Porirua CityPopulation forecast
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Paremata-Camborne-Mana-Inlet

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Paremata-Camborne-Mana-Inlet indicate a 13.7% increase in population under working age, a 55.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 13.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Porirua City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Paremata-Camborne-Mana-Inlet - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41816.62096.42066.0+26
5 to 91917.02086.32086.1+17
10 to 141615.91895.81895.5+28
15 to 191415.21745.31735.0+32
20 to 241425.21534.71534.5+11
25 to 291094.01324.01313.8+23
30 to 341244.51594.91544.5+30
35 to 391816.62106.42005.8+19
40 to 442438.92387.32336.8-10
45 to 492087.62367.22457.1+37
50 to 542218.12437.42567.5+35
55 to 592248.22567.82577.5+33
60 to 641896.92216.72417.0+52
65 to 691435.21996.12216.4+79
70 to 741003.71735.32035.9+103
75 to 79602.21293.91614.7+101
80 to 84301.1842.61143.3+83
85 and over893.3712.2892.60
Total persons2,735100.03,285100.03,434100.0+698

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 89 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 114 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 161 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 203 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 221 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 241 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 257 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 256 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 245 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 233 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 200 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 154 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 131 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 153 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 173 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 189 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 208 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 206 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 71 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 84 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 129 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 173 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 199 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 221 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 256 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 243 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 236 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 238 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 210 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 159 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 132 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 153 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 174 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 189 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 208 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 209 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 89 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 30 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 60 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 100 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 143 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 189 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 224 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 221 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 208 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 243 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 181 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 124 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 109 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 142 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 141 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 161 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 191 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 181
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 30 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 32 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 30 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 22 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -5 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: -18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 53 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 69 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 72 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 57 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 33 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 32 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 22 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 27 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -4 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 29 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 36 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 23 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 12 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 33 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 28 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 18 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 29
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Paremata-Camborne-Mana-Inlet was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 72 and account for 5.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 256 persons.

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