Porirua CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Paremata-Papakowhai

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Paremata-Papakowhai indicate a 27.2% increase in population under working age, a 64.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 24.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Porirua City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Paremata-Papakowhai - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44817.94936.24866.2+4
5 to 94247.05366.85046.4+80
10 to 143575.95767.35166.6+159
15 to 193315.55697.24996.4+168
20 to 242914.84575.84535.8+162
25 to 292834.73414.33804.9+97
30 to 343926.53754.73975.1+5
35 to 394958.24625.84505.7-46
40 to 445068.35116.54696.0-36
45 to 494327.15627.14906.3+58
50 to 544607.65747.24976.4+37
55 to 594006.65486.95016.4+101
60 to 643325.54675.94836.2+151
65 to 692934.84355.54625.9+169
70 to 742383.93684.74315.5+194
75 to 791362.22983.83694.7+233
80 to 841151.91892.42543.2+138
85 and over921.51511.91892.4+97
Total persons6,058100.07,913100.07,830100.0+1,772

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2020.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 189 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 254 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 369 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 431 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 462 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 483 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 501 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 497 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 490 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 469 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 450 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 397 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 380 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 453 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 499 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 516 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 504 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 486 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 151 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 189 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 298 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 368 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 435 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 467 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 548 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 574 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 562 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 511 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 462 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 375 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 341 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 457 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 569 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 576 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 536 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 493 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 92 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 115 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 136 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 238 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 293 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 332 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 400 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 460 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 432 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 506 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 495 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 392 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 283 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 291 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 331 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 357 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 424 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 481
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 38 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 65 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 71 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 63 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -47 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -76 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -73 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -42 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -12 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -71 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -60 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -32 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -7 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 59 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 74 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 162 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 130 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 142 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 136 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 148 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 113 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 130 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 5 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -33 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -17 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 58 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 166 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 238 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 219 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 112 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 11
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Paremata-Papakowhai was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 238 and account for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 576 persons.

v20.1.13-1.0.0