Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Upper Cannons Creek

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Upper Cannons Creek is 'Primary schoolers (5 to 11)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Porirua City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Upper Cannons Creek - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)38110.145410.24949.7+113
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)45712.259313.366613.0+210
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)45812.246410.454610.7+88
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)48312.94399.852110.2+38
Young workforce (25 to 34)45812.258813.255510.9+97
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)69518.581918.494618.5+251
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)3429.14279.65079.9+165
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)2647.03187.13707.2+107
Seniors (70 to 84)2005.33107.04378.5+237
Elderly aged (85 and over)180.5431.0671.3+49
Total persons3,755100.04,455100.05,109100.0+1,354

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 67 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2043: 437 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2043: 370 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2043: 507 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2043: 946 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2043: 555 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2043: 521 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2043: 546 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2043: 666 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 494 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 43 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2028: 310 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2028: 318 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2028: 427 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2028: 819 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2028: 588 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2028: 439 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2028: 464 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2028: 593 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 454 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 18 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2013: 200 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2013: 264 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2013: 342 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2013: 695 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2013: 458 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2013: 483 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2013: 458 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2013: 457 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 381
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2028 to 2043: 127 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2028 to 2043: 53 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2028 to 2043: 80 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2028 to 2043: 127 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2028 to 2043: -33 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2028 to 2043: 82 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2028 to 2043: 82 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2028 to 2043: 73 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 25 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2013 to 2028: 110 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2013 to 2028: 54 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2013 to 2028: 85 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2013 to 2028: 124 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2013 to 2028: 130 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2013 to 2028: -44 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2013 to 2028: 6 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2013 to 2028: 136 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 74
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.

Key findings

In Upper Cannons Creek between 2013 and 2028, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 215 (16.6%), and will comprise 33.9% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 189 (39.2%) and comprise 15.1% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2028 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 819 persons.

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