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Porirua CityPopulation forecast

Porirua East-Ranui Heights

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Porirua East-Ranui Heights is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Porirua City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Slight gains of young adults and established families with children aged 10-19 years
  • Loss of young families with children aged 20-29 years with children aged 0-9 years in the short term, however, beyond 2029, the increased development of new dwellings here will result in a stronger influx of families with children
  • Minor loss of older adults aged 30-54 years
  • Some minor gains of those older adults aged 55-64 years
  • Some minor gains of the elderly and frail elderly aged 75+ years

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