Net migration by age
The age group with the highest net migration in Paremata-Papakowhai is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2013 to 2018.
Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.
Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.
Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Porirua City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.
Major migration assumptions:
- An area of diminishing net migration due to the impeding exhaustion of residential development, namely in the Aotea Block development
- Gain of young families aged 25-34 years with children aged 0-9 years
- Gain of established families aged 35-44 years with children aged 5-14 years
- Little change in the net migration of young adults aged 15-24 in the 2013-2023 period but a net loss of adults in this age group in the post 2023 period. This, as in many other areas, reflects the behaviour of adults at this age to leave an area for education and employment opportunities elsewhere
- Gain of mature adults, empty nesters, early retirees and retirees aged 45-70 years to the area
- Gain of the elderly and frail elderly aged 70+ years throughout the forecast period