Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Lower Cannons Creek

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Lower Cannons Creek indicate a 16.9% increase in population under working age, a 108.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 32.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Porirua City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lower Cannons Creek - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 451310.65408.46037.8+90
5 to 94399.15408.46268.1+187
10 to 1448410.05999.36738.8+189
15 to 194809.96309.87049.2+224
20 to 244379.05318.36368.3+199
25 to 293196.64537.15166.7+198
30 to 342665.54016.24415.7+174
35 to 392795.83876.04215.5+142
40 to 443326.93926.14485.8+116
45 to 492966.13685.74555.9+159
50 to 542705.63355.24355.7+166
55 to 592154.53205.03885.0+172
60 to 641863.82674.13364.4+150
65 to 691262.62293.62993.9+173
70 to 74952.01742.72633.4+168
75 to 79541.11362.12152.8+160
80 to 84450.9751.21401.8+94
85 and over00.0540.8881.1+88
Total persons4,837100.06,430100.07,687100.0+2,850

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 88 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 140 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 215 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 263 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 299 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 336 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 388 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 435 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 455 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 448 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 421 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 441 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 516 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 636 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 704 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 673 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 626 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 603 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 54 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 75 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 136 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 174 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 229 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 267 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 320 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 335 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 368 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 392 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 387 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 401 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 453 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 531 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 630 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 599 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 540 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 540 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 45 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 54 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 95 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 126 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 186 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 215 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 270 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 296 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 332 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 279 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 266 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 319 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 437 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 480 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 484 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 439 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 513
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 64 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 79 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 89 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 71 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 69 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 67 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 100 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 87 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 56 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 40 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 63 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 105 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 75 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 75 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 86 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 64 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 54 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 30 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 82 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 79 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 102 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 81 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 105 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 66 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 72 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 61 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 107 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 135 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 135 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 94 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 149 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 114 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 101 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 27
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Lower Cannons Creek was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 10.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 149 and account for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 630 persons.

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