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Porirua CityPopulation forecast

Upper Cannons Creek

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Upper Cannons Creek is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Porirua City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Gain of young and established families aged 25-39 years old with children aged 0-14 years.
  • Significant loss of young adults aged 15-19 years but more notably those young adults aged 20-24 years who leave the area in search of education and employment opportunities elsewhere
  • Some minor loss of empty nesters, early retirees retirees and the elderly aged 40+ years

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