940 2036 Total in migration: 1,016 2035 Total in migration: 1,005 2034 Total in migration: 1,015 2033 Total in migration: 990 2032 Total in migration: 923 2031 Total in migration: 979 2030 Total in migration: 923 2029 Total in migration: 908 2028 Total in migration: 786 2027 Total in migration: 777 2026 Total in migration: 710 2025 Total in migration: 605 2024 Total in migration: 555 2023 Total in migration: 518 2022 Total in migration: 486 2021 Total in migration: 448 2020 Total in migration: 381 2019 Total in migration: 302 2018 Total in migration: 297 2017 Total in migration: 315 2016 Total in migration: 320 2015 Total in migration: 325 2014 Total in migration: 370 2043 Total net migration: -21 2042 Total net migration: -22 2041 Total net migration: 13 2040 Total net migration: 95 2039 Total net migration: 95 2038 Total net migration: 145 2037 Total net migration: 187 2036 Total net migration: 288 2035 Total net migration: 304 2034 Total net migration: 345 2033 Total net migration: 352 2032 Total net migration: 312 2031 Total net migration: 406 2030 Total net migration: 386 2029 Total net migration: 409 2028 Total net migration: 317 2027 Total net migration: 341 2026 Total net migration: 302 2025 Total net migration: 218 2024 Total net migration: 187 2023 Total net migration: 165 2022 Total net migration: 148 2021 Total net migration: 121 2020 Total net migration: 60 2019 Total net migration: -20 2018 Total net migration: -29 2017 Total net migration: -12 2016 Total net migration: -9 2015 Total net migration: -7 2014 Total net migration: 38 2043 Total out migration: 788 2042 Total out migration: 792 2041 Total out migration: 793 2040 Total out migration: 786 2039 Total out migration: 780 2038 Total out migration: 768 2037 Total out migration: 753 2036 Total out migration: 728 2035 Total out migration: 701 2034 Total out migration: 670 2033 Total out migration: 639 2032 Total out migration: 611 2031 Total out migration: 573 2030 Total out migration: 537 2029 Total out migration: 499 2028 Total out migration: 469 2027 Total out migration: 436 2026 Total out migration: 407 2025 Total out migration: 387 2024 Total out migration: 369 2023 Total out migration: 352 2022 Total out migration: 338 2021 Total out migration: 326 2020 Total out migration: 321 2019 Total out migration: 323 2018 Total out migration: 326 2017 Total out migration: 327 2016 Total out migration: 329 2015 Total out migration: 332 2014 Total out migration: 332 2043 Total in migration: 766 2042 Total in migration: 770 2041 Total in migration: 806 2040 Total in migration: 881 2039 Total in migration: 874 2038 Total in migration: 913 2037 Total in migration: 940 2036 Total in migration: 1,016 2035 Total in migration: 1,005 2034 Total in migration: 1,015 2033 Total in migration: 990 2032 Total in migration: 923 2031 Total in migration: 979 2030 Total in migration: 923 2029 Total in migration: 908 2028 Total in migration: 786 2027 Total in migration: 777 2026 Total in migration: 710 2025 Total in migration: 605 2024 Total in migration: 555 2023 Total in migration: 518 2022 Total in migration: 486 2021 Total in migration: 448 2020 Total in migration: 381 2019 Total in migration: 302 2018 Total in migration: 297 2017 Total in migration: 315 2016 Total in migration: 320 2015 Total in migration: 325 2014 Total in migration: 370
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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