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Porirua CityPopulation forecast

Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Paekakariki Hill-Pauatahanui is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Porirua City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • This is an area which experiences high levels of residential development in the future and experiences gains in several age groups, taking advantage of the new housing opportunities in the area
  • Significant gain of young families aged 30-39 years with children aged 0-4 years
  • Gain of established families aged 40-49 years with children aged 5-14 years
  • Loss of young adults aged 15-24 leaving the area for education and employment purposes elsewhere
  • Some gain of mature adults, empty nesters and early retirees aged 45-54 years moving to the area as a result of available new housing construction
  • Little change in migration of persons in older age groups

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