Porirua CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Paremata-Papakowhai

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Paremata-Papakowhai indicate a 39.1% increase in population under working age, a 69.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 31.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Porirua City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Paremata-Papakowhai - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44817.95536.65426.5+61
5 to 94247.05846.95486.6+124
10 to 143575.96197.45536.7+196
15 to 193315.56067.25326.4+201
20 to 242914.84785.74805.8+189
25 to 292834.73614.34014.8+118
30 to 343926.54064.84175.0+25
35 to 394958.25046.04725.7-23
40 to 445068.35556.64935.9-12
45 to 494327.16027.25176.2+85
50 to 544607.66017.25296.4+68
55 to 594006.65726.85346.4+134
60 to 643325.54855.85136.2+181
65 to 692934.84485.34855.8+192
70 to 742383.93804.54525.4+214
75 to 791362.23083.73854.6+249
80 to 841151.91952.32633.2+148
85 and over921.51481.81872.3+95
Total persons6,058100.08,408100.08,303100.0+2,245

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 187 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 263 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 385 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 452 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 485 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 513 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 534 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 529 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 517 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 493 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 472 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 417 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 401 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 480 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 532 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 553 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 548 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 542 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 148 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 195 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 308 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 380 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 448 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 485 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 572 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 601 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 602 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 555 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 504 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 406 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 361 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 478 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 606 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 619 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 584 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 553 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 92 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 115 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 136 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 238 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 293 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 332 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 400 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 460 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 432 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 506 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 495 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 392 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 283 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 291 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 331 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 357 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 424 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 481
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 67 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 77 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 71 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 37 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -38 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -73 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -85 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -62 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -32 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -74 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -66 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -36 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -11 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 56 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 80 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 173 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 142 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 155 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 154 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 172 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 141 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 170 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 50 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 9 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 14 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 78 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 188 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 275 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 262 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 160 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 72
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Paremata-Papakowhai was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 275 and account for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 619 persons.

v19.10.22-1.0.0